Some Chiefs playoff scenarios

[DaneMcCloud]

Originally Posted by O.city

If the pats are the 1 seed and the steelers are the 3, they won't meet til the afc champ game

The best case scenario, IMO, is the Dolphins beating Pittsburgh, which would mean Miami vs. New England in the Divisional Round.

Either the Chiefs get a bye as #2 or face the Texans and Raiders on the road before going to New England, both of the former being extremely winnable games.

[TigeRRUppeRRcut]

Originally Posted by DaneMcCloud

The best case scenario, IMO, is the Dolphins beating Pittsburgh, which would mean Miami vs. New England in the Divisional Round.

Either the Chiefs get a bye as #2 or face the Texans and Raiders on the road before going to New England, both of the former being extremely winnable games.

Agreed. Rest this week and then prepare to play two teams that you have good track records against. Both also have backup QBs.

My guess is the probability of beating Houston will be over 70%, and beating Oakland will also be over 70%. Multiply those two outcomes and it still exceeds our likelihood of beating Pitt after a bye week which if they advance, will have a lot of confidence/momentum.

[TigeRRUppeRRcut]

Well then screw that, we are playing "hard" this week and chasing that 2nd seed ha. My bad.

[sedated]

I'm wondering if we see one of those games where Reid pulls all the starters in the 2nd quarter, only to rush them all back in the 4th.

[NJChiefsFan]

So would you rather...

2 seed with a bye hosting PIT in the divisional round

Or

5 seed with Oakland 1 seed where we are @Houston and then @Oakland in divisional round

It's interesting. I'm taking the bye because pit could even be beaten. But basically you could say @hou/@oak is better than bye/pit. I don't agree but I think you could make the point.

[chiefzilla1501]

Originally Posted by NJChiefsFan

So would you rather...

2 seed with a bye hosting PIT in the divisional round

Or

5 seed with Oakland 1 seed where we are @Houston and then @Oakland in divisional round

It's interesting. I'm taking the bye because pit could even be beaten. But basically you could say @hou/@oak is better than bye/pit. I don't agree but I think you could make the point.

Yeah, no matter what, I'm rooting for a division win because playoff games are never guaranteed.

But there's gotta be a part that wonders... how much do you beat up an exhausted team to get a longshot chance at a bye with a tough set of matchups?

[kccrow]

Originally Posted by chiefzilla1501

Yeah, no matter what, I'm rooting for a division win because playoff games are never guaranteed.

But there's gotta be a part that wonders... how much do you beat up an exhausted team to get a longshot chance at a bye with a tough set of matchups?

The #1 or 2 seed is incredibly important.

75.6% (31/41) of all Super Bowl winners in the "seeding era" were a 1 or 2 seed (56.1% or 23/41 for the 1s and 19.5% or 8/21 for the 2s). The next highest is a 4 seed at 12.2% (5/41), followed by 3 and 6 seeds at 4.9% (2/41 each), and 5 seeds at 2.4% (1/41).

That one less game to have to win really matters.

[BigRedChief]

Originally Posted by NJChiefsFan

So would you rather...

2 seed with a bye hosting PIT in the divisional round

Or

5 seed with Oakland 1 seed where we are @Houston and then @Oakland in divisional round

It's interesting. I'm taking the bye because pit could even be beaten. But basically you could say @hou/@oak is better than bye/pit. I don't agree but I think you could make the point.

i don't think your scenario is a possibility but to your overall question........always take the bye and home game. You win 2 games to get to the Super Bowlnot 3.

[NJChiefsFan]

Originally Posted by BigRedChief

i don't think your scenario is a possibility but to your overall question........always take the bye and home game. You win 2 games to get to the Super Bowlnot 3.

Last year ne controlled it's destiny for the 1 seed. Their last two games...
NE 20 NYJ 26
NE 10 MIA 20

[O.city]

In the Texans/raiders scenario, you avoid the steelers or pats til the afc champ game.

In the 2 seed scenario, you are likely to have to beat both Pit and go to NE.

Even being on the road, I'd rather face Tom savage, Matt mggloin and Tom Brady big ben than just the latter two.

[Dinny Bossa Nova]

Dinny Barbarino.

[JimNasium]

Originally Posted by Dinny Bossa Nova

Dinny Barbarino.

Your answers lie within.

[Rausch]

Originally Posted by O.city

In the Texans/raiders scenario, you avoid the steelers or pats til the afc champ game.

In the 2 seed scenario, you are likely to have to beat both Pit and go to NE.

Even being on the road, I'd rather face Tom savage, Matt mggloin and Tom Brady big ben than just the latter two.

I want no part of a healthy Pitt team.

I'd take NE on the road before Pitt at home...

[stumppy]

Originally Posted by Rausch

I want no part of a healthy Pitt team.

I'd take NE on the road before Pitt at home...

Same here. I'd just as soon stay away from the team that curb stomped our ass this year.

[ThaVirus]

The 5 or 6 seed also forces us to play an additional game with another 100+ snaps for important guys to get hurt.

I just want to be healthy and I like our chances. Pitt is a bad matchup but so is NE. Is the goal to win a playoff game or win the Super Bowl?