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11-29-2017, 03:54 PM | #1306 | |
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11-29-2017, 04:16 PM | #1307 | |
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I love, love LOVE Jordan Hicks. Friggen love the guy. He can be a better version of Chris Archer (who I think is wildly overrated due to his poor command within the strike zone; way too many hittable pitches for a guy with his stuff). In 2-3 years that staff could easily be Martinez - Flaherty - Weaver - Hicks - Gomber and if it's healthy you'd get more value out of that rotation that all but maybe a handful in baseball. And there are people that see Hudson and Fernandez in a similar light that I see Hicks (though I see Hudson as more of a Lynn type and Fernandez as a reliever). And I simply don't have a good enough handle on the recent international signings to speak to those arms but there are evidently a couple big time prospects in that group as well. One kid who's name escapes me is evidently turning a ton of heads. This system is absolutely LOADED with high ceiling arms but most of the hitters are stalling or too far away to rely on. Gotta thin some of them out for things we need now.
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11-29-2017, 05:06 PM | #1308 | |
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11-29-2017, 05:14 PM | #1309 | |
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11-29-2017, 05:19 PM | #1310 | |
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Lynn was great to have around until he got expensive. When that happened, the Cardinals moved on with cheaper in-house options. Wacha and his goofy shoulder (and #3 pitch that never developed) won't be someone trustworthy enough to dedicate significant resources to. Meanwhile, if he's had 2 more healthy seasons, he'll be due for a healthy long-term contract, especially as a younger free agent. I wouldn't make the gamble on him that other organizations, especially those without the pitching depth STL has in their system, would be willing to make. He might be a better pitcher than someone like Gomber, but he won't be $15 million/season for 5 seasons better. So ultimately he isn't in my long-term plans. Pitchers have become a lot like runningbacks to me. Unless you have a guy that's truly special, ride 'em hard until they hit FA and then bring in a replacement. Wacha won't ever be truly special because the shoulder seems to have messed up his development. The changeup lost its fade, the curveball lost its promise and the fastball never developed the movement it needs to match its velocity. So you end up with a 2 pitch pitcher who's 2 pitches aren't that great. For some teams, that's worth $15 million. For the Cardinals, it won't be.
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11-29-2017, 06:01 PM | #1311 | |
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With our starting pitching depth in 2019, why not put Wacha in the bullpen? His two pitches should play well in relief.
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11-29-2017, 06:06 PM | #1312 |
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l like switching out Flaherty for Reyes too.
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11-29-2017, 06:09 PM | #1313 |
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BTW, the Archer/Colome to the Cardinals rumors are rampant down here.
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11-29-2017, 06:24 PM | #1314 | |
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Both guys are overrated. Archer because of his sparkly strikeout numbers have that never matched his results and Colome because of his role. Take Colome out of the 9th and he's just another forgettable setup man making $5 million. They gave him the 9th because Boxberger got hurt and suddenly the Cardinals are willing to move heaven and earth for him? Pft - idiots. But hey, like I said, this front office is unimaginative and lazy. So yeah, they'll give up a shitload for that package because it will make a lot of stupid rubes in this fanbase think they're trying. It will make the team no better than it was last year. And I mean that with no hyperbole. Colome is a glorified Brebbia and Archer will pitch to the same .500 record he always pitches to, giving you more exciting versions of the same thing Lynn always did. He's one of the best examples you'll ever see of pitching just well enough to lose - Jose DeLeon reincarnate. If that's their big move, they'll give up more than it would take to get Stanton; probably equal to what it would take to get Yelich and they'll still win 86 games or fewer. It's the kind of narrow-minded horseshit I've come to expect from an organization that has very clearly run out of ideas.
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11-29-2017, 06:36 PM | #1315 |
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Jose De Leon
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11-29-2017, 07:59 PM | #1316 |
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Archer is the shining example for why you can't trust xFIP in a vacuum. It's actually insulting to compare Lynn to him.
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11-29-2017, 08:02 PM | #1317 |
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11-29-2017, 08:09 PM | #1318 | |
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11-29-2017, 08:33 PM | #1319 | |
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Which is to say that you need to pay a hefty acquisition cost for him in a big money dynasty league. I have watched far more of Chris Archer than I have had any reason to and while I am confident he'd strike out 280 guys in the national league, he'd absolutely sport a league average WHIP, an ERA a half run higher than it 'should' be and a 14-12 record.
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11-29-2017, 08:37 PM | #1320 |
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I watched Archer a great deal last year too. What was frustrating was that he had a ton of games where he would dominate for 6 innings and then get ripped in the 7th...making his overall line for the day awful. Not that I have faith in Mattheny knowing when and when not to use his pen, but Archer's season was substantially better than it looks on the surface. Id be willing to bet if you took away his stats from the last inning of every start, his ERA goes down a run and a half.
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