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09-26-2014, 10:27 AM | #46 |
Life is changing..
Join Date: Jul 2012
Location: NW Missouri
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What are our chances on the division? Or have we given up on that?
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09-26-2014, 10:30 AM | #47 |
Banned
Join Date: Jun 2014
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09-26-2014, 10:45 AM | #48 |
Supporter
Join Date: Apr 2004
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09-26-2014, 10:55 AM | #49 | |
#RIPAce
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Quote:
It's not happening, but that sure would be enjoyable. |
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09-26-2014, 01:16 PM | #50 | |
.
Join Date: Dec 2002
Casino cash: $57166239
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Quote:
Just for fun, I'll calculate a back of the envelope probability. I will use these rough assumptions: P(Detroit loss) = 40% per game P(KC win) = 55% per game Given that, then: P(we outright win the division with no 163rd game) = 1.06% P(we tie and force a tiebreaker game on Monday in Detroit) = 7.41% That is.... actually more likely than I expected. OK, lets assume the Twins are mailing it in and they only have a 1/3 chance of winning each game, which is pretty bad. P(we outright win the division with no 163rd game) = 0.62% P(we tie and force a tiebreaker game on Monday in Detroit) = 5.21% Still decent, considering I thought it was hopeless. OK, I guess we have about a 1 in 20 shot, give or take, of the Tigers not clinching the division by the end of Sunday.
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09-26-2014, 01:57 PM | #51 |
M-I-Z-Z-O-U
Join Date: Apr 2001
Location: Kansas City
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For safety's sake...
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09-26-2014, 02:00 PM | #52 |
#RIPAce
Join Date: Jan 2009
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OMFG That is awesome.
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09-26-2014, 02:00 PM | #53 |
21st Century Schizoid Fan
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PLEASE win tonight
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09-26-2014, 02:04 PM | #54 |
Shit
Join Date: Jun 2008
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For some reason that pic gave me chills, lol
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09-26-2014, 02:22 PM | #55 |
Trained to reign as the one.
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Location: Los Angeles, CA
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09-26-2014, 02:28 PM | #56 |
Spiraling down the Drain
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Balls deep for the win
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09-26-2014, 02:29 PM | #57 |
El Gato Gordo Loco
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09-26-2014, 02:36 PM | #58 |
Veteran
Join Date: Aug 2000
Location: IA
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Just got the all clear to get tickets off StubHub for Tuesday night!
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09-26-2014, 02:39 PM | #59 |
Stroking to the SB Champs!
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09-26-2014, 02:47 PM | #60 |
Dirty Bit
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That's called Fully Torqued
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