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Old 06-27-2016, 11:23 AM  
DaFace DaFace is offline
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Old 01-13-2021, 12:17 AM   #6676
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Hey ghak, you still holding a bunch of Ford?
Yes, half a dozen buys between 8 and 4. I've been too busy watching commodities twist my brain to keep up with it.
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Old 01-13-2021, 04:34 AM   #6677
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Old 01-13-2021, 05:17 AM   #6678
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Hey ghak, you still holding a bunch of Ford?


have you been watching Deere....finally closed over $300
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Old 01-13-2021, 07:36 AM   #6679
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have you been watching Deere....finally closed over $300
Yeah, I have a post a few days ago about it.

I had an order in at 280, thinking it would fill the gap, and it doesn't look like it's going to get there in the immediate future, so I took the plunge. Probably missed most of the good, but I think there's some real upside, and WTF it's just my piddle account. So I'm IN!
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Old 01-13-2021, 07:43 AM   #6680
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Yes, half a dozen buys between 8 and 4. I've been too busy watching commodities twist my brain to keep up with it.
Yeah, yesterday was something in the grains huh?

Unfortunately I'm sold out of 2020 production, and have some hedges on for 21, so all I get is on call

I can't grow beans, which is driving the boat, but in the corn, I was really thinking the move was over. It rallied hard, then stopped and had a couple lower lows, and I chickened out. Plus it had closed some of the negative carry. I don't have any on farm storage, and at $.045/bu/month, it doesn't take long to eat a rally up. So I suck.

I guess the good and bad (good for my hedge account, bad for my production) is that the Dec is lagging pretty hard. I mean it's rallying, but nothing like the front months have done. There is now a $.73 negative carry. That is just damned insane.

Oh wow, I just looked at the negative carry on beans. I'll shut up now....
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Old 01-13-2021, 07:45 AM   #6681
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Old 01-13-2021, 07:53 AM   #6682
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I second that on FCEL.

I am at 58% up.

I am debating if it can continue its growth or I should stop loss.
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Old 01-13-2021, 08:31 AM   #6683
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Old 01-13-2021, 11:00 AM   #6684
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Yeah, yesterday was something in the grains huh?

Unfortunately I'm sold out of 2020 production, and have some hedges on for 21, so all I get is on call

I can't grow beans, which is driving the boat, but in the corn, I was really thinking the move was over. It rallied hard, then stopped and had a couple lower lows, and I chickened out. Plus it had closed some of the negative carry. I don't have any on farm storage, and at $.045/bu/month, it doesn't take long to eat a rally up. So I suck.

I guess the good and bad (good for my hedge account, bad for my production) is that the Dec is lagging pretty hard. I mean it's rallying, but nothing like the front months have done. There is now a $.73 negative carry. That is just damned insane.

Oh wow, I just looked at the negative carry on beans. I'll shut up now....
I've sold storage down to about as tight as I can. Thinking about selling more now and trying to buy back as needed later in order to get to new crop. It wouldn't be a huge amount, but a dollar is a dollar if it works. Dad says I'm playing with experienced hookers and they'll just leave me a hotel bill and herpes.

He didn't buy tesla in march when I told him to either, so...
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Old 01-13-2021, 11:04 AM   #6685
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I've sold storage down to about as tight as I can. Thinking about selling more now and trying to buy back as needed later in order to get to new crop. It wouldn't be a huge amount, but a dollar is a dollar if it works. Dad says I'm playing with experienced hookers and they'll just leave me a hotel bill and herpes.

He didn't buy tesla in march when I told him to either, so...


One thing I will say on the supply side, is my buddy is the CEO of the coop here and he told me a couple months ago there might be a play in basis (on the sales side) because OUT HERE supply is looking to get tight.

Now, I'm a long way from you and I'm certain our dynamics are entirely different, but that would be the herpes side of this thing if you get tagged with tight supply and have to supplement with something else.

The hotel bill is the part that if you sell now and the runup isn't done, then you're replacing with higher dollar corn.
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Old 01-13-2021, 11:40 AM   #6686
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Originally Posted by Buehler445 View Post
Yeah, yesterday was something in the grains huh?

Unfortunately I'm sold out of 2020 production, and have some hedges on for 21, so all I get is on call

I can't grow beans, which is driving the boat, but in the corn, I was really thinking the move was over. It rallied hard, then stopped and had a couple lower lows, and I chickened out. Plus it had closed some of the negative carry. I don't have any on farm storage, and at $.045/bu/month, it doesn't take long to eat a rally up. So I suck.

I guess the good and bad (good for my hedge account, bad for my production) is that the Dec is lagging pretty hard. I mean it's rallying, but nothing like the front months have done. There is now a $.73 negative carry. That is just damned insane.

Oh wow, I just looked at the negative carry on beans. I'll shut up now....

I'm reading this post like a New Guinea villager reading a smartphone manual.
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Old 01-14-2021, 05:58 AM   #6687
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I second that on FCEL.

I am at 58% up.

I am debating if it can continue its growth or I should stop loss.
I put a stop loss on yesterday. Looks like it could execute this morning.
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Old 01-14-2021, 07:06 AM   #6688
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I had that same thought and should have when it was where it was.

But for now I am just going to hold for the long haul.
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Old 01-14-2021, 10:27 AM   #6689
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Grabbed 50 more NNDM while it pulled back 10%. They keep diluting as share price increases. ARK is scooping them up . I think there's lots of potential.

I need more cash. Anybody got any extra they don't want????
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Old 01-14-2021, 10:30 AM   #6690
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I put a stop loss on yesterday. Looks like it could execute this morning.
When you see that sector all red, Thats not a time to sell. People are taking profit. When you see an individual stock within a sector red big time thats a red flag.

Stop losses have pissed me off . I'm using 15% now.
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