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Old 09-30-2010, 10:26 PM   #1
DaneMcCloud DaneMcCloud is offline
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Considering Arian Foster (who?) rushed for more than 200 yards against the Colts in a Texans win, the Chiefs have better than a 60% chance to win.

Especially considering they have two weeks to prepare.
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Old 09-30-2010, 10:27 PM   #2
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Originally Posted by DaneMcCloud View Post
Considering Arian Foster (who?) rushed for more than 200 yards against the Colts in a Texans win, the Chiefs have better than a 60% chance to win.

Especially considering they have two weeks to prepare.
Arian Foster has shown himself to be pretty good thus far.. but you're right. I don't think he's as good as the JC/TJ combo. If we can control the game to start, we got a good shot.

We can't afford to fall behind though.. at all.
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Old 09-30-2010, 10:32 PM   #3
DaneMcCloud DaneMcCloud is offline
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Originally Posted by Zaiko View Post
Arian Foster has shown himself to be pretty good thus far.. but you're right. I don't think he's as good as the JC/TJ combo. If we can control the game to start, we got a good shot.
Foster has about 400 yards in three games. Not amazing, not awful. He's been fairly contained the past two weeks and I've seen no reason to suggest the Chiefs can't do the same.

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Originally Posted by Zaiko View Post
We can't afford to fall behind though.. at all.
Oh, I can see the Chiefs falling behind by 10 or less and still winning but any more than that may be difficult due to Cassel's limited ability.

Flowers on Wayne, Carr on Collie, Arenas on Garcon and DJ on Clark.

Clark is my biggest fear due to Berry's inexperience at this level but I think he makes a leap during the Bye Week.
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Old 09-30-2010, 10:40 PM   #4
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Originally Posted by DaneMcCloud View Post
Foster has about 400 yards in three games. Not amazing, not awful. He's been fairly contained the past two weeks and I've seen no reason to suggest the Chiefs can't do the same.

Oh, I can see the Chiefs falling behind by 10 or less and still winning but any more than that may be difficult due to Cassel's limited ability.
Yardage doesn't work too much though since HOU is so stacked on O. Schaub's 497 yds against the Redskins made his yardage less; he wasn't contained.

And yeah, I could see 10 maybe if it's earlyish. INDY has threats outside though as well, Clark won't be as much of a problem if we can apply constant pressure to Peyton.
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Old 09-30-2010, 10:47 PM   #5
DaneMcCloud DaneMcCloud is offline
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Originally Posted by Zaiko View Post
Yardage doesn't work too much though since HOU is so stacked on O. Schaub's 497 yds against the Redskins made his yardage less; he wasn't contained.

And yeah, I could see 10 maybe if it's earlyish. INDY has threats outside though as well, Clark won't be as much of a problem if we can apply constant pressure to Peyton.
Foster was contained by two 3-4 defenses in Washington and Dallas. Dallas has a better secondary and was able to contain Schaub and the receivers.

I'm not stating that will be the case when the Chiefs visit the Texans but I do think there's a much better chance of a win than most people expect. The matchups, outside of the tight end (again) are fairly favorable on defense for the Chiefs.
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Old 09-30-2010, 11:00 PM   #6
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Zaiko View Post

We can't afford to fall behind though.. at all.
Yep, this doesn't work...

Code:
BY QUARTER CMP  ATT     YDS     CMP%     YPA     LNG     TD     INT  SACK     RAT     ATT     YDS     AVG     LNG     TD
1st Qtr    9     21      77     42.9     3.67     16     0     0     2.0     53.1     2     10     5.0     6     0
2nd Qtr    16    29     177     55.2     6.10     31     2     3     0.0     56.9     2     8     4.0     5     0
3rd Qtr    9     12     168     75.0     14.00    45     2     0     0.0    156.3     1     1     1.0     1     0
4th Qtr    8     15      72     53.3     4.80     19     0     0     0.0     66.5     3     -3     -1.0     -1     0
...but, hopefully the bye can make a difference. Having a few big play guys helps in case they do get down early, and there was just enough pressure up the middle last week to get my hopes up on rattling Manning a little. I'm really interested to see the defensive plan, as well as offense, especially after seeing Herm shit his pants against the Colts twice in recent years.
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Old 09-30-2010, 10:28 PM   #7
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Originally Posted by DaneMcCloud View Post
Considering Arian Foster (who?) rushed for more than 200 yards against the Colts in a Texans win, the Chiefs have better than a 60% chance to win.

Especially considering they have two weeks to prepare.
If Dane is enthusiastic about it, you know we have a damn good chance of winning.
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Old 09-30-2010, 11:47 PM   #8
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Quote:
Originally Posted by DaneMcCloud View Post
Considering Arian Foster (who?) rushed for more than 200 yards against the Colts in a Texans win, the Chiefs have better than a 60% chance to win.

Especially considering they have two weeks to prepare.
you keep saying some DUMB ****ING SHIT Dane

Holy hell my man.

Holy hell.

The Colts lost 1 game at home last year (the game they let the Jets win with the Curtis Painter debacle)...

The Colts are the creme de la creme of the NFL...

and you're giving our Chiefs a 60% chance to beat them on the road?

REALLY?

REALLY?

And this is one of our board "geniouses"...

the same guy that said we'd lose by 20+ to San Diego...

so thanks for the kiss of death asshole
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Old 09-30-2010, 11:51 PM   #9
DaneMcCloud DaneMcCloud is offline
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Originally Posted by The Meat Dragon View Post

the same guy that said we'd lose by 20+ to San Diego...
There's been a few improvements since last season and this season, no? So, my assessment of the San Diego game was off, but that was based on 2009 and the preseaon ONLY.

I've picked the Chiefs to win the past two weeks.

And 60% isn't 100%, is it?

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so thanks for the kiss of death asshole
Like I care.

I'm an "asshole" whether I pick the Chiefs or not, right?
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Old 10-01-2010, 12:06 AM   #10
teedubya teedubya is offline
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Originally Posted by DaneMcCloud View Post
Considering Arian Foster (who?) rushed for more than 200 yards against the Colts in a Texans win, the Chiefs have better than a 60% chance to win.

Especially considering they have two weeks to prepare.
I'm thinking we have a 67% chance of winning.

Romeo Crennel is 7-0 vs Peyton.

2 weeks to prepare.

Colts have 29th ranked rushing defense.

This could be a blowout in the Chiefs favor... hypothetically speaking, of course.

If feels weird going into a game thinking that we will win.
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Old 10-01-2010, 12:08 AM   #11
KCrockaholic KCrockaholic is offline
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Originally Posted by teedubya View Post
I'm thinking we have a 67% chance of winning.

Romeo Crennel is 7-0 vs Peyton.

2 weeks to prepare.

Colts have 29th ranked rushing defense.

This could be a blowout in the Chiefs favor... hypothetically speaking, of course.

If feels weird going into a game thinking that we will win.
Seriously?

I knew the stat was in Romeo's favor, but I hadn't actually researched to find out yet.
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Old 10-01-2010, 12:11 AM   #12
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Originally Posted by teedubya View Post
I'm thinking we have a 67% chance of winning.

Romeo Crennel is 7-0 vs Peyton.

2 weeks to prepare.

Colts have 29th ranked rushing defense.

This could be a blowout in the Chiefs favor... hypothetically speaking, of course.

If feels weird going into a game thinking that we will win.
holy shit!

I don't know what's wrong with this board...

maybe it's the hate for Peyton Manning?? But I don't know...

How about this...I won't bet on the Colts to win with any of you...or the Chiefs...

I'll make one very simple bet...

The Chiefs won't rush for more than 140 yards against the Colts...

It seems like everyone thinks we have a chance because of our running game...even though, despite being the #1 overall running team in the NFL (this is why stats crack me up)...our running game hasn't really been ALL THAT impressive outside of the 4th quarter of the 49ers game and 1 long Jamaal Charles run...

So...when the Colts get up 10-0...or 17-3...or 20-6...or 27-13...I have a feeling we won't even have a chance to establish a running game...

and 140 is just me being smart...

but if I had to guess...

I'd say 110.

and we're going to lose like 28-13...

and that doesn't mean I don't like the Chiefs this season...it means we're going to Indianapolis and playing the INDIANAPOLIS COLTS...
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Old 10-01-2010, 12:15 AM   #13
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Originally Posted by The Meat Dragon View Post
holy shit!

I don't know what's wrong with this board...

maybe it's the hate for Peyton Manning?? But I don't know...

How about this...I won't bet on the Colts to win with any of you...or the Chiefs...

I'll make one very simple bet...

The Chiefs won't rush for more than 140 yards against the Colts...

It seems like everyone thinks we have a chance because of our running game...even though, despite being the #1 overall running team in the NFL (this is why stats crack me up)...our running game hasn't really been ALL THAT impressive outside of the 4th quarter of the 49ers game and 1 long Jamaal Charles run...

So...when the Colts get up 10-0...or 17-3...or 20-6...or 27-13...I have a feeling we won't even have a chance to establish a running game...

and 140 is just me being smart...

but if I had to guess...

I'd say 110.

and we're going to lose like 28-13...

and that doesn't mean I don't like the Chiefs this season...it means we're going to Indianapolis and playing the INDIANAPOLIS COLTS...
I'm picking the Chiefs to lose also. I'm 3-0 on the year with my predictions, and I hope to god I go 3-1. But you must take into account that you're a huuuge Peyton Manning homer, and the Colts are one of the teams that you seem to be enamored with.
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Old 10-01-2010, 12:22 AM   #14
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I'm picking the Chiefs to lose also. I'm 3-0 on the year with my predictions, and I hope to god I go 3-1. But you must take into account that you're a huuuge Peyton Manning homer, and the Colts are one of the teams that you seem to be enamored with.
I am a huge Peyton Manning fan.

He's the closest thing to Michael Jordan I've ever seen.

He's the best football player I've ever watched.

He's absolutely amazing and the things he does are unbelievable...

And this is a QB driven league...and other than that rough stretch they had (before rattling off like 9 straight) in 2008 (when Lucas Field opened up)...they don't lose at home.

and yet suddenly people are giving us a 60% shot of victory?!

What?

WHAT?
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Old 10-01-2010, 12:25 AM   #15
KCrockaholic KCrockaholic is offline
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I am a huge Peyton Manning fan.

He's the closest thing to Michael Jordan I've ever seen.

He's the best football player I've ever watched.

He's absolutely amazing and the things he does are unbelievable...

And this is a QB driven league...and other than that rough stretch they had (before rattling off like 9 straight) in 2008 (when Lucas Field opened up)...they don't lose at home.

and yet suddenly people are giving us a 60% shot of victory?!

What?

WHAT?
Heh. Not me. I'm give us a 20% chance to win.

But the match-ups are there, and our defense is better this year than it has been in a decade. This is going to be closer than 14 points. I'm thinking something closer to 27-24 as the final score. With that said, if we come that close to winning against them I will be very happy.
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