***NON-POLITICAL COVID-19 Discussion Thread***

[JakeF]

A couple of reminders...

Originally Posted by Bwana

Once again, don't come in this thread with some kind of political agenda, or you will be shown the door. If you want to go that route, there is a thread about this in DC.

Originally Posted by Dartgod

People, there is a lot of good information in this thread, let's try to keep the petty bickering to a minimum.

We all have varying opinions about the impact of this, the numbers, etc. We will all never agree with each other. But we can all keep it civil.

Thanks!

Click here for the original OP:

Spoiler!

Apparently the CoronaVirus can survive on a inanimate objects, such as door knobs, for 9 days.

California coronavirus case could be first spread within U.S. community, CDC says
By SOUMYA KARLAMANGLA, JACLYN COSGROVE
FEB. 26, 2020 8:04 PM

The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention is investigating what could be the first case of novel coronavirus in the United States involving a patient in California who neither recently traveled out of the country nor was in contact with someone who did.

“At this time, the patient’s exposure is unknown. It’s possible this could be an instance of community spread of COVID-19, which would be the first time this has happened in the United States,” the CDC said in a statement. “Community spread means spread of an illness for which the source of infection is unknown. It’s also possible, however, that the patient may have been exposed to a returned traveler who was infected.”

The individual is a resident of Solano County and is receiving medical care in Sacramento County, according to the state Department of Public Health.

The CDC said the “case was detected through the U.S. public health system — picked up by astute clinicians.”

Officials at UC Davis Medical Center expanded on what the federal agency might have meant by that in an email sent Wednesday, as reported by the Davis Enterprise newspaper.

The patient arrived at UC Davis Medical Center from another hospital Feb. 19 and “had already been intubated, was on a ventilator, and given droplet protection orders because of an undiagnosed and suspected viral condition,” according to an email sent by UC Davis officials that was obtained by the Davis Enterprise.

The staff at UC Davis requested COVID-19 testing by the CDC, but because the patient didn’t fit the CDC’s existing criteria for the virus, a test wasn’t immediately administered, according to the email. The CDC then ordered the test Sunday, and results were announced Wednesday. Hospital administrators reportedly said in the email that despite these issues, there has been minimal exposure at the hospital because of safety protocols they have in place.

A UC Davis Health spokesperson declined Wednesday evening to share the email with The Times.

Since Feb. 2, more than 8,400 returning travelers from China have entered California, according to the state health department. They have been advised to self-quarantine for 14 days and limit interactions with others as much as possible, officials said.

“This is a new virus, and while we are still learning about it, there is a lot we already know,” Dr. Sonia Angell, director of the California Department of Public Health, said in a statement. “We have been anticipating the potential for such a case in the U.S., and given our close familial, social and business relationships with China, it is not unexpected that the first case in the U.S. would be in California.”

It is not clear how the person became infected, but public health workers could not identify any contacts with people who had traveled to China or other areas where the virus is widespread. That raises concern that the virus is spreading in the United States, creating a challenge for public health officials, experts say.

“It’s the first signal that we could be having silent transmission in the community,” said Lawrence Gostin, director of the World Health Organization Collaborating Center on National and Global Health Law. “It probably means there are many more cases out there, and it probably means this individual has infected others, and now it’s a race to try to find out who that person has infected.”

On Tuesday, the CDC offered its most serious warning to date that the United States should expect and prepare for the coronavirus to become a more widespread health issue.

“Ultimately, we expect we will see coronavirus spread in this country,” said Nancy Messonnier, director of the CDC’s National Center for Immunization and Respiratory Diseases. “It’s not so much a question of if, but a question of when.”

According to the CDC’s latest count Wednesday morning, 59 U.S. residents have tested positive for the new strain of coronavirus — 42 of whom are repatriated citizens from a Diamond Princess cruise. That number has grown by two since Messonnier’s last count Tuesday, although the CDC was not immediately available to offer details on the additional cases.

More than 82,000 cases of coronavirus have been reported globally, and more than 2,700 people have died, with the majority in mainland China, the epicenter of the outbreak.

But public health leaders have repeatedly reminded residents that the health risk from the novel coronavirus to the general public remains low.

“While COVID-19 has a high transmission rate, it has a low mortality rate,” the state Department of Public Health said in a statement Wednesday. “From the international data we have, of those who have tested positive for COVID-19, approximately 80% do not exhibit symptoms that would require hospitalization. There have been no confirmed deaths related to COVID-19 in the United States to date.”

CDC officials have also warned that although the virus is likely to spread in U.S. communities, the flu still poses a greater risk.

Gostin said the news of potential silent transmission does not eliminate the possibility of containing the virus in the U.S. and preventing an outbreak.

“There are few enough cases that we should at least try,” he said. “Most of us are not optimistic that that will be successful, but we’re still in the position to try.”

[SupDock]

Originally Posted by Fish

Pretty sure he was just making fun of pete's penchant for terrible predictions...

Gotcha.

[Reerun_KC]

The virus might sniff 0.00000001 out of a 1000. If it’s lucky.

[BWillie]

Originally Posted by petegz28

So we're back to .4% but just males? What's the female rate?

Sent from my SM-G950U using Tapatalk

Are you not able to extrapolate numbers or something? I read that 65-70% of mortality cases are males. There are even more females that exist in the world by a slim margin. If the mortality rate of male + female 30-39 years is 0.002 - 0.003 we can make a reasonable assumption of the male rate....and that it is higher.

[BIG_DADDY]

Originally Posted by Reerun_KC

The virus might sniff 0.00000001 out of a 1000. If it’s lucky.

BWillie must have AIDS or something.

[ShowtimeSBMVP]

Walmart is launching an emergency leave policy for its 1.4 million hourly U.S. workers that includes allowing its employees to not be penalized for taking time off if they feel uncomfortable working because of fear of the spreading coronavirus. https://t.co/TNo1056Zsn

— WPMT FOX43 (@fox43) March 10, 2020

[Sorce]

Originally Posted by BWillie

I said male. Men are at greatest risk for some reason. The 30-39 age group is between .002 and .003 risk, and arguably even higher depending on where you look. If you factor in only males, then it is at least 3-4 would die out of 1,000.

That might be skewed by China. A friend from China told me it's considered unladylike to smoke so there is a large gap in smokers between men and women.

[Third Eye]

Originally Posted by Reerun_KC

The virus might sniff 0.00000001 out of a 1000. If it’s lucky.

Sure, I mean other than the fact that if one person in the entire world died of it, it would surpass that.

[Mecca]

Originally Posted by ShowtimeSBMVP

Walmart is launching an emergency leave policy for its 1.4 million hourly U.S. workers that includes allowing its employees to not be penalized for taking time off if they feel uncomfortable working because of fear of the spreading coronavirus. https://t.co/TNo1056Zsn

— WPMT FOX43 (@fox43) March 10, 2020

Sure but they won't take time off cause see they need to pay bills.

[petegz28]

Originally Posted by Mecca

Sure but they won't take time off cause see they need to pay bills.

Therein lies the rub. If the Fed Gov wants to help what they need to do is to help states and allow people to file for unemployment. Although WalMart can afford it, most businesses can't afford to pay their employees to go sit at home for 14 days.

[petegz28]

Originally Posted by BWillie

Are you not able to extrapolate numbers or something? I read that 65-70% of mortality cases are males. There are even more females that exist in the world by a slim margin. If the mortality rate of male + female 30-39 years is 0.002 - 0.003 we can make a reasonable assumption of the male rate....and that it is higher.

All I did was ask you for the rate among females.

[suzzer99]

Originally Posted by Sorce

That might be skewed by China. A friend from China told me it's considered unladylike to smoke so there is a large gap in smokers between men and women.

Yeah that's true in most of Asia. The men all smoke and the women rarely do.

[Sorce]

Originally Posted by Mecca

Sure but they won't take time off cause see they need to pay bills.

They are giving them 2 weeks paid if told by the government or walmart to quarantine per the article.

[Mecca]

Originally Posted by Sorce

They are giving them 2 weeks paid if told by the government or walmart to quarantine per the article.

Oh well shit, people will mysteriously be sick now.

[Mecca]

Originally Posted by suzzer99

Yeah that's true in most of Asia. The men all smoke and the women rarely do.

That's cause they smoke pole instead.

[Discuss Thrower]

Originally Posted by petegz28

Therein lies the rub. If the Fed Gov wants to help what they need to do is to help states and allow people to file for unemployment. Although WalMart can afford it, most businesses can't afford to pay their employees to go sit at home for 14 days.

Small businesses will be effectively killed by coronavirus.

Not that 90% of the country will care, but you know.