***NON-POLITICAL COVID-19 Discussion Thread***

[JakeF]

A couple of reminders...

Originally Posted by Bwana

Once again, don't come in this thread with some kind of political agenda, or you will be shown the door. If you want to go that route, there is a thread about this in DC.

Originally Posted by Dartgod

People, there is a lot of good information in this thread, let's try to keep the petty bickering to a minimum.

We all have varying opinions about the impact of this, the numbers, etc. We will all never agree with each other. But we can all keep it civil.

Thanks!

Click here for the original OP:

Spoiler!

Apparently the CoronaVirus can survive on a inanimate objects, such as door knobs, for 9 days.

California coronavirus case could be first spread within U.S. community, CDC says
By SOUMYA KARLAMANGLA, JACLYN COSGROVE
FEB. 26, 2020 8:04 PM

The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention is investigating what could be the first case of novel coronavirus in the United States involving a patient in California who neither recently traveled out of the country nor was in contact with someone who did.

“At this time, the patient’s exposure is unknown. It’s possible this could be an instance of community spread of COVID-19, which would be the first time this has happened in the United States,” the CDC said in a statement. “Community spread means spread of an illness for which the source of infection is unknown. It’s also possible, however, that the patient may have been exposed to a returned traveler who was infected.”

The individual is a resident of Solano County and is receiving medical care in Sacramento County, according to the state Department of Public Health.

The CDC said the “case was detected through the U.S. public health system — picked up by astute clinicians.”

Officials at UC Davis Medical Center expanded on what the federal agency might have meant by that in an email sent Wednesday, as reported by the Davis Enterprise newspaper.

The patient arrived at UC Davis Medical Center from another hospital Feb. 19 and “had already been intubated, was on a ventilator, and given droplet protection orders because of an undiagnosed and suspected viral condition,” according to an email sent by UC Davis officials that was obtained by the Davis Enterprise.

The staff at UC Davis requested COVID-19 testing by the CDC, but because the patient didn’t fit the CDC’s existing criteria for the virus, a test wasn’t immediately administered, according to the email. The CDC then ordered the test Sunday, and results were announced Wednesday. Hospital administrators reportedly said in the email that despite these issues, there has been minimal exposure at the hospital because of safety protocols they have in place.

A UC Davis Health spokesperson declined Wednesday evening to share the email with The Times.

Since Feb. 2, more than 8,400 returning travelers from China have entered California, according to the state health department. They have been advised to self-quarantine for 14 days and limit interactions with others as much as possible, officials said.

“This is a new virus, and while we are still learning about it, there is a lot we already know,” Dr. Sonia Angell, director of the California Department of Public Health, said in a statement. “We have been anticipating the potential for such a case in the U.S., and given our close familial, social and business relationships with China, it is not unexpected that the first case in the U.S. would be in California.”

It is not clear how the person became infected, but public health workers could not identify any contacts with people who had traveled to China or other areas where the virus is widespread. That raises concern that the virus is spreading in the United States, creating a challenge for public health officials, experts say.

“It’s the first signal that we could be having silent transmission in the community,” said Lawrence Gostin, director of the World Health Organization Collaborating Center on National and Global Health Law. “It probably means there are many more cases out there, and it probably means this individual has infected others, and now it’s a race to try to find out who that person has infected.”

On Tuesday, the CDC offered its most serious warning to date that the United States should expect and prepare for the coronavirus to become a more widespread health issue.

“Ultimately, we expect we will see coronavirus spread in this country,” said Nancy Messonnier, director of the CDC’s National Center for Immunization and Respiratory Diseases. “It’s not so much a question of if, but a question of when.”

According to the CDC’s latest count Wednesday morning, 59 U.S. residents have tested positive for the new strain of coronavirus — 42 of whom are repatriated citizens from a Diamond Princess cruise. That number has grown by two since Messonnier’s last count Tuesday, although the CDC was not immediately available to offer details on the additional cases.

More than 82,000 cases of coronavirus have been reported globally, and more than 2,700 people have died, with the majority in mainland China, the epicenter of the outbreak.

But public health leaders have repeatedly reminded residents that the health risk from the novel coronavirus to the general public remains low.

“While COVID-19 has a high transmission rate, it has a low mortality rate,” the state Department of Public Health said in a statement Wednesday. “From the international data we have, of those who have tested positive for COVID-19, approximately 80% do not exhibit symptoms that would require hospitalization. There have been no confirmed deaths related to COVID-19 in the United States to date.”

CDC officials have also warned that although the virus is likely to spread in U.S. communities, the flu still poses a greater risk.

Gostin said the news of potential silent transmission does not eliminate the possibility of containing the virus in the U.S. and preventing an outbreak.

“There are few enough cases that we should at least try,” he said. “Most of us are not optimistic that that will be successful, but we’re still in the position to try.”

[OnTheWarpath15]

Originally Posted by DaFace

Good news. Fingers crossed that we don't see the trend reverse soon.

So three hours ago, Gottlieb says that the Abbott test has a false negative rate of 30-50%, now he's claiming we're experiencing a steep decline.

How is that data reliable at all when the testing data isn't reliable?

[Bugeater]

Originally Posted by eDave

I may know who it is and that he is getting a laugh out of all this attention as a lurker this week.

He thinks he's invincible.

[BigCatDaddy]

Originally Posted by dirk digler

National data from this past week suggest that the U.S. is starting to experience a sustained and sharper decline in new covid19 cases after a period of extended plateau. pic.twitter.com/alcFxGsrq3

— Scott Gottlieb, MD (@ScottGottliebMD) May 13, 2020

Can't be! I heard once restrictions were reduce it would spike!

[Spott]

Originally Posted by BigCatDaddy

This could get interesting. Imagine the 49ers, Rams and Chargers playing home games in FL.
https://www.espn.com/espn/story/_/id...5pD0bsl55rlvX4

I doubt the Chargers will notice the difference. Warm, sunny and not a single Charger fan in sight.

[Monticore]

Originally Posted by BigCatDaddy

Can't be! I heard once restrictions were reduce it would spike!

The effects would be about 2 weeks behind if there were any being caused by the reductions , would be nice if this trend continues though.

[InvinciBill]

Originally Posted by eDave

I may know who it is and that he is getting a laugh out of all this attention as a lurker this week.

Not me this time. My thumbs are up for Monticore!

[DaFace]

Originally Posted by BigCatDaddy

Can't be! I heard once restrictions were reduce it would spike!

Eh, you wouldn't see the impact of a spike yet. Time will tell.

[Monticore]

Originally Posted by InvinciBill

Not me this time. My thumbs are up for Monticore!

Yup not you. Maybe I should start a poll lol.

I stand corrected he has posted in here , last time in April lol

[Donger]

https://www.houstonchronicle.com/loc...9-15266053.php

The state, meanwhile, has spiked significantly in the last week, marked by six straight days of more than 1,000 cases a day. About 37 percent of reported cases and nearly 40 percent of Texas deaths have occurred in the past two weeks.

[dirk digler]

Originally Posted by OnTheWarpath15

So three hours ago, Gottlieb says that the Abbott test has a false negative rate of 30-50%, now he's claiming we're experiencing a steep decline.

How is that data reliable at all when the testing data isn't reliable?

I don't think the Abbott tests are widely used but could be wrong about that.

[BigCatDaddy]

Originally Posted by DaFace

Eh, you wouldn't see the impact of a spike yet. Time will tell.

Cool..Ill see whats up with MO next week.

[TLO]

Originally Posted by BigCatDaddy

Cool..Ill see whats up with MO next week.

I went for a little drive after work tonight. St. Joe appears to be about 95% back to normal. Packed parking lots and shitty traffic. The construction they're doing on the Belt doesn't help with the traffic issue much.

[TLO]

Final Missouri numbers for the day

Cases in Missouri: 10,142

Total Deaths: 542

Patients tested in Missouri (by all labs): approximately 126,935

Missouri drops below the 8% positivity rate.

[tk13]

Originally Posted by BigCatDaddy

Cool..Ill see whats up with MO next week.

This isn't a movie. It isn't like you'll wake up one morning with 40,000 cases.

[TLO]

Anyone know how accurate the Quest Diagnostic antibody test is?