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Old 06-27-2016, 11:23 AM  
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Investing megathread extravaganza
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Old 05-09-2019, 09:33 AM   #2836
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Old 05-09-2019, 09:34 AM   #2837
Hog's Gone Fishin Hog's Gone Fishin is online now
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Old 05-09-2019, 09:34 AM   #2838
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I hope Trump figures a deal out with China tomorrow. What a damn brutal day
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Old 05-09-2019, 09:41 AM   #2839
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I’m worried that China is going to retaliate tomorrow and **** the market
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Old 05-09-2019, 09:45 AM   #2840
Amnorix Amnorix is offline
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Originally Posted by Hammock Parties View Post
It's too early to dump it. Long-term play, at least until the Chinese market turns.

I don't see the logic here. Let's say your stock in the company is worth -- whatever - $1,000 today. It is utterly irrelevant how much you spent to GET that stock. That is where you are today.

Your choices are:

1. sell, lock in the loss (which can be used to offset taxable gains elsewhere), invest in something else, or

2. hold, waiting for...something. The stock to recover so you take no loss I guess. Or less of one.

Would you be better off a year from now, or ten, if you sold today, took the loss, had the tax write off, and invested in teh S&P 500 or whatever, or continued to hold this dog of a stock? The answer is likely clear. If your stock is down, whatever, 50%, then you don't need it to go up 50%, you need it to go up 100% to get back to even. What are the chances of that? Yeah, likely not good. If the odds were good it was going to go up 100%, then it's a strong buy for EVERYONE, not just a hold for you. But are people buying? Apparently not.


This is nothing more than the Disposition Effect in action.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Disposition_effect
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Old 05-09-2019, 10:33 AM   #2841
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Boeing currently at $371. I just put in a limit order to buy a small amount if the price gets to $350 or less. Will probably never execute, which is fine.

Guess what order just got filled at $347.94? We'll see if it takes off, or if I got a small discount on a stock on an extended spiral heading into a crash landing...
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Old 05-09-2019, 10:45 AM   #2842
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I hope Trump figures a deal out with China tomorrow. What a damn brutal day
No shit. And I just watch the grain markets.
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Old 05-09-2019, 12:12 PM   #2843
Hog's Gone Fishin Hog's Gone Fishin is online now
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Amnorix View Post
I don't see the logic here. Let's say your stock in the company is worth -- whatever - $1,000 today. It is utterly irrelevant how much you spent to GET that stock. That is where you are today.

Your choices are:

1. sell, lock in the loss (which can be used to offset taxable gains elsewhere), invest in something else, or

2. hold, waiting for...something. The stock to recover so you take no loss I guess. Or less of one.

Would you be better off a year from now, or ten, if you sold today, took the loss, had the tax write off, and invested in teh S&P 500 or whatever, or continued to hold this dog of a stock? The answer is likely clear. If your stock is down, whatever, 50%, then you don't need it to go up 50%, you need it to go up 100% to get back to even. What are the chances of that? Yeah, likely not good. If the odds were good it was going to go up 100%, then it's a strong buy for EVERYONE, not just a hold for you. But are people buying? Apparently not.


This is nothing more than the Disposition Effect in action.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Disposition_effect
I thought this too with KBLB. Lost out on $170K. I should have held. What is it Warren Buffett says. The stock market is a means to take money from the impatient and give to the patient. Err somethin like that.
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Old 05-09-2019, 06:18 PM   #2844
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No shit. And I just watch the grain markets.
No kidding. Cash rent will be lower again next year.

Less for kid in college
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Old 05-10-2019, 07:07 AM   #2845
Hog's Gone Fishin Hog's Gone Fishin is online now
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Anybody buying UBER this morning. IPO opening at $45
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Old 05-10-2019, 07:17 AM   #2846
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Anybody buying UBER this morning. IPO opening at $45
I'm getting in.
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Old 05-10-2019, 07:21 AM   #2847
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Old 05-10-2019, 08:08 AM   #2848
Hog's Gone Fishin Hog's Gone Fishin is online now
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Yeah, they haven't made any money at all but they are the biggest in the business. Netflix,facebook etc.....

I throwing 2K at it for shits and giggles. Not going to look at it for 2 years.
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Old 05-10-2019, 08:11 AM   #2849
Buehler445 Buehler445 is online now
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Yeah, they haven't made any money at all but they are the biggest in the business. Netflix,facebook etc.....

I throwing 2K at it for shits and giggles. Not going to look at it for 2 years.
Right on. Might be a hell of a good deal. But it all has to reconcile back to cash at some point. It would spook me.

But hey!

My farm is making more money than that. Wanna buy some stock
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Old 05-10-2019, 08:37 AM   #2850
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I don't want to ruin my last move, but will reluctantly put a little in and hope for a quick emotional move. Can't let Hog have all the fun!
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