***NON-POLITICAL COVID-19 Discussion Thread***

[JakeF]

A couple of reminders...

Originally Posted by Bwana

Once again, don't come in this thread with some kind of political agenda, or you will be shown the door. If you want to go that route, there is a thread about this in DC.

Originally Posted by Dartgod

People, there is a lot of good information in this thread, let's try to keep the petty bickering to a minimum.

We all have varying opinions about the impact of this, the numbers, etc. We will all never agree with each other. But we can all keep it civil.

Thanks!

Click here for the original OP:

Spoiler!

Apparently the CoronaVirus can survive on a inanimate objects, such as door knobs, for 9 days.

California coronavirus case could be first spread within U.S. community, CDC says
By SOUMYA KARLAMANGLA, JACLYN COSGROVE
FEB. 26, 2020 8:04 PM

The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention is investigating what could be the first case of novel coronavirus in the United States involving a patient in California who neither recently traveled out of the country nor was in contact with someone who did.

“At this time, the patient’s exposure is unknown. It’s possible this could be an instance of community spread of COVID-19, which would be the first time this has happened in the United States,” the CDC said in a statement. “Community spread means spread of an illness for which the source of infection is unknown. It’s also possible, however, that the patient may have been exposed to a returned traveler who was infected.”

The individual is a resident of Solano County and is receiving medical care in Sacramento County, according to the state Department of Public Health.

The CDC said the “case was detected through the U.S. public health system — picked up by astute clinicians.”

Officials at UC Davis Medical Center expanded on what the federal agency might have meant by that in an email sent Wednesday, as reported by the Davis Enterprise newspaper.

The patient arrived at UC Davis Medical Center from another hospital Feb. 19 and “had already been intubated, was on a ventilator, and given droplet protection orders because of an undiagnosed and suspected viral condition,” according to an email sent by UC Davis officials that was obtained by the Davis Enterprise.

The staff at UC Davis requested COVID-19 testing by the CDC, but because the patient didn’t fit the CDC’s existing criteria for the virus, a test wasn’t immediately administered, according to the email. The CDC then ordered the test Sunday, and results were announced Wednesday. Hospital administrators reportedly said in the email that despite these issues, there has been minimal exposure at the hospital because of safety protocols they have in place.

A UC Davis Health spokesperson declined Wednesday evening to share the email with The Times.

Since Feb. 2, more than 8,400 returning travelers from China have entered California, according to the state health department. They have been advised to self-quarantine for 14 days and limit interactions with others as much as possible, officials said.

“This is a new virus, and while we are still learning about it, there is a lot we already know,” Dr. Sonia Angell, director of the California Department of Public Health, said in a statement. “We have been anticipating the potential for such a case in the U.S., and given our close familial, social and business relationships with China, it is not unexpected that the first case in the U.S. would be in California.”

It is not clear how the person became infected, but public health workers could not identify any contacts with people who had traveled to China or other areas where the virus is widespread. That raises concern that the virus is spreading in the United States, creating a challenge for public health officials, experts say.

“It’s the first signal that we could be having silent transmission in the community,” said Lawrence Gostin, director of the World Health Organization Collaborating Center on National and Global Health Law. “It probably means there are many more cases out there, and it probably means this individual has infected others, and now it’s a race to try to find out who that person has infected.”

On Tuesday, the CDC offered its most serious warning to date that the United States should expect and prepare for the coronavirus to become a more widespread health issue.

“Ultimately, we expect we will see coronavirus spread in this country,” said Nancy Messonnier, director of the CDC’s National Center for Immunization and Respiratory Diseases. “It’s not so much a question of if, but a question of when.”

According to the CDC’s latest count Wednesday morning, 59 U.S. residents have tested positive for the new strain of coronavirus — 42 of whom are repatriated citizens from a Diamond Princess cruise. That number has grown by two since Messonnier’s last count Tuesday, although the CDC was not immediately available to offer details on the additional cases.

More than 82,000 cases of coronavirus have been reported globally, and more than 2,700 people have died, with the majority in mainland China, the epicenter of the outbreak.

But public health leaders have repeatedly reminded residents that the health risk from the novel coronavirus to the general public remains low.

“While COVID-19 has a high transmission rate, it has a low mortality rate,” the state Department of Public Health said in a statement Wednesday. “From the international data we have, of those who have tested positive for COVID-19, approximately 80% do not exhibit symptoms that would require hospitalization. There have been no confirmed deaths related to COVID-19 in the United States to date.”

CDC officials have also warned that although the virus is likely to spread in U.S. communities, the flu still poses a greater risk.

Gostin said the news of potential silent transmission does not eliminate the possibility of containing the virus in the U.S. and preventing an outbreak.

“There are few enough cases that we should at least try,” he said. “Most of us are not optimistic that that will be successful, but we’re still in the position to try.”

[Chitownchiefsfan]

Originally Posted by Demonpenz

Are you ****ing serious?

Imagine how many it could be it the situation hadn't already stabilized in Florida.

[eDave]

Originally Posted by Donger

Arizona seems to have done a pretty good job slowing their new case growth.

Definitely on the right track but testing continues to decline (Ducey announced increased testing the other day in the predominately poor Hispanic area of the city who are the highest %age of cases). Deaths could use some work.




Cases: The 7-day death avg has hit a new all time high. 3rd highest death total in a daily report today. Likely: 150K cases by July 20, 3,000 deaths by July 25.

Testing: PCR Testing dropped roughly 2.6K tests since yesterday.

Spread: Overall PCR positive test percentage held at 14.1% (based on 695K tests, up from a 6.6% low) and the average for this week dropped from 20% to 19% (based on 33,633 tests, down from 21% last week).

Hospital Utilization: COVID Hospitalizations went down 1.5%. ICU beds for COVID patients went up 2.5% (Overall ICU bed usage went down 90% to 89%). Ventilators in use for COVID went up 1.8%. Intubations for Respiratory Distress dropped below triple digits (98).

[dirk digler]

Good job Florida.

[Donger]

Originally Posted by eDave

Definitely on the right track but testing continues to decline (Ducey announced increased testing the other day in the predominately poor Hispanic area of the city who are the highest %age of cases). Deaths could use some work.




Cases: The 7-day death avg has hit a new all time high. 3rd highest death total in a daily report today. Likely: 150K cases by July 20, 3,000 deaths by July 25.

Testing: PCR Testing dropped roughly 2.6K tests since yesterday.

Spread: Overall PCR positive test percentage held at 14.1% (based on 695K tests, up from a 6.6% low) and the average for this week dropped from 20% to 19% (based on 33,633 tests, down from 21% last week).

Hospital Utilization: COVID Hospitalizations went down 1.5%. ICU beds for COVID patients went up 2.5% (Overall ICU bed usage went down 90% to 89%). Ventilators in use for COVID went up 1.8%. Intubations for Respiratory Distress dropped below triple digits (98).

When did the mask orders go into effect?

[eDave]

Originally Posted by Donger

When did the mask orders go into effect?

Started June 20. Late at night. Around 10:30ish. I would probably toss out the first week if I were to summarize the mandates affect on current trends. Next week will provide more accurate data to work with.

[dirk digler]

What a shocker.

internal Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) documents warn that fully reopening schools would be “highest risk” for spreading the coronavirus, according to the New York Times.

The 69-page report labeled “For Internal Use Only” was compiled to assist federal public health response teams in dealing with coronavirus hot spots. The document includes reopening plans and proposals in line with CDC guidelines, for state and district schools along with universities.

[Donger]

Originally Posted by eDave

Started June 20. Late at night. Around 10:30ish.

Fingers crossed.

[Pitt Gorilla]

Originally Posted by O.city

It kinda opened my eyes to the fact that we just build in flu deaths and such which may be preventable

Hell from all the reading I’ve done, we can’t compare this to the flu because we don’t have accurate flu data.

Like you I’ve somewhat been lax on the flu shot. No more on that.

I've always gotten a flu shot because 1) it prevents the flu and 2) it's free through insurance. There's never been a reason NOT to get a flu shot.

[O.city]

Originally Posted by Pitt Gorilla

I've always gotten a flu shot because 1) it prevents the flu and 2) it's free through insurance. There's never been a reason NOT to get a flu shot.

I’m usually good about it but the last few years I’ve not

With kids and my profession I should always

[RedRaider56]

Originally Posted by TLO

https://www.foxnews.com/media/dr-atl...-mexico-border

yep..interesting article. Not surprised about the protests adding to the number of new positive testcases.
Wasn't aware of the surge in Mexico though

[TLO]

This is a scandal begging for press coverage:

333 FL Covid Testing labs reported 100% positive tests today in State Report for 3,528 tests.

That is 34% of today's 10,360 new cases.

Without these, today's "percent positive" would fall from 12.6% to 8.7%. pic.twitter.com/l4AZJISLim

— RebelACole (@RebelACole) July 11, 2020

[eDave]

Scandal? GTFO. It might be a data point link error, but scandal? GTFO.

[TLO]

Another 31 labs reporting 90% - 99% positive rates for 1,767 additional positive tests.

Another 18% of today's 10,360 new cases. pic.twitter.com/NNWJs0CTvr

— RebelACole (@RebelACole) July 11, 2020

[cdcox]

7-day running averages smooth out day-to-day variations and weekend effects.

The 7-day running average of cases started ticking up around June 14.



We can clearly see now that deaths are following course, starting July 7. The lag is about 3 weeks. Data clearly show that deaths are going to continue to increase for the next several weeks. It is as inevitable as the Titanic sinking the moment it hit the iceberg.


host image free

I hope this will end once and for all wishful thinking that increases in new cases won't eventually manifest increases in deaths.

[DaneMcCloud]

Originally Posted by eDave

Scandal? GTFO. It might be a data point link error, but scandal? GTFO.

It's some bozo with 2,000 Twitter followers, which apparently, is all someone needs today to be relevant on the internets.