Captain Marvel

[Just Passin' By]

Originally Posted by Jamie

So it's cratering from a top 10 all time opening to a regular giant success?

To me, a possible $80 million drop seems newsworthy and not something to deride. You should feel free to continue to minimize it if you wish, though.

Either way, as I said, it's what we have now. It could be a harbinger, as was the case with the Ghostbusters reboot. It could also be either overcome (as in the case of the relatively slow start for Aquaman over the holidays) or wrong (low projection number is blown past).

[DaFace]

Originally Posted by Just Passin' By

To me, a possible $80 million drop seems newsworthy and not something to deride. You should feel free to continue to minimize it if you wish, though.

Either way, as I said, it's what we have now. It could be a harbinger, as was the case with the Ghostbusters reboot. It could also be either overcome (as in the case of the relatively slow start for Aquaman over the holidays) or wrong (low projection number is blown past).

I just have trouble giving a shit what "projections" are saying about a movie that isn't even out yet. If it's good, it'll make money. If it's not, it'll tank. No one's seen it yet, so talking about projections seems a bit silly.

[Just Passin' By]

Originally Posted by DaFace

I just have trouble giving a shit what "projections" are saying about a movie that isn't even out yet. If it's good, it'll make money. If it's not, it'll tank. No one's seen it yet, so talking about projections seems a bit silly.

I'm not really seeing your issue here. Projections are about income, not movie quality. Shitty movies make money. Good movies tank. It happens all the time.

[DaFace]

Originally Posted by Just Passin' By

I'm not really seeing your issue here. Projections are about income, not movie quality. Shitty movies make money. Good movies tank. It happens all the time.

Sure, but what is this based on? I can't find anything out there that indicates it's anything than someone's educated guess. And even then, it's based on opening weekend - not total gross - so why does it really matter?

And even then, are we actually trying to imply that a $100m opening is weak? That's what Wonder Woman did. If Captain Marvel is received as well as Wonder Woman, that would be a huge success for Marvel in my mind.

[Just Passin' By]

Originally Posted by DaFace

Sure, but what is this based on? I can't find anything out there that indicates it's anything than someone's educated guess.

Of course that's all it is. Regardless of the underpinnings, that's all it can possibly be, since it's an attempt to predict the future.

Originally Posted by DaFace

And even then, it's based on opening weekend - not total gross - so why does it really matter?

Two things make today's movie industry go, and those are money and political agendas. And the studios need to make enough of the former to pursue the latter.

Originally Posted by DaFace

And even then, are we actually trying to imply that a $100m opening is weak? That's what Wonder Woman did. If Captain Marvel is received as well as Wonder Woman, that would be a huge success for Marvel in my mind.

If you can't accept that a potential $80 million drop in opening week revenue is something significant enough to point out, you're welcome to hold onto that position. Marvel has done just about everything possible to set this movie up as a monstrous success, because it wants this character to be a major part of the next phase of the MCU. I think that a Marvel movie showing such a potential drop despite that is newsworthy, particularly when a stated part of the reason for the projected drop is that the movie's star just won't shut the **** up about things that are irrelevant to the movie.