Is Alex Smith Who We Thought He Is?

[oaklandhater]

http://kcpridesince99.sportsblog.com...ht-he-is-.html

Is Alex Smith Who We Thought He Is?
Jordan Foote , KC Sports Talk on November 16
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Bob Donnan-USA TODAY Sports
Coming into the season, Chiefs fans were looking for a lot less of this:


And a LOT more of this:


Anyone that has watched Alex Smith play during his 3 and a half years in Kansas City knows that he is a mobile quarterback with playmaking ability. Those same people also know that Smith is not as good at stretching the field compared to other quarterbacks. The eye test gives pretty solid evidence for that. The GIF above shows you the playmaking ability, but also: Alex is stretching the field! With a revamped offensive line, developing receivers and a fantastic RB Core, Alex should be ready more than ever to push the ball down the field, right? Right? Right?

Sadly, statistics aren't on our side. Alex has averaged 6.7 YPA (Yards Per Attempt) this season. Compare this to last year's average (7.4) and you are saying to yourself "Wow! I had no clue he had regressed in the YPA department this season..." The famous eye test sure doesn't do it justice, but our reality is that Alex is throwing the ball shorter than he was last year, which we didn't know was truly possible.


This doesn't mean that "Captain Checkdown" is making a return. This doesn't mean that Alex Smith isn't capable of throwing the deep ball. This simply means that Alex Smith is throwing the ball a shorter distance down the field compared to last season. Now, many factors can contribute to that. Below is a table of Alex's opponent, attempts and yards per attempt.

Opponent
Attempts
YPA
San Diego Chargers
48
7.56
Houston Texans
37
5.03
New York Jets
33
7.18
Pittsburgh Steelers
50
5.74
Oakland Raiders
22
10.18
New Orleans Saints
24
8.92
Indianapolis Colts
19
6.68
Carolina Panthers
38
4.68
7.1 YPA is the NFL Median so far this season, meaning that 7.1 is the middle of the road in terms of YPA. Alex Smith has thrown for above 7.1 YPA in 4 out of 8 games this season, with 4/8 below the median as well. His average in a game OVER YPA is 2.72. When he performs under the median level, he does so at an average of 1.57 YPA. This data may seem meaningless, but there is actually a lot that can be interpreted from it.

2.72 is greater than 1.57. When Alex Smith is stretching the field, he is doing so very well. When he doesn't stretch the field, he does so at a bit better of a distance from the median. He has great moments and bad moments.

Good moment:


Bad moment:


To make a long story short, Alex Smith is what we thought he is. Coming into the season, we wanted him to stretch the field more and make more big plays. He has done so, but there has been no in between. This is just the tip of the iceberg. I am not going to go in depth about how many good defenses he's faced or how his progressions look, etc. but I am going to say this: Alex is who we thought he is, a QB that can make throws on occasion, but can not make them consistently. Stay tuned for more analysis. Until then, here's what we used to put up with:

[RunKC]

Originally Posted by oaklandhater

This the we just win argument or saying fantasy ball lolz adds nothing new

If we won the SB like Denver did last year people like you would be bitching that the offense didn't score even though we won.

[oaklandhater]

Originally Posted by RunKC

If we won the SB like Denver did last year people like you would be bitching that the offense didn't score even though we won.

Den had a top 15 offens last year we are at 28 it's abysmal stop bringing up den holy hell

[oaklandhater]

http://www.espn.com/nfl/statistics/t...otal/year/2015

They were 16 we were 27 it was bad last year and worse this year


And for people saying den sucks right now on offense they are 14 we are 28 any other offensive coordinator would be fired Reid will never let control go.

[splatbass]

Originally Posted by RunKC

If we won the SB like Denver did last year people like you would be bitching that the offense didn't score even though we won.

I believe this is true. They will only be happy when they get the style of O they want - a gunslinger at QB - and winning isn't even important to them. They would be happier losing with a gunslinger than winning with a game manager.

[oaklandhater]

Originally Posted by splatbass

I believe this is true. They will only be happy when they get the style of O they want - a gunslinger at QB - and winning isn't even important to them. They would be happier losing with a gunslinger than winning with a game manager.

Den is balanced 15 and a top 10 defense we are in the running for dead last in offense.

[oaklandhater]

Look at the math DEN is balanced we are not there a better football team than we are

[splatbass]

Originally Posted by oaklandhater

Den is balanced 15 and a top 10 defense we are in the running for dead last in offense.

You know what I said is true. Clay's minions drool after QBs with a lot of passing yards that are on teams that are losing. And aren't smart enough to know that they have a lot of passing yards because they are always playing from behind.

[Sweet Daddy Hate]

Seven - Nine,
feel-ing fine,
got to the tail-gate right on time,
with a check-down/screen pass,
here we go again
Until the 1st month comes scream,
"Allllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllll
Heeeeeeeeeeeee-dooooooooooooooooooooooooes....
Isssssssssssssssssssssssss......
Winnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnn!

[oaklandhater]

Originally Posted by splatbass

You know what I said is true. Clay's minions drool after QBs with a lot of passing yards that are on teams that are losing. And aren't smart enough to know that they have a lot of passing yards because they are always playing from behind.

I agree with this statement I'm not a clay minion.

The whole point I've been trying to make is the issues are bigger then Alex Reid needs a real oc are we will not be competitive.

[Sweet Daddy Hate]

If Reid had his offensive Bill Cowher( as Cower was the DC to Marty's HC ), KC's offense would be a minimum of 40% more effective, debate over.

As I see it, there IS no OC for the KC Chiefs; just a consultant and a salary.

If Kansas City had a baggage-free, home-grown QB capable of EXCEEDING Reid's system/playbook, the Chiefs would be shoe-ins for the AFCCG every season.

[oaklandhater]

Originally Posted by Dagnabit

If Reid had his offensive Bill Cowher( as Cower was the DC to Marty's HC ), KC's offense would be a minimum of 40% more effective, debate over.

As I see it, there IS no OC for the KC Chiefs; just a consultant and a salary.

If Kansas City had a baggage-free, home-grown QB capable of EXCEEDING Reid's system/playbook, the Chiefs would be shoe-ins for the AFCCG every season.

It's really up to hunt to tell reid he needs to fire him self has the OC until then fan's are stick with this shit.

[Sweet Daddy Hate]

Originally Posted by Deberg_1990

Ill take winning regular season then losing in the playoffs everyday over the shitshow we had the majority of time from 2007-2012. Every single time.

I do get the 'battered wife syndrome' alot of Chiefs fans have with the team though.

The 'Monster around every corner' has been true for the most part. That wont change until they win the big ones.

But i will never sit around and not enjoy winning. never.

Do you suffer from TFS?

Originally Posted by oaklandhater

It's really up to hunt to tell reid he needs to fire him self has the OC until then fan's are stick with this shit.

Never, ever happen. Clark cHunt's goof-ass face and Senator-hair( 'Consort' hair spray for men sold separate ) is the picture next to the phrase "hands-off" in all known dictionaries the world over.

[oaklandhater]

Originally Posted by Dagnabit

Never, ever happen. Clark cHunt's goof-ass face and Senator-hair( 'Consort' hair spray for men sold separate ) is the picture next to the phrase "hands-off" in all known dictionaries the world over.

Didn't hunt say he was taking a more hands on approach after the whole Pioli debacle ?

[Sweet Daddy Hate]

Originally Posted by oaklandhater

Didn't hunt say he was taking a more hands on approach after the whole Pioli debacle ?

The Chiefs are a Hunt Family business, and it is Clark's job to make sure that business runs smooth, sets a good example within the guidelines of the NFL, and most important of all: makes the money.

His "passion" for football extends to the realm of keeping his father's legacy alive and respected.

[splatbass]

Originally Posted by oaklandhater

Didn't hunt say he was taking a more hands on approach after the whole Pioli debacle ?

He did, and I believe he has. But as long as he is getting successful results (7-2 is pretty damn successful) he isn't going to force any changes. No owner would.