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Old 01-14-2023, 10:29 PM  
Bearcat Bearcat is offline
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Let's talk about the Jaguars (AFC Divisional Round)

Discuss.
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Old 01-16-2023, 09:17 AM   #181
Hammock Parties Hammock Parties is offline
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The Chiefs averaged 7.8 yds/play against the Jaguars in November and led 27-10 with 5:30 left.

JuJu Smith-Schuster - 24 snaps
Kadarius Toney - 2nd week with team
Andrew Wylie - 25 snaps
Mecole Hardman - 0 snaps.
Frank Clark - 0 snaps.
Brandon Williams - 0 snaps.

Not. Worried.
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Old 01-16-2023, 09:20 AM   #182
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Teams that beat the Chiefs typically dominate the LOS against us. They exploit our OTs and we get no pressure on their QB.

Not sure Jax can do that. Last two games Jax has played (nationally televised games so I have watched) their O line has not really looked impressive. Unless Brown and Wylie just get absolutely dominated, we should score enough that Jax has a really hard time keeping up.
I agree completely on the first point, when we lose it's normally that we're losing in the trenches, and other mistakes like critical penalties or special teams gaffes become very costly.

On the second point, Jacksonville's defensive front is pretty good. It may be a draw because their o-line isn't special, but their front 7 is a cause for concern to a team that struggles with tackle play like we do.
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Old 01-16-2023, 09:35 AM   #183
ThaVirus ThaVirus is offline
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So many times we watched a team win in the WC round, then go into NE off the bye and get their ass kicked.

Similar should happen here
This is a fair point. Looking at it from that perspective, if I'm a Chiefs fan and you replace us with one of those Pats teams from 2001-2018, I'm upset because I know a fisting is eminent.

This one should be like the Colts vs Patriots in 2014. Colts got hot and beat the Peyton-led Broncos in Denver, only to get smashed in Foxboro the next week by like 30 points.
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Old 01-16-2023, 09:36 AM   #184
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They're going to be emotionally and physically flat, like a pancake

We still need to show up focused, but yeah we got this
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Old 01-16-2023, 09:37 AM   #185
ThaVirus ThaVirus is offline
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I will say that the game earlier in the season should have little bearing. Weird stuff went down that game which isn't likely to be repeated:

-Jags missed a couple kicks
-Jags won the turnover battle 3-0 (4-0 if you consider the onside kick)
-Chiefs weren't called for a single penalty
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Old 01-16-2023, 09:39 AM   #186
Hammock Parties Hammock Parties is offline
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Jacksonville's defensive front is pretty good. It may be a draw because their o-line isn't special, but their front 7 is a cause for concern to a team that struggles with tackle play like we do.
the Jags had 35 sacks

their front isn't scary

who are you worried about? josh allen? arden key? chiefs handled those guys like they were nothing.



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Old 01-16-2023, 09:40 AM   #187
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Chiefs have been so good for so long I sometimes think they get a little bored in the regular season and are looking ahead to the post-season. The Jags have played us this year, but they didn't get playoff intensity from us.
Kelce said as much in 2019 or 2020, IIRC... the dog days of Fall and just wanting to get another sniff of the playoffs.

I thought the difference was night and day against the Raiders.... they knew what was on the line and opened up the playbook a but and cleaned up the mistakes; flipped the switch. And yeah, the Raiders suck, but so did the Texans and Broncos.
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Old 01-16-2023, 09:42 AM   #188
IowaHawkeyeChief IowaHawkeyeChief is offline
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This team scared me the least out of all the contenders to play us. Dare I say, they kind of remind me of the Harbaugh-led 95 Colts. Only difference is that Steve Bono, fortunately, isn’t walking through that turnstile.
and it's not one of the coldest games ever at Arrowhead and we don't have the "kicker"...
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Old 01-16-2023, 09:43 AM   #189
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Shit, let's not forget they would've lost - at HOME - to the Titans with their 3rd string QB, if not for a fluke defensive TD at the end (thanks to said trashcan at QB).

I actually like the Jags. I picked them to make the playoffs before the year. But they are NOT on the Chiefs' level. Just two completely different stratospheres. Someone put it really well a handful of posts ago - if the Chiefs show up, the only difference in opponent is margin for error. The Jags will give us a decent margin for error in case we are a bit rusty, or even if we have a couple dumb turnovers. Clean game and it's not close at all.
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Old 01-16-2023, 09:44 AM   #190
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I'm not saying we should be scared, but the Jags team we played earlier in the year is not the same team that finished the season.

That game has little bearing on this one.

Of course, KC is different as well, and has so much play-off experience that I can't see the Jags winning or anything like that, but Jax was a different squad the second half of the year.
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Old 01-16-2023, 09:49 AM   #191
Eleazar Eleazar is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Hammock Parties View Post
the Jags had 35 sacks

their front isn't scary

who are you worried about? josh allen? arden key? chiefs handled those guys like they were nothing.



I've watched their last several games, and I think their front is playing well. It's probably stuff that doesn't show up on your stat sheets. I didn't say I was worried, either. Just that their front is pretty good.
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Old 01-16-2023, 09:50 AM   #192
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Be careful what you say about Josh Allen, he's gonna be a Chief next year.
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Old 01-16-2023, 10:04 AM   #193
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I'm not saying we should be scared, but the Jags team we played earlier in the year is not the same team that finished the season.

That game has little bearing on this one.

Of course, KC is different as well, and has so much play-off experience that I can't see the Jags winning or anything like that, but Jax was a different squad the second half of the year.
I don't know. I think the Jags had already turned the corner by then. They were losing rather than winning close games (and that's mostly luck as we saw with Minnesota).
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Old 01-16-2023, 10:05 AM   #194
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Old 01-16-2023, 10:14 AM   #195
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A close lose here or there, and we could have to beat Cinci and Buffalo on the road. Now we get Jax to advance to the AFCCG. Amazing.
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