All-Analytics Team: Patrick Mahomes, Aaron Donald dominate

[stumppy]

Pretty damn cool, Chiefs have three, almost four, players on it.

More at the link.


http://www.nfl.com/news/story/0ap300...onald-dominate

Now that the 2018 season is firmly a part of my historical reference model, I went back and took a look at each player's individual contribution metric. This is a numerical value I have created that adds (or subtracts) each player's impact on their team's ability to win games, for every snap. The goal is to better understand player value by capturing production in context, such as down and distance, score and time, type of play that was called and opponent faced..................

..........OFFENSE
Quarterback: Patrick Mahomes, Kansas City Chiefs. There is no shortage of splashy stats or highlight-worthy plays to point to here. In 2018, Mahomes posted 50 regular-season passing touchdowns (the most in the NFL by 11). He also posted the best passer rating (132.0) and the most passing yards per game (88.1) under pressure (when defenders were within five feet of him). Reviewing those numbers, it starts to become clear why Mahomes had the highest contribution metric of any player at any position. What seals it is the fact that Kansas City's defense tied for the third most touchdowns allowed (49) and allowed the second most yards per game (405.5), making the Chiefs' offensive output and ability to score more essential to earning wins.

I have already seen a lot of people speculating about regression for Mahomes, and while I haven't created my final projections yet for the third-year pro and second-year starter, I can tell you that my model currently forecasts his contribution metric to be on par with last season. My stat projections for Mahomes will rely on how complementary the Chiefs' defense projects to be, which will drive what is asked of the offense and the QB in order to win..........


.......Wide receiver: Michael Thomas, New Orleans Saints. Wide receiver contribution is clustered tightly at the top, with the Saints star just edging out the Chiefs' Tyreek Hill and the Falcons' Julio Jones.......

.....Right tackle: Mitchell Schwartz, Kansas City Chiefs. One trend I've observed in years of tracking O-line play is that teams that win at least one playoff game almost always have right tackles who stop defenders from coming within five feet of their quarterback on at least 24% of passing snaps. Teams also have a run-stop value-add of at least +2.2 yards per rush. Last season, Schwartz was the best among right tackles on passing snaps, keeping defenders at bay on 25.6% of passing downs, and he posted a +2.3 yards per rush average (ranking second among right tackles)..............

And of course........

......Interior defensive line: Chris Jones, Kansas City Chiefs. I would have guessed the Eagles' Fletcher Cox would have rated higher in win-contribution than Jones, but the Chiefs' interior defender narrowly jumped ahead of Cox because Jones had more pressures (getting within five feet of the opposing QB) that resulted in stopped first downs or touchdowns in competitive minutes. For example, of the 81 total pressures Jones earned, 15.5 were sacks and 60 prevented opponents from converting a first down. As for Cox, he had 94 pressures, of which 10.5 were sacks and 59 prevented a first down............

[ThaVirus]

I'm starting to get excited for the new season..

[Skyy God]

And Kelce couldn’t have been far behind Kittle.

[stumppy]

Originally Posted by Cave Johnson

And Kelce couldn’t have been far behind Kittle.

That's what I was thinking.

[Easy 6]

That guy gets it, as opposed to the ham n eggers at PFF

[stumppy]

Originally Posted by Easy 6

That guy gets it, as opposed to the ham n eggers at PFF

By Cynthia Frelund


Chick.....hot chick.

[Skyy God]

Originally Posted by stumppy

That's what I was thinking.

I’d also rather have Damien Williams than Gurley next year.

Dude’s knee is shot.

[SAUTO]

Originally Posted by Cave Johnson

I’d also rather have Damien Williams than Gurley next year.

Dude’s knee is shot.

Going to be an ongoing issue for the rest of his career

[stumppy]

Originally Posted by Cave Johnson

I’d also rather have Damien Williams than Gurley next year.

Dude’s knee is shot.

I think DW proved himself just fine last year. As long as he can keep up that kind of play I'll be happy.

[prhom]

I’m not sure there’s any team that would legitimately choose Michael Thomas over Tyreek Hill given an even choice.

[Chiefshrink]

Frelund last year picked the Chiefs and Saints to be in the SB at the start of the 18 season. If it had not been for Ford and that blind back judge she nails it.

[Chiefshrink]

Originally Posted by stumppy

I think DW proved himself just fine last year. As long as he can keep up that kind of play I'll be happy.

He will keep it up for sure I have no doubt.

And now we are even more stoked at the RB position.

[Mahomes_Is_God]

I wanna give Cynthia Frelund a backside motorboat. Oh and the article is nice.

[Pitt Gorilla]

Originally Posted by Chiefshrink

He will keep it up for sure I have no doubt.

And now we are even more stoked at the RB position.

We’re not. We had Hunt as a starter with Williams as a backup. THAT was stacked.

[Mahomes_Is_God]

Originally Posted by Pitt Gorilla

We’re not. We had Hunt as a starter with Williams as a backup. THAT was stacked.

Stop rooting for the team if it bothers you that much ya whiny little bitch. Go drink antifreeze while we support our new stud RB.