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Old 11-21-2021, 07:21 PM  
MMXcalibur MMXcalibur is offline
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How good are the Chiefs chances at the AFC's #1 seed?
Updated: 12/19

Teams that actually matter in this conversation:

Kansas City (10-4) (vs PIT, at CIN, at DEN)

New England (9-5) (vs BUF, vs JAC, at MIA)

Tennessee (9-5) (vs SF, vs MIA, at HOU)

Baltimore (8-5) (vs GB, at CIN, vs LAR, vs PIT)

Buffalo (8-6) (at NE, vs ATL, vs NYJ)

Indianapolis (8-6) (at ARI, vs LV, at JAC)

LA Chargers (8-6) (at HOU, vs DEN, at LV)

---

Being 1 game back with six games to play seems incredibly generous given our shitty tiebreaker situation. I'll put our odds at 99.9999999%
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Old 12-17-2021, 12:54 AM   #541
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DVOA rankings are gonna be hilariously awesome in one week.

If the Pats lose, our SB odds may be above 30%.
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Old 12-17-2021, 01:59 AM   #542
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Originally Posted by Hammock Parties View Post
DVOA rankings are gonna be hilariously awesome in one week.

If the Pats lose, our SB odds may be above 30%.
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/...f-picture.html

Chiefs are already favored to win the SB now on NYT. Close on 538 too. If one or both of the Pats and Titans lose this weekend, those odds will climb a lot as well.
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Old 12-17-2021, 02:00 AM   #543
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Yes, I think it’s obvious that the gameplan for the Titans is always to stop their running game so Tannehill can’t make a living off of PA.

The Patriots defense is a great passing defense and an average at best run defense. Bill can’t just snap his fingers and stop Taylor and that Colts OL.

Look at the Bucs, easily one of the best run defenses in the NFL the last 2 years, and they couldn’t stop Taylor. The only reason he didn’t completely go off in the game was that the Colts took too long to start running the ball.

This just isn’t a good matchup for the Pats at all. Even on the other side of the ball, the Colts have a very good run defense and a below average passing defense.
Wentz just has to avoid doing anything stupid and turning the ball over and the Colts have a good shot.
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Old 12-17-2021, 02:11 AM   #544
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Originally Posted by KC_Connection View Post
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/...f-picture.html

Chiefs are already favored to win the SB now on NYT. Close on 538 too. If one or both of the Pats and Titans lose this weekend, those odds will climb a lot as well.
Wow the New York Times finally got something right.
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Old 12-17-2021, 02:14 AM   #545
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Old 12-17-2021, 08:38 AM   #546
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this needed to be bumped
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Old 12-17-2021, 09:26 AM   #547
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Chiefs win 2 more they have the Division. No help needed there.

Win 1 more Clinch Playoff Spot.

Obviously 1 seed currently, that will hold if we get an L each from the Pats and Titans tomorrow. That would be extra sweet because if that happened its very likely both teams could drop another as well. In that case if we win the next 2 we can rest starters last game.
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Old 12-17-2021, 09:34 AM   #548
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Old 12-17-2021, 09:44 AM   #549
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Originally Posted by arrwheader View Post
Chiefs win 2 more they have the Division. No help needed there.

Win 1 more Clinch Playoff Spot.

Obviously 1 seed currently, that will hold if we get an L each from the Pats and Titans tomorrow. That would be extra sweet because if that happened its very likely both teams could drop another as well. In that case if we win the next 2 we can rest starters last game.

If the Chiefs beat Denver we have the division.


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Old 12-17-2021, 09:45 AM   #550
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If the Chiefs beat Denver we have the division.


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Right but we can get it before that if we win the next 2 or the chargers drop one. Win the next two it's ours regardless.

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Old 12-17-2021, 09:58 AM   #551
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If the Chiefs beat Denver we have the division.
The Chiefs have the division already. We aren't dropping 2 of 3. Chargers aren't winning out.

1 seed is the focus.
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Old 12-17-2021, 09:59 AM   #552
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The Chiefs have the division already. We aren't dropping 2 of 3. Chargers aren't winning out.

1 seed is the focus.
Exactly.
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Old 12-17-2021, 10:03 AM   #553
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Win the next 2, see what happens.

If by some miraculous thing the Pats and Titans drop a couple, you could theoretically rest everyone that last week.
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Old 12-17-2021, 10:06 AM   #554
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Win the next 2, see what happens.

If by some miraculous thing the Pats and Titans drop a couple, you could theoretically rest everyone that last week.
I Can see the Pats losing to the Colts or the Bills and the Titans losing to Pitt or SF.

I think they both drop one. We just gotta win out and our toughest games are behind us.
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Old 12-17-2021, 10:07 AM   #555
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Playing on the short week this week sucked, but at least we get extra rest/prep time for the Steelers.
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