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01-30-2020, 11:04 PM | |
MVP
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538, FPI, experts all about 63% Chiefs win prob
538 elo model. 63 percent, 3.5 point favorites
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features...uper-bowl-liv/ 72 "expert" picks. 62 percent, 4 point favorites https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.esp...3fplatform=amp ESPN football power index. 65 percent https://www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/pag...ll-power-index Schefter just said on ESPN he has never seen a super bowl team as confident as the Chiefs at this stage Lots of Mahomes/Chiefs praise, Schefter on Get Up this morning Last edited by jerryaldini; 01-30-2020 at 11:06 PM.. Reason: edit |
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01-30-2020, 11:06 PM | #2 |
Chief Boot Knocker
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Beat the 49ers.
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The Devil of DFW. |
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01-30-2020, 11:07 PM | #3 |
George Brett shit his pants
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I want to see us win by four touchdowns
Make a statement The Chiefs are the one who knocks.
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01-30-2020, 11:11 PM | #4 |
I'll be back.
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We have that 99 Rams look.
They all know they can't be stopped.
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Chiefs game films |
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01-30-2020, 11:15 PM | #5 |
Rookie
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It's time for the lions to show the jackals who he is.
It's too late to be scared....Its time to kill. |
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01-30-2020, 11:27 PM | #6 |
My Mamma Says
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SFC... Stay ****ing Calm.. |
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01-30-2020, 11:29 PM | #7 |
In Search of a Life
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All of that means nothing.
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01-31-2020, 12:47 AM | #8 |
Suupraa Geniuuusss
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Been seeing the same kinds of analyses. A lot of the math is a bit advanced for me, or at least advanced enough that I don't have a desire to dig into it that much.
A lot of it tends to boil down to a fairly simple idea though: which team/player(s) have to play a more perfect game to win? For example, does Mahomes or Jimmy have to play a more perfect game? Kelce vs. Kittle? Their OL vs. our DL? And so on. Bottom line, the Niners in all three phases have to play nearly perfectly to win. The Chiefs only need about 80% of their absolute best offensive effort, 80% of their best defensive effort, and maybe 90% of their best St effort to win. We have more room for error, mostly because of Mahomes, but more precisely because of our team's offensive efficiency. We can literally afford to make more mistakes in the other two phases because our offense can score so rapidly and so prolifically. The Niners team doesn't have that luxury. If their defense doesn't play at a very high level, we just score more and their offense won't be able to keep up. If they make too many mistakes on ST, those probably translate into quick points and again their offense won't be able to make up the difference. If their offense stalls just five times in this game, they probably lose. They are going to need to score a TD on nearly every possession. Or their defense is going to have to score some points. Or they're going to have to score with their ST. The Chiefs only need to score with their offense. The other two units only need to play efficiently and not make mistakes. Last edited by Megatron96; 01-31-2020 at 12:54 AM.. |
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01-31-2020, 12:52 AM | #9 |
In Search of a Life
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Feels about right.
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01-31-2020, 12:58 AM | #10 |
**** Off Pedro Protectors
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I don't want a good game, I want a 49-0 beat down where the game is never in doubt.
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01-31-2020, 01:12 AM | #11 |
Veteran
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Would love a blow out - we’re f***ing here to say mofos
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01-31-2020, 04:44 AM | #12 |
Supporter
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2017 Adopt-A-Chief:TYREEK HILL |
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01-31-2020, 06:40 AM | #13 |
Facts are stubborn things.
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How accurate are those things generally?
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01-31-2020, 06:49 AM | #14 |
Thread I will end you.......
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Patrick Mahomes II MVP 2X Super Bowl MVP 3x Travis Kelce TE GOAT |
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01-31-2020, 07:12 AM | #15 | |
a haw haw haw
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Quote:
The Redskins got off to a shaky start and found themselves down to Denver 10-0 after one quarter.What came next was a quarter for the history books as the Skins exploded for 5 td's on 18 plays in the 2nd quarter.Denver never scored again and the final was 42-10
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Therefore, if anyone is in Christ, he is a new creation; old things have passed away; behold, all things have become new. |
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