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Old 12-03-2018, 12:34 AM  
Direckshun Direckshun is offline
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Let's talk about the Ravens.

The Ravens are a uniquely weird team in Week 14 of the NFL season.

They're weird because their QB position is a great unknown.

Joe Flacco is, of course, the world's most underwhelming Super Bowl MVP, and has sucked this year. We know who he is, we have millions of hours of underwhelming tape to depressingly watch. And he returned to practice this week, but did not play, Eric Berry style.

But that might change. He may see the field.

Which is interesting, because their backup QB, Lamar Jackson, a 1st round selection by the Ravens (albeit with the 32nd pick), is a very weird player. He runs, and runs, and runs with the ball. His completion percentage is a not-terrible 60%. And he's only played three weeks, so tape on him is slim.

We know this: he is fast, he is not afraid to run the ball, and he's a damn gazelle when he does.

The good news: we can probably spy him. His weapons are bleak. Alex Collins is his #1 RB, and he's averaging 3.6 yards a carry. His #1 receiver is John Brown, who initially looked like Tyreek Hill when he first hit the league, but has since statistically slowed down and is now just a good receiver with very difficult speed to account for. Michael Crabtree is their #2 alongside Willie Snead, and Tyreek Hill has more yardage than both of those guys combined, but Crabtree has had good games against us in the past.

As a result, the Ravens are still somehow 13th in the league in yardage, they are averaging 25 points a game.

The Ravens have good pass protection, as they've only given up like 25 sacks or something like that. Ronnie Stanley is their LT.

But really, the Ravens offense wins by trying to run the ball, passing decently, and then letting Lamar Jackson get creative.

As far as the defense is concerned.................. biggest test of the year right here folks.

#1 rated defense in yardage (they're allowing under 300 yards/game).
#1 rated defense in points (they're allowing 17 points/game).

I think it's safe to say we're going to beat those averages but they should still slow us down pretty significantly. I don't know if Patty will have another 4 TD game here.

The Ravens get good pressure on the QB -- they're 9th in the league in sacks, and the pressure comes from everywhere. Suggs has always played well against us but he only has 5.5 this year. They blitz a good amount.

Simply put, the Ravens pass defense will be the biggest challenge Mahomes faces all year. They're allowing under 200 yards passing all season. Eric Weddle is a goddamn general at the back of their defense, and they've got a solid corner or two despite the fact that none of their corners are true ballhawks. Brandon Carr will make a rare appearance against the Chiefs, which is whatever, but he's apparently playing well.

The Ravens have a mean defensive line, and maybe the meanest NT in the league in Brandon Williams. I'm willing to bet they drop everyone in coverage, smother Kelce, and dare Spencer Ware to beat their DL. That's a very tall order, and I don't think our run game is up to the challenge. Mahomes will need to tap every ounce of his MVP talent to get yardage.

In special teams, they have arguably the greatest kicker in modern NFL history in Justin Tucker. They've had one punt return for a TD.

They're 7-5. They're on a three game win streak. Lamar Jackson has started all three games.

Their wins: Bills, Broncos, @Steelers, @Titans, Bengals (no Dalton), Raiders, @Falcons
Losses: @Bengals (Dalton), @Browns, Saints, @Panthers, Steelers

That schedule is all over the place. They beat Pitt in Pitt, but pathetically lose to the Browns. The most damning game on the schedule is the Saints game, where they only lost by a point.

How is this team so good? I've asked before. They have no elite talent on offense and are still racking up yardage and point. They have a damn good defense but don't intercept the ball and they don't have any sack masters like the Chiefs do.

What is going on?
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Old 12-05-2018, 08:51 AM   #271
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1) Matching up with tight ends has been a problem for the Ravens for the last couple of years, and now they have to deal with the Chiefs’ Travis Kelce. In his last two games, Kelce has caught 22 balls for 295 yards and three touchdowns. He’s scored at least one touchdown in five of the past six games. The Ravens would probably be better off putting one of their cornerbacks on Kelce because any of their safeties or linebackers would constitute a mismatch either in terms of size or speed.
From a Raven's writer at the Athletic.
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Old 12-05-2018, 09:08 AM   #272
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Kelce gonna EAT!!!!
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Old 12-05-2018, 09:21 AM   #273
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Originally Posted by FAX View Post
Didn't we already play the NFL's best defense at the time? Like ... two of them already?

FAX
We've broken so many teams this year I've lost count
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Old 12-05-2018, 09:25 AM   #274
htismaqe htismaqe is offline
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We've broken so many teams this year I've lost count
Exactly.
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Old 12-05-2018, 09:28 AM   #275
ptlyon ptlyon is offline
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Exactly.
And look what we did to the saints, and we didn't even play them!
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Old 12-05-2018, 11:59 AM   #276
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The only defense that can stop Patrick Mahomes is the United States Marine Corps and I think that Patrick would still score 30 on them! The NFL doesn't have a defense that can stop a man like Patrick Mahomes because all defenses have limitations and weaknesses. A quarterback like Patrick Mahomes comes along once in a generation and we have him on our team, what a great time to be a Chiefs fan!
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Old 12-05-2018, 12:38 PM   #277
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From a Raven's writer at the Athletic.
Sounds like Jimmy Smith would be the corner that they put on him, if they go that route.

Even then though you’re sacrificing coverage on Hill and Watkins for Kelce. It’s a lose/lose proposition.
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Old 12-05-2018, 01:09 PM   #278
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Originally Posted by Direckshun View Post
The Ravens are a uniquely weird team in Week 14 of the NFL season.

Joe Flacco is, of course, the world's most underwhelming Super Bowl MVP, and has sucked this year. We know who he is, we have millions of hours of underwhelming tape to depressingly watch. And he returned to practice this week, but did not play, Eric Berry style.

But that might change. He may see the field.
Actually until Joe was injured this season started as his best in 11 years even though his record was 4 - 5 after nine games. He had 342 attempts, second most in the NFL, 209 completions which was 4th most, yards were 2259 which was eight, with 12 TD's and 6 interceptions. He was averaging 282 yards a game, his highest ever after 11 seasons, that was up from 196 yards in 2017 per game average. He actually really starting to click with receivers John Brown, Michael Crabtree and Willie Snead who were all playing in their first year with the Ravens.

Anyway, Joe probably won't see the field again even if his hip recovers. Last week against the Falcons Lamar had to come out for concussion protocol and RGIII lead the team on one drive resulting in a FG until Lamar came back in. His style is much more like Lamar's, so it makes more sense to keep RGIII as the backup. If I were a betting person, I would think maybe trading Joe to the the Jaguars at the end of the season might be a good move for both teams.

Originally I projected the score KC 37 Ravens 17, but after a change at running back and the Ravens defense holding Matt Ryan to 131 yards and a QBR of 45.8 and 1 TD in a game played in Atlanta last week. I'm still giving the victory to the Chiefs but probably more like Chiefs 24 Ravens 14.

Was is really odd, in 2000 the Ravens started the season with Tony Banks at QB and after nine game and a record of 5 - 4, he was benched for Trent Dilfer. He came in and won the remaining 7 games and 4 playoff games including Super Bowl 35.
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Old 12-05-2018, 01:18 PM   #279
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Sounds like Jimmy Smith would be the corner that they put on him, if they go that route.

Even then though you’re sacrificing coverage on Hill and Watkins for Kelce. It’s a lose/lose proposition.
Jimmy Smith was a first round draft pick in 2011, but he gets burned more than any other corner. When he was suspended the first 4 games, last year's first round draft pick Marlon Humphrey from Alabama played, and he is much more aggressive and a harder hitter. Jimmy is one those guys who just throws a shoulder, he would be terrible against a tightend. Actually the two safties Eric Weddle and Tony Jefferson are good cover guys, although Eric is a little slow with his age, he has the instincts like Ed Reed. I think Jefferson will cover Kelce and his backup Anthony Levine is a really good player that can start on a lot of teams, and will get a lot of playing time.
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Old 12-05-2018, 02:10 PM   #280
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Stop the run, control Michael Bivins coming off the edge.
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Old 12-05-2018, 04:13 PM   #281
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Yes, Ravens are going to try to run run run, and play ball control and slow down Mahomes. We can't let them go 9 for 12 on 3rd down like the Faiders last week. If they do that and don't turn the ball over, they win. We need to get stops. WAKE THE HELL UP Grandpa Bob!!!
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Old 12-05-2018, 04:17 PM   #282
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if we blitz and/or plan man too predictably, Jackson is going to extend drive after drive after drive with his legs.

I say choke them out on 1st dowm, don't allow 8 yards a clip on 1st down; get them into 3rd & Medium + and get pressure up the middle; or drop 8 into zone and force jackson to throw into small windows. and if he takes off running, route him to the outside the pocket, where hopefully our defenders who are in zone will see him running and actually make a tackle.
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Old 12-05-2018, 04:17 PM   #283
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Yes, Ravens are going to try to run run run, and play ball control and slow down Mahomes. We can't let them go 9 for 12 on 3rd down like the Faiders last week. If they do that and don't turn the ball over, they win. We need to get stops. WAKE THE HELL UP Grandpa Bob!!!
Exactly. I read a stat that the Ravens TOP is up 20% more than their opponents since Jackson has taken over at QB. Their goal will be to keep Mahomes and KC's offense off the field for as long as they can.
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Old 12-05-2018, 04:20 PM   #284
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Sutton is going to drop 8 and rush 3 and this place isn't going to know how to handle it.
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Old 12-05-2018, 04:23 PM   #285
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our defense on 1st down is mucho important this game (every game, really, but particularly this one).
which sort of is discouraging....because I believe we suck on 1st down.
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