***NON-POLITICAL COVID-19 Discussion Thread***

[JakeF]

A couple of reminders...

Originally Posted by Bwana

Once again, don't come in this thread with some kind of political agenda, or you will be shown the door. If you want to go that route, there is a thread about this in DC.

Originally Posted by Dartgod

People, there is a lot of good information in this thread, let's try to keep the petty bickering to a minimum.

We all have varying opinions about the impact of this, the numbers, etc. We will all never agree with each other. But we can all keep it civil.

Thanks!

Click here for the original OP:

Spoiler!

Apparently the CoronaVirus can survive on a inanimate objects, such as door knobs, for 9 days.

California coronavirus case could be first spread within U.S. community, CDC says
By SOUMYA KARLAMANGLA, JACLYN COSGROVE
FEB. 26, 2020 8:04 PM

The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention is investigating what could be the first case of novel coronavirus in the United States involving a patient in California who neither recently traveled out of the country nor was in contact with someone who did.

“At this time, the patient’s exposure is unknown. It’s possible this could be an instance of community spread of COVID-19, which would be the first time this has happened in the United States,” the CDC said in a statement. “Community spread means spread of an illness for which the source of infection is unknown. It’s also possible, however, that the patient may have been exposed to a returned traveler who was infected.”

The individual is a resident of Solano County and is receiving medical care in Sacramento County, according to the state Department of Public Health.

The CDC said the “case was detected through the U.S. public health system — picked up by astute clinicians.”

Officials at UC Davis Medical Center expanded on what the federal agency might have meant by that in an email sent Wednesday, as reported by the Davis Enterprise newspaper.

The patient arrived at UC Davis Medical Center from another hospital Feb. 19 and “had already been intubated, was on a ventilator, and given droplet protection orders because of an undiagnosed and suspected viral condition,” according to an email sent by UC Davis officials that was obtained by the Davis Enterprise.

The staff at UC Davis requested COVID-19 testing by the CDC, but because the patient didn’t fit the CDC’s existing criteria for the virus, a test wasn’t immediately administered, according to the email. The CDC then ordered the test Sunday, and results were announced Wednesday. Hospital administrators reportedly said in the email that despite these issues, there has been minimal exposure at the hospital because of safety protocols they have in place.

A UC Davis Health spokesperson declined Wednesday evening to share the email with The Times.

Since Feb. 2, more than 8,400 returning travelers from China have entered California, according to the state health department. They have been advised to self-quarantine for 14 days and limit interactions with others as much as possible, officials said.

“This is a new virus, and while we are still learning about it, there is a lot we already know,” Dr. Sonia Angell, director of the California Department of Public Health, said in a statement. “We have been anticipating the potential for such a case in the U.S., and given our close familial, social and business relationships with China, it is not unexpected that the first case in the U.S. would be in California.”

It is not clear how the person became infected, but public health workers could not identify any contacts with people who had traveled to China or other areas where the virus is widespread. That raises concern that the virus is spreading in the United States, creating a challenge for public health officials, experts say.

“It’s the first signal that we could be having silent transmission in the community,” said Lawrence Gostin, director of the World Health Organization Collaborating Center on National and Global Health Law. “It probably means there are many more cases out there, and it probably means this individual has infected others, and now it’s a race to try to find out who that person has infected.”

On Tuesday, the CDC offered its most serious warning to date that the United States should expect and prepare for the coronavirus to become a more widespread health issue.

“Ultimately, we expect we will see coronavirus spread in this country,” said Nancy Messonnier, director of the CDC’s National Center for Immunization and Respiratory Diseases. “It’s not so much a question of if, but a question of when.”

According to the CDC’s latest count Wednesday morning, 59 U.S. residents have tested positive for the new strain of coronavirus — 42 of whom are repatriated citizens from a Diamond Princess cruise. That number has grown by two since Messonnier’s last count Tuesday, although the CDC was not immediately available to offer details on the additional cases.

More than 82,000 cases of coronavirus have been reported globally, and more than 2,700 people have died, with the majority in mainland China, the epicenter of the outbreak.

But public health leaders have repeatedly reminded residents that the health risk from the novel coronavirus to the general public remains low.

“While COVID-19 has a high transmission rate, it has a low mortality rate,” the state Department of Public Health said in a statement Wednesday. “From the international data we have, of those who have tested positive for COVID-19, approximately 80% do not exhibit symptoms that would require hospitalization. There have been no confirmed deaths related to COVID-19 in the United States to date.”

CDC officials have also warned that although the virus is likely to spread in U.S. communities, the flu still poses a greater risk.

Gostin said the news of potential silent transmission does not eliminate the possibility of containing the virus in the U.S. and preventing an outbreak.

“There are few enough cases that we should at least try,” he said. “Most of us are not optimistic that that will be successful, but we’re still in the position to try.”

[Mr_Tomahawk]

Originally Posted by petegz28

U by 3 for Mo and Ks reported 1 yesterday as well so no change.

Well....when searching for any sort of positive, that isn’t terrible news.

[petegz28]

Originally Posted by Mr_Tomahawk

Well....when searching for any sort of positive, that isn’t terrible news.

None of this is good but right now I am taking some solace in the fact that over 50% of today's deaths were from NY\NJ. Throw in Michigan and it's an even higher %. If you live in one of those states that super sucks but I think it's important for those who don't to keep the perspective on the numbers.

[BigRedChief]

Originally Posted by petegz28

Just to keep some perspective, 1040 deaths reported so far today with 593 of them from NY and NJ. Hopefully these massive numbers stay isolated to that region. Louisiana is running about 20 deaths fewer today than yesterday right now.

massive numbers nationwide like in NY would mean millions of Americans die. Not a single model is saying that level of cases or death is even possible in other parts of the USA. That’s not the bar.

Oklahoma cases are up 22%. That’s just one state. It’s coming for the heartland too. This virus doesn’t know a thing about a states borders.

Dr. Fauci said today that we are still not doing the level of testing needed to get in front of this virus. Figure out where the next hotspot is going to be. we are still in the mitigation phase.

[HonestChieffan]

Originally Posted by BigRedChief

massive numbers nationwide like in NY would mean millions of Americans die. Not a single model is saying that level of cases or death is even possible in other parts of the USA. That’s not the bar.

The govenor said today that in NY only 20% of people that go on a vent, ever come off so far. 80% on a ventilator either die or stay on a ventilator for the rest of their lives. Let’s hope that’s not the standard for the rest of the nation.

Oklahoma cases are up 22%. That’s just one state. It’s coming for the heartland too. This virus doesn’t know a thing about a states borders.

We are still not doing the level of testing needed to get in front of this virus. Figure out where the next hotspot is going to be as per Dr. Fauci said today, we are still in the mitigation phase.

Interesting the governor knows that people either dir or stay on vent "for the rest of their lives" considering what, we are like into this 6 weeks or so?

Critical listening skills would say said governor is "projecting things he should not"

[petegz28]

Originally Posted by BigRedChief

massive numbers nationwide like in NY would mean millions of Americans die. Not a single model is saying that level of cases or death is even possible in other parts of the USA. That’s not the bar.

The govenor said today that in NY only 20% of people that go on a vent, ever come off so far. 80% on a ventilator either die or stay on a ventilator for the rest of their lives. Let’s hope that’s not the standard for the rest of the nation.

Oklahoma cases are up 22%. That’s just one state. It’s coming for the heartland too. This virus doesn’t know a thing about a states borders.

We are still not doing the level of testing needed to get in front of this virus. Figure out where the next hotspot is going to be as per Dr. Fauci said today, we are still in the mitigation phase.

These are the statements that make me cringe when people say that. You don't know that. WA state was the hot spot a few weeks ago and now the hot spot is on the completely opposite side of the country. There are so many variables in what makes a hot spot it's almost impossible to predict.

That being said I have not heard the statement about 80% of the people going on ventilators die. If Cuomo said that I think he is the only one that has said that. What I will tell you is we have more people officially recovering than dying by roughly 2-1 at any given point.

We cannot say X spot is going to get hit hard because we don't know what impact X spot's mitigation efforts and what not have been impacting to the outcome. Also population density, average age, future treatments, etc.

[petegz28]

And to this day roughly 50% of the cases in the entire country are NY\NJ. Does that mean it won't spread elsewhere? No. But again those are the numbers that are proven.

[Donger]

Originally Posted by petegz28

These are the statements that make me cringe when people say that. You don't know that.

Yes, we do. It's already there.

[petegz28]

Originally Posted by HonestChieffan

Interesting the governor knows that people either dir or stay on vent "for the rest of their lives" considering what, we are like into this 6 weeks or so?

Critical listening skills would say said governor is "projecting things he should not"

I don't want to go on a tirade about Cuomo as it will get political but generally I have agreed with him but the last week he has really well...we won't get into it here

[petegz28]

Originally Posted by Donger

Yes, we do. It's already there.

JFC, I didn't say it wasn't here as in no one has it. I have made several other posts to the contrary. We are talking about in the proportions of NY. You know that. Stop playing your stupid DC shit.

[BigRedChief]

Dr. Fauci said on Sanjays podcast today that there is something going on with this virus strain that we don’t have an explanation for yet. Why does someone go from flu symptoms in 24 hours on a ventvand 48 hours they are dead. But, someone with the same medical risks and age just gets flu like symptoms and doesn’t even see a doctor or even get tested till later.

Why are so many patients going into ARDS? Prior coronavirus strains didn’t cause this in the %’s they are seeing in the patients right now. B

The govenor said today that in NY only 20% of people that go on a vent, ever come off so far. 80% of citizens put on a ventilator either die or stay on a ventilator for the rest of their lives. Let’s hope that’s not the standard for the rest of the nation.

[Kiimo]

Originally Posted by Dartgod

Explain please

Belton is and has always been a shithole. It's residents are goddam lunatics.

What is there to explain

[Donger]

Originally Posted by petegz28

JFC, I didn't say it wasn't here as in no one has it. I have made several other posts to the contrary. We are talking about in the proportions of NY. You know that. Stop playing your stupid DC shit.

Are you basing that on cases per 100,000 pop? Or just total numbers?

I can't help what you post, pete. That's on you.

[petegz28]

Originally Posted by BigRedChief

Dr. Fauci said on Sanjays podcast today that there is something going on with this virus strain that we don’t have an explanation for yet. Why does someone go from flu symptoms in 24 hours on a ventvand 48 hours they are dead. But, someone with the same medical risks and age just gets flu like symptoms and doesn’t even see a doctor or even get tested till later.

Why are so many patients going into ARDS? Prior coronavirus strains didn’t cause this in the %’s they are seeing in the patients right now. B

The govenor said today that in NY only 20% of people that go on a vent, ever come off so far. 80% of citizens put on a ventilator either die or stay on a ventilator for the rest of their lives. Let’s hope that’s not the standard for the rest of the nation.

Again, no one else that I know of has said that.

[BigRedChief]

Originally Posted by petegz28

These are the statements that make me cringe when people say that. You don't know that. WA state was the hot spot a few weeks ago and now the hot spot is on the completely opposite side of the country. There are so many variables in what makes a hot spot it's almost impossible to predict.

yes, we do know. It’s already there.

Originally Posted by petegz28

That being said I have not heard the statement about 80% of the people going on ventilators die. If Cuomo said that I think he is the only one that has said that. What I will tell you is we have more people officially recovering than dying by roughly 2-1 at any given point.

he said it at his daily press conference today.

[Monticore]

some levity