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Old 11-23-2021, 12:45 PM  
duncan_idaho duncan_idaho is offline
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*** 2022 Mock Draft Megathread ***

Got a mock? Pop it in this thread. Include a picture if you want. Explain your reasoning if you want. Talk about your crushes... if you want.

See a good "pro" mock? Link it up in here and I'll add it to the OP.

Duncan's latest mock

Site
The Draft Network This mock seems to be the most accurate site right now, so I go with this one. I don't pay for it, so no trades here. The plan is for this to be my last mock. I'm going to do it differently, though. I'm running 3 scenarios, and eschewing the 7th round picks, which I would use on a big swings on athleticism and potential. Lotto tickets. James Houston IV is one of them. Note: I used PFF to simulate the trade action, then manually backed up in the 2 "trade" drafts to make selections. Laborious, but gives you best of both worlds, IMO. I think PFF's trade tool is the best, but its board is whack.

Draft slot: 29

Scenario 1: The Chiefs sit pat with their picks and don't make any moves at all. Seems the least likely, but hey...
1.29 | George Karlaftis, DE, Purdue.
1.30 | Boye Mafe, DE, Minnesota.
2.50 | George Pickens, WR, Georgia.
2.62 | Travis Jones, DT, UConn.
3.94 | Zyon McCollum, CB, Sam Houston State.
3.103(Comp for Poles) | Troy Andersen, LB, Montana State.
4.121 | Coby Bryant, CB, Cincinnati.
4.135 | Velus Jones, Jr., Tennessee

Scenario 1 Debrief:
So, sitting and waiting to see what comes to me was pretty successful here. The Chiefs FLOOD the defensive line with reinforcements, including at least 1 ready-made starter and two guys who should - at minimum - be in 50/50 rotations at their spots by year end. The Chiefs still get a big outside WR with tantalizing potential. They add some crazy athletic small-school guys, and a mid-round corner who just fits in the system, and a dynamo return man who might be more at WR.

This looks pretty good. Though I have a hard time believing Karlaftis just falls to 29...

Scenario 2: The Chiefs get aggressive and trade up. But for what? In this case, let's go wide receiver. In this run, Kansas City trades picks 29, 62, and a 2023 3rd to Houston for pick 13 and a 2023 4th, because they ARE as obsessed with a WR as people expect and are aggressive to go get him when the board falls right. They then trade BACK from 30 to 35 with the Jets, also including pick 94 in order to get 69 back. Then, last but not least, KC gets aggressive one more time and moves 103 and 121 for 85 from New England, leaving the Chiefs with 6 picks in the first four rounds.
1.13 | Jameson Williams, WR, Alabama.
2.35 | Cam Thomas, DE, San Diego State.
2.50 | Jalen Pitre, S, Baylor.
3.69 | Zachary Carter, DT, Florida.
3.85 | Sam Williams, DE, Ole Miss.
4.135 | Jaylen Watson, CB, Washington State

Scenario 2 Debrief:
I'm not saying KC should do this or even that I think they will (more on that in a few minutes). I'm just saying, man, what will it look like if the Chiefs get aggressive a few times AND are doing the big move for a WR? In this scenario, KC obviously believes Williams is a game-changer at the NFL level and is taking a small 2022 hit to make 2023+ better. The defensive line still gets reinforced, but the reinforcements are all a shade worse than the sit-pat draft option. If you like Kingsley Enagbare or Josh PAscal more than Thomas, I get it and wouldn't quibble at one of those guys instead. Logan Hall, too. Pitre is such a screaming perfect fit for KC's D. Carter is a great physical talent you can dream about coaching up. Williams' utility is known and gives them a true RE option to pair against their higher-drafted bigger guy. Watson is a developmental corner.

I don't love it. I think Pitre makes the secondary a lot better and makes it easier to move on from Thornhill after 22. They have improved the defensive rotation, though one of the DEs would need to outperform expectations in Year 1 to get it to the same level as Scenario 1. In all, giving up the 2 extra selections in the top 4 rounds hurts the depth you can build, but I think it's more like what KC will do.

Scenario 3: Same movements as #2
1.13 | Jermaine Johnson II, DE, Florida State.
2.35 | Christian Watson, WR, North Dakota State.
2.50 | Sam Williams, DE, Ole Miss.
3.69 | Bryan Cook, S, Cincinnati.
3.85 | Martin Emerson, CB, Miss. State.
4.135 | Braxton Jones, T, Southern Utah

Scenario 3 Debrief:
This is the type of situation where I see KC paying the price to move up... if Johnson falls this far, I'd be shocked if KC isn't aggressively moving up. With this run, I take a risky but high upside WR in Watson (but you could sub in Pickens or Jahan Dotson or Tolbert or Metchie or Skyy Moore or really any of those tier 2 guys here if you prefer). The secondary reinforcements aren't flashy but are good fits.

In this one, I think the plan has to become adding either another safety or corner in free agency before the season. Ideally, it's someone who can handle the slot and let Sneed thriver on the outside. The DL gets a major boost and some potential star power in Johnson and Williams, and the OL gets another T option and potential long-term starter to develop.

Having completed the exercise and looking at the scenariors, I like the first one the most. But it really does come down to how the board breaks.

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Last edited by duncan_idaho; 04-15-2022 at 10:36 AM..
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Old 04-14-2022, 06:32 AM   #916
Chris Meck Chris Meck is online now
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Quote:
Originally Posted by The Franchise View Post
Using TDN.

29. David Ojabo, EDGE, Michigan
30. Treylon Burks, WR, Arkansas
50. Cameron Thomas, EDGE, San Diego State
62. Travis Jones, IDL, UConn
94. Sam Williams, EDGE, Ole Miss
103. Greg Dulcich, TE, UCLA
121. Zyon McCollum, CB, Sam Houston State
135. Max Mitchell, OT, Louisiana
233. Sam Webb, CB, Missouri Western
243. Smoke Monday, S, Auburn
251. Kevin Austin Jr., WR, Notre Dame
This is pretty much perfect.
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Old 04-14-2022, 06:34 AM   #917
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No matter how it falls, no matter which machine I use, I'm pretty much always in good shape through the end of round four with 8 picks, and usually am able to double dip at Edge and WR.

Man, if we get 6 quality players out of this draft, the Hill trade is a home run. If we get 4, it was totally worth it.

I think it's entirely likely that we can get 4 out of the top 8.
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Old 04-14-2022, 06:56 AM   #918
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Chris Meck View Post
No matter how it falls, no matter which machine I use, I'm pretty much always in good shape through the end of round four with 8 picks, and usually am able to double dip at Edge and WR.

Man, if we get 6 quality players out of this draft, the Hill trade is a home run. If we get 4, it was totally worth it.

I think it's entirely likely that we can get 4 out of the top 8.
I think this is a great "foundation" draft; 4 good eventual starters/heavy rotational pieces is very possible in this draft. Use most/all picks to build a solid foundation, use next year's draft (another 3rd round comp pick from Ward, Bienemy?) to move around more and hang pretty pictures on the wall.

The thing I've learned from the mocks- 12 picks still isn't enough to get what you want! When I get 2 Edges, I either don't get the DI or WR/CB I want. Take a WR/CB in the first 3, and you miss out on your Edges. Point is, if you trade up, you better hit a freaking grand slam!

Last edited by Woogieman; 04-14-2022 at 07:38 AM..
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Old 04-14-2022, 08:27 AM   #919
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Dane Brugler’s new 7 round mock.

https://theathletic.com/3248022/2022...-dane-brugler/

29. Kaiir Elam, CB, Florida

30. Boye Mafe, Edge, Minnesota

50. David Ojabo, Edge, Michigan

62. Jalen Tolbert, WR, South Alabama

94. Brian Asamoah, LB, Oklahoma

103. Charlie Kolar, TE, Iowa State

121. Max Mitchell, OT, Louisiana

135. JT Woods, S, Baylor

233. Curtis Brooks, DT, Cincinnati

243. Gregory Junior, CB, Ouachita Baptist

251. Chasen Hines, OG, LSU

259. Isaiah Weston, WR, Northern Iowa
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Old 04-14-2022, 08:47 AM   #920
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Originally Posted by Chris Meck View Post
No matter how it falls, no matter which machine I use, I'm pretty much always in good shape through the end of round four with 8 picks, and usually am able to double dip at Edge and WR.

Man, if we get 6 quality players out of this draft, the Hill trade is a home run. If we get 4, it was totally worth it.

I think it's entirely likely that we can get 4 out of the top 8.
I'm feeling like if 6 improve what we currently have on the roster, and maybe if 4 would improve what we had last year, that's a massive win. Realistically if 2 are better than the options last year, a couple roughly replace the production of last year's starters and a couple provide better depth/rotational options than last year, that's a really good draft imo.

I think if a couple from the first 3 rounds are flat out busts that's fine, providing the rest are somewhere between good starters that improve the team or genuinely elite.
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Old 04-14-2022, 10:05 AM   #921
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Brugler's is one of the best (or at least one of my favorites) from the media. I don't think Tolbert makes much of a year-1 impact, and I agree that a WR at 103 would be a better choice (Austin, Shakir, WanDale? if they were available).
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Old 04-14-2022, 02:48 PM   #922
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Chris Meck View Post
No matter how it falls, no matter which machine I use, I'm pretty much always in good shape through the end of round four with 8 picks, and usually am able to double dip at Edge and WR.

Man, if we get 6 quality players out of this draft, the Hill trade is a home run. If we get 4, it was totally worth it.

I think it's entirely likely that we can get 4 out of the top 8.
Veach has gotten 3-4 guys from each of the last 2 drafts and he has a lot more resources in this one snd this draft is stronger than either of those.

I almost expect him to get 5-6 guys that can provide good impact, but the realistic expectation with 2 picks in each of the most impactful rounds is probably 3-4 players that hit.
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Old 04-14-2022, 03:40 PM   #923
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Getting tougher to draft on TDN
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Old 04-14-2022, 04:41 PM   #924
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Let’s go fill Pats fingers. Smoke Monday at 251.

29.

David Ojabo
EDGE,
30.

Boye Mafe
EDGE,
50.

Cameron Thomas
EDGE,
62.

John Metchie III
WR,
94.

Nicholas Petit-Frere
OT,
103.

Zyon McCollum
CB,
121.

Mario Goodrich
CB,
135.

Pierre Strong Jr.
RB,
233.

Christopher Hinton
IDL,
243.

Noah Elliss
IDL,
251.

Smoke Monday
S,
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Old 04-14-2022, 04:43 PM   #925
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I'm not sure this is realistic but this is how the mock draft fell:

29.

Jermaine Johnson
EDGE Florida State
KC
30.

George Pickens
WR Georgia
KC
50.

David Ojabo
EDGE Michigan
KC
62.

Travis Jones
DT Connecticut
KC
94.

Brian Asamoah II
LB Oklahoma
KC
103.

Zyon McCollum
CB Sam Houston State
KC
121.

Pierre Strong Jr.
RB South Dakota State
KC
135.

Josh Paschal
EDGE Kentucky
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Old 04-14-2022, 04:47 PM   #926
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Quote:
Originally Posted by chop View Post
I'm not sure this is realistic but this is how the mock draft fell:

29.

Jermaine Johnson
EDGE Florida State
KC
30.

George Pickens
WR Georgia
KC
50.

David Ojabo
EDGE Michigan
KC
62.

Travis Jones
DT Connecticut
KC
94.

Brian Asamoah II
LB Oklahoma
KC
103.

Zyon McCollum
CB Sam Houston State
KC
121.

Pierre Strong Jr.
RB South Dakota State
KC
135.

Josh Paschal
EDGE Kentucky
I love it.

I don’t think Asamoah gets enough run on here because of his size, but he would be the ideal replacement for Neimanns role in the defense. Excellent in coverage.
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Old 04-15-2022, 12:10 AM   #927
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This would be pretty damn fun.

29.

Jahan Dotson
WR,
30.

David Ojabo
EDGE,
50.

George Pickens
WR,
62.

Drake Jackson
EDGE,
94.

Nicholas Petit-Frere
OT,
103.

Phidarian Mathis
IDL,
121.

JoJo Domann
LB,
135.

Pierre Strong Jr.
RB,
233.

Kyler McMichael
CB,
243.

Mykael Wright
CB,
251.

Smoke Monday
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Old 04-15-2022, 01:30 AM   #928
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This is regarding any possible rumor of us moving up to take Jameson Williams at 10. I don’t believe the rumors, but here we go! Buckle up!

I used next years first and this years first along with a 4th for 10 and 69 from the Jets. Then I slid down a couple slots to add some 4th rounders for specific purposes and I think with a trade up, this is the kind of draft we could have overall.
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Old 04-15-2022, 05:38 AM   #929
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This is regarding any possible rumor of us moving up to take Jameson Williams at 10. I don’t believe the rumors, but here we go! Buckle up!

I used next years first and this years first along with a 4th for 10 and 69 from the Jets. Then I slid down a couple slots to add some 4th rounders for specific purposes and I think with a trade up, this is the kind of draft we could have overall.

Seems like that cost for trading up to 10 is light, but I do agree that multiple moves are likely. I expect at least one trade up and one trade down to recoup some of the cost.

And I keep looking at Houston and thinking something built around 29 and 30 for 13 and 37 is the type of thing that works for both squads.
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Old 04-15-2022, 08:50 AM   #930
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With all they've done or not done this offseason, they've really put alot of pressure on themselves with regards to this draft.
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