***Official 2022 Royals Season Repository Thread***

[ChiefsCountry]

For all things Royals in 2022. #3 minor league system according to Baseball America. The Bobby Witt era should begin this year. Will Salvy still be the homerun king? How does the glut of infield players work out? Will the young pitchers take the next step?

Free Agents/Trades Acquisitions
Zack Greinke, P
Amir Garrett, P
Taylor Clarke, P

Top 10 Prospects from Baseball America
1. Bobby Witt, SS
2. Asa Lacy, P
3. MJ Melendez, C
4. Nick Pratto, 1B
5. Jackson Kowar, P
6. Kyle Isabel, OF
7. Frank Mozzicato, P
8. Ben Kudrna, P
9. Jonathan Bowlan, P
10. Vinnie Pasquantino, 1B

Duncan's Top Royals Prospects

Spoiler!

1. Bobby Witt, Jr., SS. MLB.
This status lasts about another 4 weeks, but let’s take a moment to appreciate having the top guy in the minor league prospects lists for at least a little while longer. Witt has prodigious ability and the question is really just IF he can meet it. They have not had a prospect like this in my lifetime, and really probably ever. Combine insane raw physical skills (right there with Adalberto Mondesi and Willie Wilson in the ranks right behind Bo Jackson) with unbelievable work ethic, a humble-but-confident nature, and already having shown he can struggle and overcome to achieve big success, and you have the tools for a show-stopping centerpiece. Oh, and throw in the former-player’s kid aspect on it on top of things, and there is every reason to believe he’s going to succeed and succeed big.
2. M.J. Melendez, C, AAA Omaha.
I was early on putting him in this slot last year, and I don’t regret it. The power, the ability to be a good defender behind the dish as well as having the athletic ability to play 3B or LF, too, and you have a really valuable overall piece and FANTASTIC understudy for Salvador Perez.
3. Asa Lacy, LHP. AA Northwest Arkansas
Whoa, let’s get crazy again. Lacy has outstanding stuff. Top of the system. He got hurt and lost his command during COVID times, but appears to be back on track so far this spring. If his command sticks, this is a guy who can move quickly. And his ceiling is really second to nobody in the minor league pitching ranks.
4. Vinnie Pasquantino, 1B. AA Northwest Arkansas
Vinnie starts the season back at AA due to the guy who follows him on the list here. He just hits, folks. I love his combination of contact, loud contact, plate discipline, and lack of strikeouts. The Billy Butler comparisons are annoying (in that I will NEVER refer to this man as Italian Breakfast except in the instance that just occurred), but the Billy Butler comparisons are also fairly apt… if you made Butler a lefthanded hitter, AND improved his body/athleticism from a 20 to a 40, AND if you added that little extra touch of power we all wished Butler could consistently find.
5. Nick Pratto, 1B, AAA Omaha.
Hey, let’s stay at 1B. Pratto has flashy power and I love his batting eye AND his hand-eye coordination. The hair he’s been rocking this spring is also pretty sweet. I slot him just behind Pasquantino simply because I think his bat profile is more volatile. The glove and arm are sweet/plus for 1B, though.
6. Jonathan Bowlan, RHP, AAA Omaha
Bowlan is coming back from Tommy John surgery, and this ranking is assuming that recovering is successful. If it his, you’re talking about a big, consistent SP who throws hard enough and has enough of a repertoire to really make things happen. If the recovery goes well, he may be shuttling to the majors in July to reinforce the rotation.
7. Nick Loftin, CF, AA Omaha.
Loftin is a guy who has really grown on me. I saw him as a quasi super-utility guy when the Royals drafted him, The full-time shift to CF (which means they think he has the speed and the overall defensive ability to handle CF in Kansas City) adds a lot of value here. The ultimate positive offensive upside is similar to peak Whit Merrifield, maybe with a touch more early power.
8. Michael Massey, 2B, AA Northwest Arkansas.
Massey was an absolute revelation last year, hitting for power and average and keeping his K rate down while playing a really strong 2B. He has a very sweet, short lefthanded stroke. This is another aggressive rating, but Massey has proven himself through a tough minor league assignment already, and the arrow is pointed up.
9. Ben Kudrna, RHP, Rookie Ball
Kudrna is a big, physical specimen with a lot of upside and potential. The fastball and slider are already nearly MLB-level in terms of velocity and movement (command needs work). Kudrna is a guy who, with luck, and health, and good development, could ascend to the top of a rotation.
10. Frank Mozzicato, LHP, Rookie Ball.
Mozzicato has a curveball that suggests he has a feel for spin. If you want to dream, you hope that the next 2-3 years turn the 175 he weighed when drafted into a rock-solid 220/225 and carries with it an increase in fastball velocity from 90-91, sitting 87-88, to 96-97, sitting 93-94. You pair his ability to spin the ball (which also suggests he should be able to easily master a sweeper slider) with that type of fastball velo and a changeup he already has a feel for, and it’s an exciting profile.

He has a little more to go in terms of growing into that projectability than Kudrna, which is why he slots right behind him.
11. Alec Marsh, RHP, AA Northwest Arkansas
Marsh missed a lot of 2021 to injury, but the hard-throwing righthander is another guy who could move quickly once the minor league season starts. He’s undeniably got the stuff of a quality major-league pitcher. The question is if he can master enough command to cash it in. This guy is a great example of TINSTAAPP.
12. Angel Zerpa, LHP, AAA Omaha
Zerpa might quickly outperform this slot. His stuff ticked up in 21 and he ended the season making a start in the majors. He’s nice depth to have, and honestly, I’m a big fan of just throwing numbers at pitching. Zerpa definitely helps create the depth you need to generate a top-notch and reliable home-grown rotation.
13. Maikel Garcia, SS, AA Northwest Arkansas
Garcia is a really intriguing hitter, a righthanded hitter who has a nice combination of contact skills and control of the strike zone (this cousin of Alcides Escobar is less savvy with the glove and more savvy at the plate). The Royals protected him for a reason (he’s on the 40-man).
14. Carter Jensen, C, A ??
Jensen is a local product whose bat will probably push him off C (as well as the Royals depth at that spot throughout the organization). This is a future 1B profile, and a nice one. He makes a lot of loud contact and shows an ability to lift the ball. Should be fun to watch this year.
15. Ben Hernandez, RHP, A+ Quad Rivers
Hernandez missed a good part of 2021 but still has that butterfly changeup and a classic pitcher’s profile. He’ll need to find a reliable swing-and-miss secondary to make it in the bigs, but if not, the fastball velocity and changeup should make him a quality high-leverage reliver.
16. Dylan Coleman, RHP, AAA Omaha
Speaking of relievers, Coleman is a hard-throwing righthander who probably spends most of 22 in the Royals’ pen. ½ of the compensation for the Rosenthal trade a few years back, Coleman has a big fastball and nasty breaking ball.
17. Will Klein, RHP, AA Northwest Arkansas
Speaking of relivers, everything I just said about Coleman? Yeah, you can say it about Klein, too. Klein regularly toyed with hitters at high A last year, striking out 121 hitters in just 70 1/3 innings pitched. For those counting at home, that’s a 15.5 K/9 rate. Yep. That’ll play.
18. Anthony Veneziano, LHP, AA Northwest Arkansas
Here’s another big, power arm. Veneziano hasn’t been relegated to bullpen only yet, though. His fastball bumped into the high 90s last year on a starter’s workload. He’s still looking for a changeup, but if he doesn’t find it, you’re looking at a really promising future bullpen fireballer.
19. Erick Pena, OF, A ?
Pena did… not have a strong 2021 full season debut. His struggles look a lot like those of Pratto and Melendez in 2019. Pena has the same type of raw toolkit to work from as those two, with great hands and natural power. He needs to fix a hitch in his swing and calm it down, but so did Melendez. Of this second ten grouping, Pena has the highest upside and could jump right into the top 5 of the org ranks.
20. Darryl Collins, OF, A+
Collins is an international signing out of Europe. I like the hitting package here – good eye and contact skills. He needs to make more loud contact, but if he can, really a nice guy.

Overall takeaways:
This is a system with a lot of depth. We could go another 10-12 deep and still be talking about guys with a good shot to make the majors. The changes to the organization’s approach are bearing fruit, as even less-heralded draftees are stepping forward.

The combination of upside (Witt, Melendez, Lacy), depth, and guys you can dream on is fun. It may not produce quite as much as the 2011 group did, but it does offer a more sustainable system, less reliant on a few big-ticket guys.

[Coach]

Originally Posted by lewdog

I think you have to consider 2 days off a week for Mondesi.

Then again, I am not sure why we resigned him anyway although a one year deal is low risk I suppose.

Yeah, it's a low risk, high reward. If he performs as he is capable of while the Royals are somewhat out of the playoff hunt, they can flip him over for some good quality minor leaguers.

If he gets hurt again and is shelved for the season, then probably good time to move on.

[ROYC75]

Worst case we have those ....

3 guys that can play SS, good to very well

2 guys who can play 2B very well ( plus Massey)

2 guys that can play 3B very well ( plus a couple more )

I'm old enough to know you always build for the future and have to play the youth to develope, we have a very young team.

But I'm higher on this group of kids more than some of you here are. I do think we can compete this year as I was expecting bigger strides last year. We all know of those results, however as I said last year, it all comes down to pitching!

This years question is like last year's, Can we get some steady results from them?

[Ocotillo]

Originally Posted by duncan_idaho

If he’s that bad defensively again, OK. Move him off SS.

It’s possible he just doesn’t consistently translate at SS in the majors. In which case you’d hope he can be a plus guy at 3B with the glove.

I just need to see him given another shot without a moron running the show.

I agree wholeheartedly.

Witt has the tools, the scouting reports stated he was potentially a plus defender.

It's now up to the Royals organization to give Witt the optimal resources through coaching, instruction and analytics to maximize his defensive talent.

This is what the great organizations do -- the Dodgers, the Rays, the Astros. They are outperforming other organizations in large part because of the way they coach players and help them maximize their natural abilities.

[Nightfyre]

How would a move to 3b impact Mondesi's potential for injury? Seems like his skillset could really play well there, and at least defensively, maybe a little less wear and tear than short.

[ChiefsCountry]

Jordan Lyles moving close to a deal with Royals

— Jon Heyman (@JonHeyman) December 20, 2022

[ChiefsCountry]

Jordan Lyles is closing in on a two-year deal with the Royals, per source.

— Mark Feinsand (@Feinsand) December 20, 2022

[tk13]

The million dollar question is going to be whether this means we're out on Greinke. Lyles is definitely a rotation filler who has been able to give you 30 starts a year.

[duncan_idaho]

Originally Posted by Nightfyre

How would a move to 3b impact Mondesi's potential for injury? Seems like his skillset could really play well there, and at least defensively, maybe a little less wear and tear than short.

You get less action at 3B than at SS, so that is potentially helpful.

But you still have a lot of high-demand plays - coming in, diving left and right, etc. that stress the soft tissue/quick twitch systems. So who knows how he will react to something like that.

[ChiefsFan63]

I think as far as injuries go, Mondesi is much more suited to the outfield than anywhere in the infield. With his speed and arm I could see him being a + defender with a better chance of staying in the lineup. He has proven too injury prone to believe he is a viable infielder. It is time to make a change and see if he can be of any value elsewhere.

[WhawhaWhat]

Originally Posted by ChiefsCountry

Jordan Lyles is closing in on a two-year deal with the Royals, per source.

— Mark Feinsand (@Feinsand) December 20, 2022

One step closer to the World Series...

[Ocotillo]

Originally Posted by tk13

Lyles is definitely a rotation filler who has been able to give you 30 starts a year.

Lyles has 30-plus starts in back-to-back seasons.

Other tidbits from the 2023 Baseball Forecaster

--He put up a 3.47 ERA at Camden Yards last year where the O's expanded the left-field fences, but had a 5.25 ERA everywhere else.

--Velocity dropped from 92.8 mph in 2021 to 91.5 mph last year. Swinging strike rate also fell from 10.6% to 9.4%.

--He had "disastrous starts" in 38% of his 2022 starts.

From the Bill James Handbook

--He ranked ninth in the AL in highest percentage of sliders thrown (23.9%).

--He ranked eighth in the AL in highest percentage of changeups thrown (10.8%).

--He tied for fifth in the AL in GIDP induced (18).

--He ranked eighth in the AL in GIDP per nine IP (0.91).

--He ranked seventh in the AL in Opponents BA w/RISP (.219).

--He led the AL in doubles allowed (46).

--He tied for seventh in the AL in home runs allowed (26).

--He was second in the AL in hits allowed (196).

--He was third in the AL in runs allowed (94).

[Prison Bitch]

I love innings eaters

[dlphg9]

God, why? This dude is terrible and a 2 year deal with a 32 year old. He's not really good at anything. Has a high ERA, high WHIP, and doesn't strike many people out. What's the point?

[Chiefspants]

Originally Posted by dlphg9

God, why? This dude is terrible and a 2 year deal with a 32 year old. He's not really good at anything. Has a high ERA, high WHIP, and doesn't strike many people out. What's the point?

I am hearing more and more of an argument that we are embracing the tank.

[BWillie]

Originally Posted by ChiefsFan63

I think as far as injuries go, Mondesi is much more suited to the outfield than anywhere in the infield. With his speed and arm I could see him being a + defender with a better chance of staying in the lineup. He has proven too injury prone to believe he is a viable infielder. It is time to make a change and see if he can be of any value elsewhere.

I just think if he and the org wanted him to be in the OF be would be there by now. I'd like to see him in CF myself. Bobby Witt at 3rd.