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Old 12-03-2018, 12:34 AM  
Direckshun Direckshun is offline
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Let's talk about the Ravens.
The Ravens are a uniquely weird team in Week 14 of the NFL season.

They're weird because their QB position is a great unknown.

Joe Flacco is, of course, the world's most underwhelming Super Bowl MVP, and has sucked this year. We know who he is, we have millions of hours of underwhelming tape to depressingly watch. And he returned to practice this week, but did not play, Eric Berry style.

But that might change. He may see the field.

Which is interesting, because their backup QB, Lamar Jackson, a 1st round selection by the Ravens (albeit with the 32nd pick), is a very weird player. He runs, and runs, and runs with the ball. His completion percentage is a not-terrible 60%. And he's only played three weeks, so tape on him is slim.

We know this: he is fast, he is not afraid to run the ball, and he's a damn gazelle when he does.

The good news: we can probably spy him. His weapons are bleak. Alex Collins is his #1 RB, and he's averaging 3.6 yards a carry. His #1 receiver is John Brown, who initially looked like Tyreek Hill when he first hit the league, but has since statistically slowed down and is now just a good receiver with very difficult speed to account for. Michael Crabtree is their #2 alongside Willie Snead, and Tyreek Hill has more yardage than both of those guys combined, but Crabtree has had good games against us in the past.

As a result, the Ravens are still somehow 13th in the league in yardage, they are averaging 25 points a game.

The Ravens have good pass protection, as they've only given up like 25 sacks or something like that. Ronnie Stanley is their LT.

But really, the Ravens offense wins by trying to run the ball, passing decently, and then letting Lamar Jackson get creative.

As far as the defense is concerned.................. biggest test of the year right here folks.

#1 rated defense in yardage (they're allowing under 300 yards/game).
#1 rated defense in points (they're allowing 17 points/game).

I think it's safe to say we're going to beat those averages but they should still slow us down pretty significantly. I don't know if Patty will have another 4 TD game here.

The Ravens get good pressure on the QB -- they're 9th in the league in sacks, and the pressure comes from everywhere. Suggs has always played well against us but he only has 5.5 this year. They blitz a good amount.

Simply put, the Ravens pass defense will be the biggest challenge Mahomes faces all year. They're allowing under 200 yards passing all season. Eric Weddle is a goddamn general at the back of their defense, and they've got a solid corner or two despite the fact that none of their corners are true ballhawks. Brandon Carr will make a rare appearance against the Chiefs, which is whatever, but he's apparently playing well.

The Ravens have a mean defensive line, and maybe the meanest NT in the league in Brandon Williams. I'm willing to bet they drop everyone in coverage, smother Kelce, and dare Spencer Ware to beat their DL. That's a very tall order, and I don't think our run game is up to the challenge. Mahomes will need to tap every ounce of his MVP talent to get yardage.

In special teams, they have arguably the greatest kicker in modern NFL history in Justin Tucker. They've had one punt return for a TD.

They're 7-5. They're on a three game win streak. Lamar Jackson has started all three games.

Their wins: Bills, Broncos, @Steelers, @Titans, Bengals (no Dalton), Raiders, @Falcons
Losses: @Bengals (Dalton), @Browns, Saints, @Panthers, Steelers

That schedule is all over the place. They beat Pitt in Pitt, but pathetically lose to the Browns. The most damning game on the schedule is the Saints game, where they only lost by a point.

How is this team so good? I've asked before. They have no elite talent on offense and are still racking up yardage and point. They have a damn good defense but don't intercept the ball and they don't have any sack masters like the Chiefs do.

What is going on?
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Old 12-03-2018, 06:52 AM   #16
Hammock Parties Hammock Parties is online now
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Atlanta's defense is trash and Jackson had 125 yards passing.
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Old 12-03-2018, 06:57 AM   #17
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Raiders offense is trash and the Chiefs defense gave up 26 2nd half points to them.
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Old 12-03-2018, 06:59 AM   #18
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Superturtle View Post
Raiders offense is trash and the Chiefs defense gave up 26 2nd half points to them.
Jackson has 2 TD in 3 games, completing less than 60 percent.

We stop the run we win.
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Old 12-03-2018, 07:09 AM   #19
Sassy Squatch Sassy Squatch is online now
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Originally Posted by Hammock Parties View Post
Jackson has 2 TD in 3 games, completing less than 60 percent.

We stop the run we win.
Haha, that's a good one. 171 yards given up to the ****ing Raiders. Carr had 13 TDs over 11 games. We gave up 3 to him. This defense is atrocious.
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Old 12-03-2018, 07:14 AM   #20
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I’d much rather see Flacco play than Lamar Jackson. He could run for days on us. But I think the home crowd is the difference maker here. Chiefs by 7
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Old 12-03-2018, 07:42 AM   #21
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Since this is a home game, I'm not worried. Chiefs defense is actually very good at home.
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Old 12-03-2018, 07:43 AM   #22
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At home, I’ll take Kansas City. Need to see the QB before picking a score.
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Old 12-03-2018, 07:45 AM   #23
Reerun_KC Reerun_KC is offline
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Old 12-03-2018, 07:47 AM   #24
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After watching our defense against the Raiders, I think the Chiefs drop this one.
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Old 12-03-2018, 08:09 AM   #25
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Haha, that's a good one. 171 yards given up to the ****ing Raiders. Carr had 13 TDs over 11 games. We gave up 3 to him. This defense is atrocious.
Carr isn't abysmal this season. Just kind of meh. He's completing 70 percent of his passes.

Jackson isn't a threat as a passer at this point. His QBR is terrible.

If we lose it will be because of run D.
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Old 12-03-2018, 08:15 AM   #26
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Is our D getting worse?
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Old 12-03-2018, 08:18 AM   #27
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Originally Posted by TimBone View Post
After watching our defense against the Raiders, I think the Chiefs drop this one.
Lol yea because our defense is the same on the road as it is at home

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Old 12-03-2018, 08:18 AM   #28
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No game is a lock for us. Defense is garbage. You think Rivers won't light up? Wilson will as well. Offense has to do it all.
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Old 12-03-2018, 08:19 AM   #29
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Quote:
Originally Posted by TimBone View Post
After watching our defense against the Raiders, I think the Chiefs drop this one.
After watching this defense AND offense against the Raiders, it's obvious they just wanted to get the game over with.

They aren't losing at home to the Ravens.
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Old 12-03-2018, 08:20 AM   #30
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No game is a lock for us. Defense is garbage. You think Rivers won't light up? Wilson will as well. Offense has to do it all.
I'll bet you were one of the ones predicting a Chargers blowout in LA, right?
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