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05-18-2011, 09:37 PM | #151 | |
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As I said last season, there are simply no precedents for this kind of incredible performance increase, so looking at other hitters as benchmarks or comparisons would be useless. |
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05-18-2011, 09:45 PM | #152 |
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As for the PED thing...well sure he could be. But so could any of these guys.
Singing out a guy simply based on performance increase doesn't make much sense. Did he just never consider steroids for his entire career and then one day in September 2009 choose to finally take them? And how did these steroids turn him from career mediocrity to best hitter in baseball? It's never happened for anybody else, but he found the magic combination? The swing change is the legit explanation, it brought him more success, and success breeds confidence. That's what we're seeing here. If he's doing it with help, it's impossible to tell. But he shouldn't be singled out in this regard anymore than any of the consistent power hitters of the last few years (Pujols, Dunn, Fielder, Cabrera, etc). |
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05-18-2011, 10:27 PM | #153 | |
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This is what makes the whole Bautista thing so surprising. Why are they tickling Jays fans asses with a feather? |
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05-18-2011, 10:39 PM | #154 | |
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05-19-2011, 03:05 AM | #155 | |
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Seven years isn't an aberration. He isn't a lifelong great player who struggled through seven "fluke" years. He's an average player who has all of the sudden become elite. Baseball history tells me it's likely due to more than just a change in his swing. One thing my Pirates-fan brother pointed out is his bat speed is ridiculous now. Almost Sheffield-esque. He says it was never like that early on in his career. He's able to get around on pitches so much quicker now. Here's an interesting stat from a recent ESPN blog post on Bautista: "Since May 15, 2010, Bautista has hit 63 home runs -- 22 more than Albert Pujols' next-best total of 41. Remarkable considering that in his first 1800 career at-bats, Bautista hit just 60 home runs.". From 10-15 HR's a year to that? |
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05-19-2011, 06:01 AM | #156 |
Shit
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05-19-2011, 10:24 AM | #157 |
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Still holding that childish grudge over my objectivity during the Greinke negotiations, I see?
It's 40 innings into his major league career, hardly anything to worry about or anything that will destroy him at the age of 23. You know who had serious issues throwing strikes for the first two entire seasons of his career? Only the greatest pitcher of our era, Roy Halladay. Last edited by KC_Connection; 05-19-2011 at 10:40 AM.. |
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05-19-2011, 10:40 AM | #158 | |||||||
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What's hard to believe is that a career mediocrity somehow found a magic steroid that nobody else has access to and that did something that no steroid had ever done before. But sure, keep working on that crazy, baseless assumption. Quote:
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#2. We're letting the PED-filled baseball history condemn a guy's success now? Get me some actual evidence of your claim, then get back to me. Quote:
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05-19-2011, 10:49 AM | #159 |
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And again, I'm not saying Bautista isn't on PEDs. I'm never going to outright claim that a professional baseball player isn't taking some kind of drug. There's an incredible drug culture in the sport, with both hitters and pitchers (who never get any focus in this area from the media).
I'm saying attributing his change solely to PED use is ignorant and pretty absurd. And making the claim that he is on them is weak and completely baseless. |
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05-19-2011, 02:43 PM | #160 | ||||||
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His old scouting reports said he had some power potential? Guess what? Read 10 scouting reports of hitters in the minors right now and I bet eight of them will say the guy has "power potential". Almost everyone has some sort of power potential. Quote:
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05-19-2011, 03:11 PM | #161 | ||||||
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Everything he's done (the crouching, the toe tap, the opening up of his stance, the leg kick) has allowed him to get started sooner on his swing and the result has been more hard contact. http://mlb.mlb.com/video/play.jsp?content_id=12383209 Quote:
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#2. Are we to assume that every hitter that experienced a large HR jump over one season was taking PEDs? Even in the 40s/50s/60s? Can hitters not have huge increases in performance without suspicion in your mind? What about pitchers? Quote:
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Here are some more: http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index...autista-facts/ He's currently on pace to put up the best offensive season in baseball history. Of course, it's incredibly unlikely that he'll keep up the pace, but who knows with this guy. |
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05-19-2011, 05:25 PM | #162 | ||||||
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Plus...dude, he was drafted in the 20th round. Now that's not to say that a 20th rounder can't develop into a good player, but guys drafted in the 20th round in baseball are mainly drafted to fill out the farm system. I'm sure they saw some power potential, but like I said, almost EVERY prospect has "some" power potential. Quote:
How good the players were before they started taking PED's has no relevance. His surge is exactly the same as Bonds and Sosa's. Sosa's 20-60 jump and Bonds' 30-70 jump in homers is exactly the same as Bautista's 15-50 jump. Quote:
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Please tell me why you keep acting like none of this stuff ever happened? It's almost mind-boggling. I would imagine PED's in baseball are like an arms race. Bonds was using stuff in 2001 that baseball didn't test for until a few years later. Whatever Bautista may be using now is likely something that isn't being tested for. Why is it so hard to believe that a relatively obscure player playing for a largely irrelevant team in Canada that nobody pays attention to could be ahead of the PED curve? It's not like he's in NY where all eyes would be on his every move. Quote:
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05-19-2011, 05:57 PM | #163 |
Now you've pissed me off!
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Anyone who has ever played any bat and ball sport, whether it's baseball, or golf, knows that you can't have enormous jumps in swing speed after you are fully developed, even with excellent mechanics.
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05-19-2011, 09:02 PM | #164 | |||||||||
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And they've been showing video of the swing before and after the change often, but I can't find a link to it online. The difference, obviously, is noticeable. Quote:
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#2. Bonds had been hitting 40 HRs for years before his four amazing years, including 49 HR in the year 2000. He was the best hitter in baseball even without steroids and juiced baseballs. #3. Taking steroids didn't turn them into something they weren't....it simply made them better, stronger power hitters. You are suggesting that taking steroids made Bautista into a completely different baseball player...from a guy who made poor contact and hit the ball on the ground a lot to the best power slugger in the game. That shows a lack of understanding about what steroids actually do for a player. Quote:
Neither of those two had shown any kind of track record throughout their baseball career for that kind of power, after all. How many other players from year-to-year are regularly making significant jumps in performance? Sure, maybe most of them are on steroids, but how the hell can you tell the difference? Just focus on the bigger, more improbable jumps? And what about the guys who have shown consistency from the very beginning? Are they out of the line of suspicion because of that? History tells us that some of the most consistent performers were also drug users. To me, worrying about this kind of thing is quite absurd. There's no way to really know who is using what and who isn't. Quote:
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And why couldn't he be mediocre with great bat speed? Many players are. Approach is everything. If you have a poor approach as a hitter that prevents you from making contact and sufficiently utilizing that bat speed, it won't matter how strong or how fast you are. In the end, it really comes down to whether you want to enjoy one of the great all-time offensive starts and one of the most impressive changes in baseball history or whether you want to piss on the guy without any evidence of PED use. To me, it's kind of like whining about the validity of Usain Bolt's amazing record runs in Beijing because of the history of drug use in his sport. Keep complaining if you wish (though I've never understood why fans care much about players being on PEDs) but I'll side with the former and enjoy the ride. Baseball's more fun that way. Last edited by KC_Connection; 05-19-2011 at 10:21 PM.. |
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05-19-2011, 09:06 PM | #165 | |
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What I really want to know, though, is when Bautista is going to stop being an elite hitter and start being a fluke like you told me he would. Last edited by KC_Connection; 05-19-2011 at 09:16 PM.. |
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