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Old 12-28-2014, 06:05 PM   #1
Prison Bitch Prison Bitch is offline
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When you look at the games the Chiefs have won the past two years with Alex Smith at QB, it's hard to find a game where a performance like Chase Daniel's performance today would NOT have won the game. It maybe costs the Chiefs 2 wins over the two seasons, and maybe turns a few more losses into blowouts.
The regression value of QB Rating puts serious doubts into your thesis, unless you believe Daniel is a 90+ guy over the course of the season. And that would be an opinion you'd be unlikely to find many places.


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Considering the huge gap in pay (and cost to acquire) and therefore expectations, it's rather disturbing to see such a small gap in performance.
The gap is sizeable. But I'd agree Smith is making a lot of $. If however you feel putting $ into other positions is worth a 10-pt hit to QB Rating......the data suggests that's a bad idea.
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Old 12-28-2014, 06:14 PM   #2
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Originally Posted by Prison Bitch View Post
The regression value of QB Rating puts serious doubts into your thesis, unless you believe Daniel is a 90+ guy over the course of the season. And that would be an opinion you'd be unlikely to find many places.




The gap is sizeable. But I'd agree Smith is making a lot of $. If however you feel putting $ into other positions is worth a 10-pt hit to QB Rating......the data suggests that's a bad idea.
I'm not willing to base that read on QB rating, which I think is a nice stat but not THAT telling or conclusive.

Smith's QB Rating is also a fairly "empty" one. He throws a bunch of short, safe, high-percentage passes, which makes his completion percentage good, and he avoids turnovers. Both of these factors artificially inflate his QB rating.

Go look at it game-by-game. That's what I did before I said that. There are very few games that the Chiefs have won in 2013 and 2014 that actually required Alex Smith to DO much at all (other than manage the game and avoid ****ing up).
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Old 12-28-2014, 06:04 PM   #3
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At the price Daniel would run; we'd be able to spend considerably on some decent OL/WR/whatever else. Alex's contract will cripple this franchise.

Not that I'm any sort of Daniel fan; but the only difference between sitting home at 9-7 and sitting home at 6-10 is getting a better draft slot.
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Old 12-28-2014, 06:15 PM   #4
Deberg_1990 Deberg_1990 is offline
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But what would Tyler Bray have done?
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Old 12-28-2014, 06:21 PM   #5
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But what would Tyler Bray have done?
The offense would have to be damn near scrapped and re-worked to suit his particular talents.

Which would be so.....so terrible.

How would we ever cope?
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Old 12-28-2014, 06:19 PM   #6
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The playbook and the guy calling those plays is the problem right now. End of story.
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Old 12-28-2014, 06:20 PM   #7
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Daniel got 1 day of practice with the starters. That's significant.
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Old 12-28-2014, 06:22 PM   #8
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Daniel got 1 day of practice with the starters. That's significant.
In fact, I'm not saying this is the case, but it wouldn't surprise me at all if they did that on purpose. Again, not the case, but it wouldn't shock me. We all saw what Chase did last year, on the road, with the backups.
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Old 12-28-2014, 06:28 PM   #9
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Daniel got 1 day of practice with the starters. That's significant.
And the defense had only a day to scheme them.

Once the Chargers figured out how to defend the read option, Daniel's day was over. He's garbage too. Like Matt Flynn, unfortunately we have a guy who overperformed because of a defense that didn't know how to gameplan for him.
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Old 12-28-2014, 06:22 PM   #10
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I believe Daniel would suck if given the opportunity to play 16 games. I KNOW Alex Smith sucks already. One costs a 1/4 of the other and you're never winning anything important with either.

Woo-hoo. The life of a Chiefs fan.
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Old 12-28-2014, 06:23 PM   #11
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Chase would be a nice stopgap while we look for a real QB.
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Old 12-28-2014, 06:29 PM   #12
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Chase would be a nice stopgap while we look for a real QB.
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Old 12-28-2014, 06:24 PM   #13
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Daniel and Houston, or Alex and some new guy? What's your choice now?
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Old 12-28-2014, 06:27 PM   #14
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Daniel and Houston, or Alex and some new guy? What's your choice now?
Houston and some new guy.
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Old 12-28-2014, 06:24 PM   #15
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You're not competing for a SB with either of these garbage QBs, so who gives a rat's ass?
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