***NON-POLITICAL COVID-19 Discussion Thread***

[JakeF]

A couple of reminders...

Originally Posted by Bwana

Once again, don't come in this thread with some kind of political agenda, or you will be shown the door. If you want to go that route, there is a thread about this in DC.

Originally Posted by Dartgod

People, there is a lot of good information in this thread, let's try to keep the petty bickering to a minimum.

We all have varying opinions about the impact of this, the numbers, etc. We will all never agree with each other. But we can all keep it civil.

Thanks!

Click here for the original OP:

Spoiler!

Apparently the CoronaVirus can survive on a inanimate objects, such as door knobs, for 9 days.

California coronavirus case could be first spread within U.S. community, CDC says
By SOUMYA KARLAMANGLA, JACLYN COSGROVE
FEB. 26, 2020 8:04 PM

The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention is investigating what could be the first case of novel coronavirus in the United States involving a patient in California who neither recently traveled out of the country nor was in contact with someone who did.

“At this time, the patient’s exposure is unknown. It’s possible this could be an instance of community spread of COVID-19, which would be the first time this has happened in the United States,” the CDC said in a statement. “Community spread means spread of an illness for which the source of infection is unknown. It’s also possible, however, that the patient may have been exposed to a returned traveler who was infected.”

The individual is a resident of Solano County and is receiving medical care in Sacramento County, according to the state Department of Public Health.

The CDC said the “case was detected through the U.S. public health system — picked up by astute clinicians.”

Officials at UC Davis Medical Center expanded on what the federal agency might have meant by that in an email sent Wednesday, as reported by the Davis Enterprise newspaper.

The patient arrived at UC Davis Medical Center from another hospital Feb. 19 and “had already been intubated, was on a ventilator, and given droplet protection orders because of an undiagnosed and suspected viral condition,” according to an email sent by UC Davis officials that was obtained by the Davis Enterprise.

The staff at UC Davis requested COVID-19 testing by the CDC, but because the patient didn’t fit the CDC’s existing criteria for the virus, a test wasn’t immediately administered, according to the email. The CDC then ordered the test Sunday, and results were announced Wednesday. Hospital administrators reportedly said in the email that despite these issues, there has been minimal exposure at the hospital because of safety protocols they have in place.

A UC Davis Health spokesperson declined Wednesday evening to share the email with The Times.

Since Feb. 2, more than 8,400 returning travelers from China have entered California, according to the state health department. They have been advised to self-quarantine for 14 days and limit interactions with others as much as possible, officials said.

“This is a new virus, and while we are still learning about it, there is a lot we already know,” Dr. Sonia Angell, director of the California Department of Public Health, said in a statement. “We have been anticipating the potential for such a case in the U.S., and given our close familial, social and business relationships with China, it is not unexpected that the first case in the U.S. would be in California.”

It is not clear how the person became infected, but public health workers could not identify any contacts with people who had traveled to China or other areas where the virus is widespread. That raises concern that the virus is spreading in the United States, creating a challenge for public health officials, experts say.

“It’s the first signal that we could be having silent transmission in the community,” said Lawrence Gostin, director of the World Health Organization Collaborating Center on National and Global Health Law. “It probably means there are many more cases out there, and it probably means this individual has infected others, and now it’s a race to try to find out who that person has infected.”

On Tuesday, the CDC offered its most serious warning to date that the United States should expect and prepare for the coronavirus to become a more widespread health issue.

“Ultimately, we expect we will see coronavirus spread in this country,” said Nancy Messonnier, director of the CDC’s National Center for Immunization and Respiratory Diseases. “It’s not so much a question of if, but a question of when.”

According to the CDC’s latest count Wednesday morning, 59 U.S. residents have tested positive for the new strain of coronavirus — 42 of whom are repatriated citizens from a Diamond Princess cruise. That number has grown by two since Messonnier’s last count Tuesday, although the CDC was not immediately available to offer details on the additional cases.

More than 82,000 cases of coronavirus have been reported globally, and more than 2,700 people have died, with the majority in mainland China, the epicenter of the outbreak.

But public health leaders have repeatedly reminded residents that the health risk from the novel coronavirus to the general public remains low.

“While COVID-19 has a high transmission rate, it has a low mortality rate,” the state Department of Public Health said in a statement Wednesday. “From the international data we have, of those who have tested positive for COVID-19, approximately 80% do not exhibit symptoms that would require hospitalization. There have been no confirmed deaths related to COVID-19 in the United States to date.”

CDC officials have also warned that although the virus is likely to spread in U.S. communities, the flu still poses a greater risk.

Gostin said the news of potential silent transmission does not eliminate the possibility of containing the virus in the U.S. and preventing an outbreak.

“There are few enough cases that we should at least try,” he said. “Most of us are not optimistic that that will be successful, but we’re still in the position to try.”

[TLO]

Originally Posted by candyman

I need an Asian rub & tug, hopefully they'll be opened back up Monday as well

Woah there pal... Mind your social distancing.

[Mecca]

Ah shit that means crackhouses, titty bars and gangbangs are back huh?

[TLO]

Originally Posted by lewdog

What's our capacity to roll out antibody tests? And at one point in this timeline would it be useful to roll out such testing for many citizens in this country?

I think it depends state by state. Missouri has said they are about 2 weeks away from having the ability to test for antibodies. And they haven't mentioned at what kind of scale they'll be able to roll it out.

Did you have your test done today? How long until results come in?

[BigCatDaddy]

Originally Posted by Mecca

Ah shit that means crackhouses, titty bars and gangbangs are back huh?

https://images.app.goo.gl/a3WwMbUo1CjrLNQQ9

[Marcellus]

Originally Posted by Mecca

Ah shit that means crackhouses, titty bars and gangbangs are back huh?

I think Fauci already said that's a personal decision, just be careful.

[TLO]

So the last IHME projection was 68k deaths. I feel like we're creeping up on that number awfully fast.

They have 1472 deaths predicted for yo today. How close will they be?

[Mecca]

Originally Posted by TLO

So the last IHME projection was 68k deaths. I feel like we're creeping up on that number awfully fast.

Unless there is an E break somewhere I feel like that projection is going to be pretty wrong.

[TLO]

Originally Posted by Mecca

Unless there is an E break somewhere I feel like that projection is going to be pretty wrong.

Maybe they'll update again soon.

[DaFace]

Originally Posted by TLO

So the last IHME projection was 68k deaths. I feel like we're creeping up on that number awfully fast.

They have 1472 deaths predicted for yo today. How close will they be?

Originally Posted by Mecca

Unless there is an E break somewhere I feel like that projection is going to be pretty wrong.

It looks like they've been low for a few days now, so the pace isn't dropping quite as fast as they'd predicted, but it's not WAY off or anything. I think it's likely we go over their current estimate of 68k, but whether it's 75k or 100k remains to be seen. I bet it'll be closer to the former.

[petegz28]

Originally Posted by TLO

So the last IHME projection was 68k deaths. I feel like we're creeping up on that number awfully fast.

They have 1472 deaths predicted for yo today. How close will they be?

We're at 1142 right now so they could be close

[O.city]

Originally Posted by dirk digler

O.City sounds like you can go back to work.

Yeah if only the 15k dollars in ppe and equipment I ordered wasn’t back ordered like a mother

I’m gonna probably keep doing emergency only for a week or so after the opening up and ease back just to be on the safe side

[Kidd Lex]

Vaccine related article:

https://www.sciencemag.org/news/2020...iotech-reports

The antibodies potently “neutralized” all the strains, which are “widely scattered on the phylogenic tree,” the researchers noted.

“This provides strong evidence that the virus is not mutating in a way that would make it resistant to a #COVID19 vaccine,” tweeted immunologist Mark Slifka of Oregon Health & Science University. “Good to know.”

[Monticore]

Originally Posted by DaFace

It looks like they've been low for a few days now, so the pace isn't dropping quite as fast as they'd predicted, but it's not WAY off or anything. I think it's likely we go over their current estimate of 68k, but whether it's 75k or 100k remains to be seen. I bet it'll be closer to the former.

If that projection is for the year there is still a long way to go.

[O.city]

It works on monkeys, let’s roll the dice on the vaccine and just go with it, see what happens

Really, what’s the worst that could happen?

[DaFace]

Originally Posted by Monticore

If that projection is for the year there is still a long way to go.

It's through August.