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Old 11-21-2021, 07:21 PM  
MMXcalibur MMXcalibur is offline
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How good are the Chiefs chances at the AFC's #1 seed?
Updated: 12/19

Teams that actually matter in this conversation:

Kansas City (10-4) (vs PIT, at CIN, at DEN)

New England (9-5) (vs BUF, vs JAC, at MIA)

Tennessee (9-5) (vs SF, vs MIA, at HOU)

Baltimore (8-5) (vs GB, at CIN, vs LAR, vs PIT)

Buffalo (8-6) (at NE, vs ATL, vs NYJ)

Indianapolis (8-6) (at ARI, vs LV, at JAC)

LA Chargers (8-6) (at HOU, vs DEN, at LV)

---

Being 1 game back with six games to play seems incredibly generous given our shitty tiebreaker situation. I'll put our odds at 99.9999999%
Last edited by MMXcalibur; 12-19-2021 at 03:13 PM..
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Old 11-25-2021, 07:39 PM   #151
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Originally Posted by comochiefsfan View Post
Definitely mattered that the Titans beat us during the regular season in 2019 during the AFC Championship game.
We're talking about the 1 seed, not a win/loss in the playoffs. A tiebreaker in October DOES matter.
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Old 11-25-2021, 07:46 PM   #152
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Not good
Too many teams to jump with tie breaker advantages
That being said I’m afraid of none of them on the road.
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Old 11-25-2021, 07:46 PM   #153
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I think you have to see what Chiefs team shows up for our games and which officiating crews show up for all those games. Both of those things matter.
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Old 11-25-2021, 07:49 PM   #154
comochiefsfan comochiefsfan is offline
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We're talking about the 1 seed, not a win/loss in the playoffs. A tiebreaker in October DOES matter.
It does. But the Tits will lose two more anyway so it'll end up being irrelevant.

They aren't the same team they were during that game against us. Not even close.
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Old 11-25-2021, 08:20 PM   #155
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We're talking about the 1 seed, not a win/loss in the playoffs. A tiebreaker in October DOES matter.
Titans are pure garbage.
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Old 11-25-2021, 08:36 PM   #156
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If they win out, it’ll be KC’s
They lose 1 game, it’s gone due to tie breakers with the other contenders. We’d still get home field for the first two games.
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Old 11-25-2021, 08:40 PM   #157
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Originally Posted by GloryDayz View Post
I think you have to see what Chiefs team shows up for our games and which officiating crews show up for all those games. Both of those things matter.
you coach kids games, right. The officiating is bad.

You know that if you lose a game because of the refs, you lost the game. Rarely, if ever, does a team bring their “A” game and still lose due to a ref call.
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Old 11-25-2021, 08:46 PM   #158
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you coach kids games, right. The officiating is bad.

You know that if you lose a game because of the refs, you lost the game. Rarely, if ever, does a team bring their “A” game and still lose due to a ref call.
I'm not going to disagree that if you're good enough you can sometimes even overcome bad officiating.

But none of that really addresses how the NFL's officiating crews get away with inconsistent calls.
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Old 11-26-2021, 04:29 PM   #159
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Old 11-26-2021, 04:31 PM   #160
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Old 11-26-2021, 04:57 PM   #161
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Originally Posted by BigRedChief View Post
you coach kids games, right. The officiating is bad.

You know that if you lose a game because of the refs, you lost the game. Rarely, if ever, does a team bring their “A” game and still lose due to a ref call.
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Old 11-27-2021, 12:20 PM   #162
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Old 11-27-2021, 01:18 PM   #163
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Old 11-27-2021, 01:47 PM   #164
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I think the Chiefs win out. The bye comes at the perfect time. This was the only game that worried me.

If that happens, the Chiefs finish 13-4.

The Bills would need to win out, but they have two games remaining against New England. A split takes care of whoever wins the East.

The Ravens are dropping a minimum of 2 more. If they don’t win the North, then that tie breaker doesn’t matter.

It really just comes down to the Titans. They’re very capable of dropping 2 more. I’ll guarantee they lose at least one.
We just need to win out. If that happens, I have a really hard time believing we won’t take the 1-seed.
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Old 11-27-2021, 02:19 PM   #165
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