***NON-POLITICAL COVID-19 Discussion Thread***

[JakeF]

A couple of reminders...

Originally Posted by Bwana

Once again, don't come in this thread with some kind of political agenda, or you will be shown the door. If you want to go that route, there is a thread about this in DC.

Originally Posted by Dartgod

People, there is a lot of good information in this thread, let's try to keep the petty bickering to a minimum.

We all have varying opinions about the impact of this, the numbers, etc. We will all never agree with each other. But we can all keep it civil.

Thanks!

Click here for the original OP:

Spoiler!

Apparently the CoronaVirus can survive on a inanimate objects, such as door knobs, for 9 days.

California coronavirus case could be first spread within U.S. community, CDC says
By SOUMYA KARLAMANGLA, JACLYN COSGROVE
FEB. 26, 2020 8:04 PM

The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention is investigating what could be the first case of novel coronavirus in the United States involving a patient in California who neither recently traveled out of the country nor was in contact with someone who did.

“At this time, the patient’s exposure is unknown. It’s possible this could be an instance of community spread of COVID-19, which would be the first time this has happened in the United States,” the CDC said in a statement. “Community spread means spread of an illness for which the source of infection is unknown. It’s also possible, however, that the patient may have been exposed to a returned traveler who was infected.”

The individual is a resident of Solano County and is receiving medical care in Sacramento County, according to the state Department of Public Health.

The CDC said the “case was detected through the U.S. public health system — picked up by astute clinicians.”

Officials at UC Davis Medical Center expanded on what the federal agency might have meant by that in an email sent Wednesday, as reported by the Davis Enterprise newspaper.

The patient arrived at UC Davis Medical Center from another hospital Feb. 19 and “had already been intubated, was on a ventilator, and given droplet protection orders because of an undiagnosed and suspected viral condition,” according to an email sent by UC Davis officials that was obtained by the Davis Enterprise.

The staff at UC Davis requested COVID-19 testing by the CDC, but because the patient didn’t fit the CDC’s existing criteria for the virus, a test wasn’t immediately administered, according to the email. The CDC then ordered the test Sunday, and results were announced Wednesday. Hospital administrators reportedly said in the email that despite these issues, there has been minimal exposure at the hospital because of safety protocols they have in place.

A UC Davis Health spokesperson declined Wednesday evening to share the email with The Times.

Since Feb. 2, more than 8,400 returning travelers from China have entered California, according to the state health department. They have been advised to self-quarantine for 14 days and limit interactions with others as much as possible, officials said.

“This is a new virus, and while we are still learning about it, there is a lot we already know,” Dr. Sonia Angell, director of the California Department of Public Health, said in a statement. “We have been anticipating the potential for such a case in the U.S., and given our close familial, social and business relationships with China, it is not unexpected that the first case in the U.S. would be in California.”

It is not clear how the person became infected, but public health workers could not identify any contacts with people who had traveled to China or other areas where the virus is widespread. That raises concern that the virus is spreading in the United States, creating a challenge for public health officials, experts say.

“It’s the first signal that we could be having silent transmission in the community,” said Lawrence Gostin, director of the World Health Organization Collaborating Center on National and Global Health Law. “It probably means there are many more cases out there, and it probably means this individual has infected others, and now it’s a race to try to find out who that person has infected.”

On Tuesday, the CDC offered its most serious warning to date that the United States should expect and prepare for the coronavirus to become a more widespread health issue.

“Ultimately, we expect we will see coronavirus spread in this country,” said Nancy Messonnier, director of the CDC’s National Center for Immunization and Respiratory Diseases. “It’s not so much a question of if, but a question of when.”

According to the CDC’s latest count Wednesday morning, 59 U.S. residents have tested positive for the new strain of coronavirus — 42 of whom are repatriated citizens from a Diamond Princess cruise. That number has grown by two since Messonnier’s last count Tuesday, although the CDC was not immediately available to offer details on the additional cases.

More than 82,000 cases of coronavirus have been reported globally, and more than 2,700 people have died, with the majority in mainland China, the epicenter of the outbreak.

But public health leaders have repeatedly reminded residents that the health risk from the novel coronavirus to the general public remains low.

“While COVID-19 has a high transmission rate, it has a low mortality rate,” the state Department of Public Health said in a statement Wednesday. “From the international data we have, of those who have tested positive for COVID-19, approximately 80% do not exhibit symptoms that would require hospitalization. There have been no confirmed deaths related to COVID-19 in the United States to date.”

CDC officials have also warned that although the virus is likely to spread in U.S. communities, the flu still poses a greater risk.

Gostin said the news of potential silent transmission does not eliminate the possibility of containing the virus in the U.S. and preventing an outbreak.

“There are few enough cases that we should at least try,” he said. “Most of us are not optimistic that that will be successful, but we’re still in the position to try.”

[petegz28]

Originally Posted by TLO

They have us hitting 5k deaths a day by December.

What is their basis for that? Or are we now going to include flu numbers with Covid?

[TLO]

Originally Posted by petegz28

What is their basis for that? Or are we now going to include flu numbers with Covid?

Of course Bill Gates had this to say a few weeks ago.

https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.cnb...d-of-2020.html

And we've been predicted to hit 3000 deaths a day by "enter date here" a few different times - so yeah.

[petegz28]

Originally Posted by TLO

Of course Bill Gates had this to say a few weeks ago.

https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.cnb...d-of-2020.html

And we've been predicted to hit 3000 deaths a day by "enter date here" a few different times - so yeah.

Yeah I saw that from Gates a coupe of weeks ago. These "Everyone is gonna die" models have been full of shit right from the off.

[Chief Roundup]

Originally Posted by TLO

Of course Bill Gates had this to say a few weeks ago.

https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.cnb...d-of-2020.html

And we've been predicted to hit 3000 deaths a day by "enter date here" a few different times - so yeah.

Why do people give a shit about what Gates says about Covid? He is not an expert epidemiologist.

[loochy]

Originally Posted by Chief Roundup

Why do people give a shit about what Gates says about Covid? He is not an expert epidemiologist.

Good question. He simply inserted himself into this thing

[TLO]

Originally Posted by Chief Roundup

Why do people give a shit about what Gates says about Covid? He is not an expert epidemiologist.

True. But he's very tied into the world of vaccines and theraputics right now. That's all I was pointing out from the link.

[dirk digler]

Originally Posted by petegz28

Not really. I guess it depends on what you mean by "close"? We had 2 weeks with some consecutive high days but since August 8th we have only had 3 days above 1,200 thankfully.

Deaths are looking like they have rolled over a bit so I don't know that I can buy into their model as of yet.

FTR, the 7 day moving average of deaths has not been over 1,200 since the end of May. The 3 day hasn't been over 1,200 in almost 10 days.

I would consider our average right now "close". For the month of August we are averaging 1015 deaths per day that is even with some really low weekend numbers driving that average down. There is 101 days left until December 1 so if we keep the current average that is an additional 102k deaths which will bring us to over 280k. Which is crazy to think about.

[MahomesMagic]

Ian Rapoport
@RapSheet
The #Bears say they learned yesterday’s Covid-19 testing identified nine players/staff as positive. "We followed additional NFL-NFLPA testing protocol and confirmed all 9 results as false positives.” To be cautious, CHI postponed the morning practice to this afternoon at 1:30pm.

[petegz28]

Originally Posted by MahomesMagic

Ian Rapoport
@RapSheet
The #Bears say they learned yesterday’s Covid-19 testing identified nine players/staff as positive. "We followed additional NFL-NFLPA testing protocol and confirmed all 9 results as false positives.” To be cautious, CHI postponed the morning practice to this afternoon at 1:30pm.

Can't be. I have been told false positives simply do not exist or they are so rare that it's not even worth mentioning let alone believing 9 people in the same group all had false positves.

[Fat Elvis]

Interesting experiment going on over in Germany....

https://www.cnn.com/travel/article/g...ntl/index.html

[phisherman]

Originally Posted by petegz28

Can't be. I have been told false positives simply do not exist or they are so rare that it's not even worth mentioning let alone believing 9 people in the same group all had false positves.

Just a sinus infection, bro.

[MahomesMagic]

Adam Schefter
@AdamSchefter
So after the Bears had nine false positive tests this weekend, and the Jets 10, the Vikings now have 12 presumptive positive tests from the same New Jersey lab that produced the other testing results.

Yikes.

[Bwana]

Originally Posted by MahomesMagic

Adam Schefter
@AdamSchefter
So after the Bears had nine false positive tests this weekend, and the Jets 10, the Vikings now have 12 presumptive positive tests from the same New Jersey lab that produced the other testing results.

Yikes.

WTF? Nice lab! The problem is, even if you were to get tested, would you believe the results?

[TLO]

Trump supposedly gonna reveal a coronavirus 'breakthrough' therapeutic tonight.

[O.city]

Originally Posted by TLO

Trump supposedly gonna reveal a coronavirus 'breakthrough' therapeutic tonight.

I’m guessing monoclonal had a breakthrough