***NON-POLITICAL COVID-19 Discussion Thread***

[JakeF]

A couple of reminders...

Originally Posted by Bwana

Once again, don't come in this thread with some kind of political agenda, or you will be shown the door. If you want to go that route, there is a thread about this in DC.

Originally Posted by Dartgod

People, there is a lot of good information in this thread, let's try to keep the petty bickering to a minimum.

We all have varying opinions about the impact of this, the numbers, etc. We will all never agree with each other. But we can all keep it civil.

Thanks!

Click here for the original OP:

Spoiler!

Apparently the CoronaVirus can survive on a inanimate objects, such as door knobs, for 9 days.

California coronavirus case could be first spread within U.S. community, CDC says
By SOUMYA KARLAMANGLA, JACLYN COSGROVE
FEB. 26, 2020 8:04 PM

The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention is investigating what could be the first case of novel coronavirus in the United States involving a patient in California who neither recently traveled out of the country nor was in contact with someone who did.

“At this time, the patient’s exposure is unknown. It’s possible this could be an instance of community spread of COVID-19, which would be the first time this has happened in the United States,” the CDC said in a statement. “Community spread means spread of an illness for which the source of infection is unknown. It’s also possible, however, that the patient may have been exposed to a returned traveler who was infected.”

The individual is a resident of Solano County and is receiving medical care in Sacramento County, according to the state Department of Public Health.

The CDC said the “case was detected through the U.S. public health system — picked up by astute clinicians.”

Officials at UC Davis Medical Center expanded on what the federal agency might have meant by that in an email sent Wednesday, as reported by the Davis Enterprise newspaper.

The patient arrived at UC Davis Medical Center from another hospital Feb. 19 and “had already been intubated, was on a ventilator, and given droplet protection orders because of an undiagnosed and suspected viral condition,” according to an email sent by UC Davis officials that was obtained by the Davis Enterprise.

The staff at UC Davis requested COVID-19 testing by the CDC, but because the patient didn’t fit the CDC’s existing criteria for the virus, a test wasn’t immediately administered, according to the email. The CDC then ordered the test Sunday, and results were announced Wednesday. Hospital administrators reportedly said in the email that despite these issues, there has been minimal exposure at the hospital because of safety protocols they have in place.

A UC Davis Health spokesperson declined Wednesday evening to share the email with The Times.

Since Feb. 2, more than 8,400 returning travelers from China have entered California, according to the state health department. They have been advised to self-quarantine for 14 days and limit interactions with others as much as possible, officials said.

“This is a new virus, and while we are still learning about it, there is a lot we already know,” Dr. Sonia Angell, director of the California Department of Public Health, said in a statement. “We have been anticipating the potential for such a case in the U.S., and given our close familial, social and business relationships with China, it is not unexpected that the first case in the U.S. would be in California.”

It is not clear how the person became infected, but public health workers could not identify any contacts with people who had traveled to China or other areas where the virus is widespread. That raises concern that the virus is spreading in the United States, creating a challenge for public health officials, experts say.

“It’s the first signal that we could be having silent transmission in the community,” said Lawrence Gostin, director of the World Health Organization Collaborating Center on National and Global Health Law. “It probably means there are many more cases out there, and it probably means this individual has infected others, and now it’s a race to try to find out who that person has infected.”

On Tuesday, the CDC offered its most serious warning to date that the United States should expect and prepare for the coronavirus to become a more widespread health issue.

“Ultimately, we expect we will see coronavirus spread in this country,” said Nancy Messonnier, director of the CDC’s National Center for Immunization and Respiratory Diseases. “It’s not so much a question of if, but a question of when.”

According to the CDC’s latest count Wednesday morning, 59 U.S. residents have tested positive for the new strain of coronavirus — 42 of whom are repatriated citizens from a Diamond Princess cruise. That number has grown by two since Messonnier’s last count Tuesday, although the CDC was not immediately available to offer details on the additional cases.

More than 82,000 cases of coronavirus have been reported globally, and more than 2,700 people have died, with the majority in mainland China, the epicenter of the outbreak.

But public health leaders have repeatedly reminded residents that the health risk from the novel coronavirus to the general public remains low.

“While COVID-19 has a high transmission rate, it has a low mortality rate,” the state Department of Public Health said in a statement Wednesday. “From the international data we have, of those who have tested positive for COVID-19, approximately 80% do not exhibit symptoms that would require hospitalization. There have been no confirmed deaths related to COVID-19 in the United States to date.”

CDC officials have also warned that although the virus is likely to spread in U.S. communities, the flu still poses a greater risk.

Gostin said the news of potential silent transmission does not eliminate the possibility of containing the virus in the U.S. and preventing an outbreak.

“There are few enough cases that we should at least try,” he said. “Most of us are not optimistic that that will be successful, but we’re still in the position to try.”

[RINGLEADER]

Originally Posted by AustinChief

For sure... but it doesn't fit all the doom and gloom models... cases have to drop first THEN deaths will follow after a lag... unless of course most of the models are complete horseshit built on crap assumptions. We will know more on that front Monday or Tuesday hopefully.

There will be higher deaths, yes, and there is growth in many — but not all — states. Hopefully the curve starts bending sooner than people originally expected and they get some kind of antibody test. I’d hate to sit inside if whatever I got if February was Corona...

[PAChiefsGuy]

Pretty cool article on viruses

https://microbiologysociety.org/publ...t-is-life.html

[Dartgod]

Originally Posted by BigCatDaddy

What 2 dipshits thumbed downed this?

Doesn't matter. My intention is to stop the petty bickering, not incite it.

[petegz28]

Originally Posted by RINGLEADER

There will be higher deaths, yes, and there is growth in many — but not all — states. Hopefully the curve starts bending sooner than people originally expected and they get some kind of antibody test. I’d hate to sit inside if whatever I got if February was Corona...

What if I told you the last 10% gain in cases took 3-4 days longer than the previous 10%?

[dirk digler]

Don't know if anyone posted this yet but here is the model the Birx\Fauci were discussing today. You can look up each state to see what they are predicting.

https://covid19.healthdata.org/projections

[Monticore]

Originally Posted by RINGLEADER

There will be higher deaths, yes, and there is growth in many — but not all — states. Hopefully the curve starts bending sooner than people originally expected and they get some kind of antibody test. I’d hate to sit inside if whatever I got if February was Corona...

Do we know if people that are testing positive after their symptoms have subsided are still contagious?

[petegz28]

Originally Posted by dirk digler

Don't know if anyone posted this yet but here is the model the Birx\Fauci were discussing today. You can look up each state to see what they are predicting.

https://covid19.healthdata.org/projections

If we just write off NY and NJ then literally 50% of the problem is solved.


I mean really, we are 50 states. Would it really kill us to go to 48???

[tk13]

Originally Posted by RINGLEADER

There will be higher deaths, yes, and there is growth in many — but not all — states. Hopefully the curve starts bending sooner than people originally expected and they get some kind of antibody test. I’d hate to sit inside if whatever I got if February was Corona...

The reality is we still have some control over this. If people legit stay home things will slow down and some of these projections will probably come up short. We'll find out soon enough.

[RINGLEADER]

Originally Posted by tk13

The reality is we still have some control over this. If people legit stay home things will slow down and some of these projections will probably come up short. We'll find out soon enough.

Sugar Fish restaurant evidently opened for the weekend. That’s the kind of stuff that will keep this going for even longer.

[PAChiefsGuy]

Originally Posted by RINGLEADER

Sugar Fish restaurant evidently opened for the weekend. That’s the kind of stuff that will keep this going for even longer.

Unbelievable. How is that even allowed? Thought all non-essential businesses were ordered to shut down except for carry out restaurant orders?

[BleedingRed]

Looks like the trials are going good.....

https://www.politico.com/amp/news/20...ia-drug-155095

Sorry if already posted

[TLO]

Originally Posted by dirk digler

Don't know if anyone posted this yet but here is the model the Birx\Fauci were discussing today. You can look up each state to see what they are predicting.

https://covid19.healthdata.org/projections

Why does it think Missouri will have 3000 deaths?? That's more than most of the other states projections.

[Mr_Tomahawk]

Originally Posted by BleedingRed

Looks like the trials are going good.....

https://www.politico.com/amp/news/20...ia-drug-155095

Sorry if already posted

Wow, that’s big.

[DaneMcCloud]

Originally Posted by BleedingRed

Looks like the trials are going good.....

https://www.politico.com/amp/news/20...ia-drug-155095

Sorry if already posted

Do you even READ the links you post? This article says no such thing.

From the very first paragraph:

The Food and Drug Administration on Sunday issued an emergency use authorization for hydroxychloroquine and chloroquine, decades-old malaria drugs championed by President Donald Trump for coronavirus treatment despite scant evidence.

[DaneMcCloud]

Originally Posted by Mr_Tomahawk

Wow, that’s big.

Except it's false.

Again.

And again.

And again.



IT'S FALSE