Home Discord Chat
Go Back   ChiefsPlanet > Nzoner's Game Room
Reload this Page Chiefs How good are the Chiefs chances at the AFC's #1 seed?
Register FAQDonate Members List Calendar

Reply
Page 22 of 71 « First 1218192021 22 2324252632 Last »
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
Old 11-21-2021, 07:21 PM  
MMXcalibur MMXcalibur is offline
Pessimistically optimistic.
 
MMXcalibur's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jan 2009
Location: Denver, CO
Casino cash: $-144914
How good are the Chiefs chances at the AFC's #1 seed?
Updated: 12/19

Teams that actually matter in this conversation:

Kansas City (10-4) (vs PIT, at CIN, at DEN)

New England (9-5) (vs BUF, vs JAC, at MIA)

Tennessee (9-5) (vs SF, vs MIA, at HOU)

Baltimore (8-5) (vs GB, at CIN, vs LAR, vs PIT)

Buffalo (8-6) (at NE, vs ATL, vs NYJ)

Indianapolis (8-6) (at ARI, vs LV, at JAC)

LA Chargers (8-6) (at HOU, vs DEN, at LV)

---

Being 1 game back with six games to play seems incredibly generous given our shitty tiebreaker situation. I'll put our odds at 99.9999999%
Last edited by MMXcalibur; 12-19-2021 at 03:13 PM..
Posts: 16,747
MMXcalibur is obviously part of the inner Circle.MMXcalibur is obviously part of the inner Circle.MMXcalibur is obviously part of the inner Circle.MMXcalibur is obviously part of the inner Circle.MMXcalibur is obviously part of the inner Circle.MMXcalibur is obviously part of the inner Circle.MMXcalibur is obviously part of the inner Circle.MMXcalibur is obviously part of the inner Circle.MMXcalibur is obviously part of the inner Circle.MMXcalibur is obviously part of the inner Circle.MMXcalibur is obviously part of the inner Circle.
     Reply With Quote
Old 12-06-2021, 12:26 PM   #316
MahomesMagic MahomesMagic is online now
Generational Player
 
MahomesMagic's Avatar
 

Join Date: May 2017
Location: Honolulu
Casino cash: $530400
Quote:
Originally Posted by davewan View Post
Chiefs are on the losing end of several tie breakers. Right at this moment, the Pats, Titans and Ravens all have the tie breaker advantage on the Chiefs. If the Chiefs, Chargers and Bills all had identical records right now, the Chargers and Bills would have tie breaker advantages as well. A lot would have to fall just right for the Chiefs to end up as the 1 seed. The odds have to be pretty steep against that happening.
Bills fan?

I think Allen chokes tonight Da Quix.
Posts: 9,914
MahomesMagic is obviously part of the inner Circle.MahomesMagic is obviously part of the inner Circle.MahomesMagic is obviously part of the inner Circle.MahomesMagic is obviously part of the inner Circle.MahomesMagic is obviously part of the inner Circle.MahomesMagic is obviously part of the inner Circle.MahomesMagic is obviously part of the inner Circle.MahomesMagic is obviously part of the inner Circle.MahomesMagic is obviously part of the inner Circle.MahomesMagic is obviously part of the inner Circle.MahomesMagic is obviously part of the inner Circle.
     Reply With Quote
Old 12-06-2021, 12:27 PM   #317
Hammock Parties Hammock Parties is offline
I'll be back.
 
Hammock Parties's Avatar
 

Join Date: Nov 2002
Casino cash: $1000478
Quote:
Originally Posted by MahomesMagic View Post
Ravens CB Marlon Humphrey (shoulder) likely out for season

Ravens aren't beating us without Humphrey.
Yeah this was another major development for us.

Baltimore is pretty well ****ed at this point given their schedule.

Tennessee is trash and has no prayer.

We only really need to worry about Buffalo and New England, and the play each other twice.

It's really set up well for KC right now IF they take care of bidness.
__________________
Chiefs game films
Posts: 296,771
Hammock Parties is obviously part of the inner Circle.Hammock Parties is obviously part of the inner Circle.Hammock Parties is obviously part of the inner Circle.Hammock Parties is obviously part of the inner Circle.Hammock Parties is obviously part of the inner Circle.Hammock Parties is obviously part of the inner Circle.Hammock Parties is obviously part of the inner Circle.Hammock Parties is obviously part of the inner Circle.Hammock Parties is obviously part of the inner Circle.Hammock Parties is obviously part of the inner Circle.Hammock Parties is obviously part of the inner Circle.
 Thumbs Up 1 Thumbs Down 0     Reply With Quote
Old 12-06-2021, 12:28 PM   #318
Spott Spott is offline
Court Jester
 
Spott's Avatar
 

Join Date: Aug 2000
Location: Orlando
Casino cash: $-627600
Quote:
Originally Posted by BWillie View Post
We want New England to win tonight right? Buffalo has tie breaker on us as they beat us head to head.
At bare minimum, we want them to split the series. If NE wins tonight, it would be much easier for them to sweep Buffalo since the next game will be in Foxboro.
Posts: 20,677
Spott is obviously part of the inner Circle.Spott is obviously part of the inner Circle.Spott is obviously part of the inner Circle.Spott is obviously part of the inner Circle.Spott is obviously part of the inner Circle.Spott is obviously part of the inner Circle.Spott is obviously part of the inner Circle.Spott is obviously part of the inner Circle.Spott is obviously part of the inner Circle.Spott is obviously part of the inner Circle.Spott is obviously part of the inner Circle.
     Reply With Quote
Old 12-06-2021, 12:30 PM   #319
MahomesMagic MahomesMagic is online now
Generational Player
 
MahomesMagic's Avatar
 

Join Date: May 2017
Location: Honolulu
Casino cash: $530400
Quote:
Originally Posted by Spott View Post
At bare minimum, we want them to split the series. If NE wins tonight, it would be much easier for them to sweep Buffalo since the next game will be in Foxboro.
It's pretty evenly matched. Supposedly weather will be a factor.

Bills fans insist Allen can't play well if there is a slight wind.

That tips this into NE's favor since their OL and Defense are better.
Posts: 9,914
MahomesMagic is obviously part of the inner Circle.MahomesMagic is obviously part of the inner Circle.MahomesMagic is obviously part of the inner Circle.MahomesMagic is obviously part of the inner Circle.MahomesMagic is obviously part of the inner Circle.MahomesMagic is obviously part of the inner Circle.MahomesMagic is obviously part of the inner Circle.MahomesMagic is obviously part of the inner Circle.MahomesMagic is obviously part of the inner Circle.MahomesMagic is obviously part of the inner Circle.MahomesMagic is obviously part of the inner Circle.
     Reply With Quote
Old 12-06-2021, 12:37 PM   #320
Mama Hip Rockets Mama Hip Rockets is offline
You don't faze me, Gobble.
 
Mama Hip Rockets's Avatar
 

Join Date: Dec 2005
Casino cash: $9915644
Quote:
Originally Posted by Mama Hip Rockets View Post
Gained on Bengals, Raiders, and Ravens today. Will gain on Broncos tonight and Patriots or Bills tomorrow.
Forgot that the Chiefs also gained 1/2 game on the Titans, who had a bye week.
Posts: 13,675
Mama Hip Rockets is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.Mama Hip Rockets is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.Mama Hip Rockets is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.Mama Hip Rockets is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.Mama Hip Rockets is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.Mama Hip Rockets is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.Mama Hip Rockets is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.Mama Hip Rockets is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.Mama Hip Rockets is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.Mama Hip Rockets is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.Mama Hip Rockets is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.
     Reply With Quote
Old 12-06-2021, 12:43 PM   #321
DaFace DaFace is offline
Kind of a mod
 
DaFace's Avatar
 

Join Date: Aug 2005
Location: Donkey Land
Casino cash: $-1683101
For what it's worth, 538's current model says:

27% Titans
25% Patriots
14% Chiefs
12% Bills
11% Ravens
8% Chargers
2% Bengals

I'd guess the Titans are a little high since the model doesn't know how to account for a missing all-star RB, but otherwise I think it's reasonable.

We want the Bills to win tonight, but honestly it really just comes down to the Chiefs winning out vs. not. The rest of it will wash out.
Posts: 53,132
DaFace is obviously part of the inner Circle.DaFace is obviously part of the inner Circle.DaFace is obviously part of the inner Circle.DaFace is obviously part of the inner Circle.DaFace is obviously part of the inner Circle.DaFace is obviously part of the inner Circle.DaFace is obviously part of the inner Circle.DaFace is obviously part of the inner Circle.DaFace is obviously part of the inner Circle.DaFace is obviously part of the inner Circle.DaFace is obviously part of the inner Circle.
 Thumbs Up 1 Thumbs Down 0     Reply With Quote
Old 12-06-2021, 01:11 PM   #322
tyecopeland tyecopeland is offline
Veteran
 
tyecopeland's Avatar
 

Join Date: May 2019
Casino cash: $-749590
Quote:
Originally Posted by arrwheader View Post
So I think a Bills win tonight and loss later this week (to bucs), followed with a Chiefs win and a balt loss would put Chiefs up to 2 seed. If Tenn lost to jags again we would be the 1 seed in that scenerio.
I dont mind rooting for the bills. But I don't like having to root for the bucs in a week.
__________________
Posts: 4,772
tyecopeland 's adopt a chief was Sabby Piscitellityecopeland 's adopt a chief was Sabby Piscitellityecopeland 's adopt a chief was Sabby Piscitellityecopeland 's adopt a chief was Sabby Piscitellityecopeland 's adopt a chief was Sabby Piscitellityecopeland 's adopt a chief was Sabby Piscitellityecopeland 's adopt a chief was Sabby Piscitellityecopeland 's adopt a chief was Sabby Piscitellityecopeland 's adopt a chief was Sabby Piscitellityecopeland 's adopt a chief was Sabby Piscitellityecopeland 's adopt a chief was Sabby Piscitelli
     Reply With Quote
Old 12-06-2021, 01:16 PM   #323
Hammock Parties Hammock Parties is offline
I'll be back.
 
Hammock Parties's Avatar
 

Join Date: Nov 2002
Casino cash: $1000478
I feel like the fans of every other AFC team are going to be so big mad at us in a few weeks.

In no way are we going to deserve that #1 seed
__________________
Chiefs game films
Posts: 296,771
Hammock Parties is obviously part of the inner Circle.Hammock Parties is obviously part of the inner Circle.Hammock Parties is obviously part of the inner Circle.Hammock Parties is obviously part of the inner Circle.Hammock Parties is obviously part of the inner Circle.Hammock Parties is obviously part of the inner Circle.Hammock Parties is obviously part of the inner Circle.Hammock Parties is obviously part of the inner Circle.Hammock Parties is obviously part of the inner Circle.Hammock Parties is obviously part of the inner Circle.Hammock Parties is obviously part of the inner Circle.
     Reply With Quote
Old 12-06-2021, 01:34 PM   #324
KC_Connection KC_Connection is offline
Perpetual Mediocrity
 
KC_Connection's Avatar
 

Join Date: Jan 2006
Casino cash: $1722783
Quote:
Originally Posted by DaFace View Post
For what it's worth, 538's current model says:

27% Titans
25% Patriots
14% Chiefs
12% Bills
11% Ravens
8% Chargers
2% Bengals

I'd guess the Titans are a little high since the model doesn't know how to account for a missing all-star RB, but otherwise I think it's reasonable.

We want the Bills to win tonight, but honestly it really just comes down to the Chiefs winning out vs. not. The rest of it will wash out.
https://www.footballoutsiders.com/st...l/playoff-odds

Football Outsiders has it as 41.1% Patriots, 15.7% Bills, 14.3% Chiefs, 12.1% Titans, Ravens 7.2%, and Chargers 7.2%. It also thinks if the Chiefs win 4/5 they probably do it.

Although their system clearly thinks the Patriots are the best team in the AFC, which I'm less sure about yet.
Posts: 57,677
KC_Connection has parlayed a career as a truck driver into debt free trailer and jon boat ownership.KC_Connection has parlayed a career as a truck driver into debt free trailer and jon boat ownership.KC_Connection has parlayed a career as a truck driver into debt free trailer and jon boat ownership.KC_Connection has parlayed a career as a truck driver into debt free trailer and jon boat ownership.KC_Connection has parlayed a career as a truck driver into debt free trailer and jon boat ownership.KC_Connection has parlayed a career as a truck driver into debt free trailer and jon boat ownership.KC_Connection has parlayed a career as a truck driver into debt free trailer and jon boat ownership.KC_Connection has parlayed a career as a truck driver into debt free trailer and jon boat ownership.KC_Connection has parlayed a career as a truck driver into debt free trailer and jon boat ownership.KC_Connection has parlayed a career as a truck driver into debt free trailer and jon boat ownership.KC_Connection has parlayed a career as a truck driver into debt free trailer and jon boat ownership.
 Thumbs Up 1 Thumbs Down 0     Reply With Quote
Old 12-06-2021, 01:55 PM   #325
loochy loochy is offline
Hey Loochy, I'm hooome!
 
loochy's Avatar
 

Join Date: Oct 2008
Location: PooPooKaKaPeePeeShire
Casino cash: $-1549603
Quote:
Originally Posted by Hammock Parties View Post
I feel like the fans of every other AFC team are going to be so big mad at us in a few weeks.

In no way are we going to deserve that #1 seed

The Chiefs would (theoretically) deserve it no less than any of the other teams.


There has been a lot of craptacular effort across the AFC this year. Maybe NOBODY should get the #1 seed (how would that work?).
__________________
Hey Loochy, I'm hoooome!
Posts: 42,043
loochy is obviously part of the inner Circle.loochy is obviously part of the inner Circle.loochy is obviously part of the inner Circle.loochy is obviously part of the inner Circle.loochy is obviously part of the inner Circle.loochy is obviously part of the inner Circle.loochy is obviously part of the inner Circle.loochy is obviously part of the inner Circle.loochy is obviously part of the inner Circle.loochy is obviously part of the inner Circle.loochy is obviously part of the inner Circle.
     Reply With Quote
Old 12-06-2021, 01:56 PM   #326
tyecopeland tyecopeland is offline
Veteran
 
tyecopeland's Avatar
 

Join Date: May 2019
Casino cash: $-749590
Quote:
Originally Posted by loochy View Post
The Chiefs would (theoretically) deserve it no less than any of the other teams.


There has been a lot of craptacular effort across the AFC this year. Maybe NOBODY should get the #1 seed (how would that work?).
Allow an 8th afc team and make the 1 seed play them.
__________________
Posts: 4,772
tyecopeland 's adopt a chief was Sabby Piscitellityecopeland 's adopt a chief was Sabby Piscitellityecopeland 's adopt a chief was Sabby Piscitellityecopeland 's adopt a chief was Sabby Piscitellityecopeland 's adopt a chief was Sabby Piscitellityecopeland 's adopt a chief was Sabby Piscitellityecopeland 's adopt a chief was Sabby Piscitellityecopeland 's adopt a chief was Sabby Piscitellityecopeland 's adopt a chief was Sabby Piscitellityecopeland 's adopt a chief was Sabby Piscitellityecopeland 's adopt a chief was Sabby Piscitelli
     Reply With Quote
Old 12-06-2021, 02:56 PM   #327
JakeF JakeF is offline
MVP
 
JakeF's Avatar
 

Join Date: May 2017
Casino cash: $9990400
Much better now, things are dropping just right.

Still have 2 teams we've lost to with the same record as us. Our schedule isn't easy. We kinda need to win out. The Patriots look like a pita.

@Rams, @Cincy, @Denver
Steelers, Raiders

Our QB tends to play better on the road, so that helps.
Posts: 10,605
JakeF Forgot to Remove His Claytex and Got Toxic Shock Syndrome.JakeF Forgot to Remove His Claytex and Got Toxic Shock Syndrome.JakeF Forgot to Remove His Claytex and Got Toxic Shock Syndrome.JakeF Forgot to Remove His Claytex and Got Toxic Shock Syndrome.JakeF Forgot to Remove His Claytex and Got Toxic Shock Syndrome.JakeF Forgot to Remove His Claytex and Got Toxic Shock Syndrome.JakeF Forgot to Remove His Claytex and Got Toxic Shock Syndrome.JakeF Forgot to Remove His Claytex and Got Toxic Shock Syndrome.JakeF Forgot to Remove His Claytex and Got Toxic Shock Syndrome.JakeF Forgot to Remove His Claytex and Got Toxic Shock Syndrome.JakeF Forgot to Remove His Claytex and Got Toxic Shock Syndrome.
     Reply With Quote
Old 12-06-2021, 02:58 PM   #328
JakeF JakeF is offline
MVP
 
JakeF's Avatar
 

Join Date: May 2017
Casino cash: $9990400
Quote:
Originally Posted by BWillie View Post
We want New England to win tonight right? Buffalo has tie breaker on us as they beat us head to head.
I dunno. I think the Patriots are the better team now.
Posts: 10,605
JakeF Forgot to Remove His Claytex and Got Toxic Shock Syndrome.JakeF Forgot to Remove His Claytex and Got Toxic Shock Syndrome.JakeF Forgot to Remove His Claytex and Got Toxic Shock Syndrome.JakeF Forgot to Remove His Claytex and Got Toxic Shock Syndrome.JakeF Forgot to Remove His Claytex and Got Toxic Shock Syndrome.JakeF Forgot to Remove His Claytex and Got Toxic Shock Syndrome.JakeF Forgot to Remove His Claytex and Got Toxic Shock Syndrome.JakeF Forgot to Remove His Claytex and Got Toxic Shock Syndrome.JakeF Forgot to Remove His Claytex and Got Toxic Shock Syndrome.JakeF Forgot to Remove His Claytex and Got Toxic Shock Syndrome.JakeF Forgot to Remove His Claytex and Got Toxic Shock Syndrome.
     Reply With Quote
Old 12-06-2021, 03:28 PM   #329
O.city O.city is offline
In Search of a Life
 
O.city's Avatar
 

Join Date: Jul 2009
Casino cash: $-555936
So we just need the Bills and Pats to split and the Bills to lose to the Bucs and the Chiefs just have to win out.
Posts: 84,158
O.city is obviously part of the inner Circle.O.city is obviously part of the inner Circle.O.city is obviously part of the inner Circle.O.city is obviously part of the inner Circle.O.city is obviously part of the inner Circle.O.city is obviously part of the inner Circle.O.city is obviously part of the inner Circle.O.city is obviously part of the inner Circle.O.city is obviously part of the inner Circle.O.city is obviously part of the inner Circle.O.city is obviously part of the inner Circle.
     Reply With Quote
Old 12-06-2021, 03:30 PM   #330
Hammock Parties Hammock Parties is offline
I'll be back.
 
Hammock Parties's Avatar
 

Join Date: Nov 2002
Casino cash: $1000478
Quote:
Originally Posted by O.city View Post
So we just need the Bills and Pats to split and the Bills to lose to the Bucs and the Chiefs just have to win out.
Need TEN and BAL to drop one.
__________________
Chiefs game films
Posts: 296,771
Hammock Parties is obviously part of the inner Circle.Hammock Parties is obviously part of the inner Circle.Hammock Parties is obviously part of the inner Circle.Hammock Parties is obviously part of the inner Circle.Hammock Parties is obviously part of the inner Circle.Hammock Parties is obviously part of the inner Circle.Hammock Parties is obviously part of the inner Circle.Hammock Parties is obviously part of the inner Circle.Hammock Parties is obviously part of the inner Circle.Hammock Parties is obviously part of the inner Circle.Hammock Parties is obviously part of the inner Circle.
     Reply With Quote
Reply
Page 22 of 71 « First 1218192021 22 2324252632 Last »

« Previous Thread | > Nzoner's Game Room < | Next Thread »

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts
BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is On
Forum Jump




All times are GMT -6. The time now is 12:06 PM.

Contact Us - ChiefsPlanet - Archive - Top

This is a test for a client's site.
Fort Worth Texas Process Servers
Covering Arlington, Fort Worth, Grand Prairie and surrounding communities.
Tarrant County, Texas and Johnson County, Texas.
Advertise with us!
Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, vBulletin Solutions, Inc.