Let’s talk about the Miami Dolphins

[pugsnotdrugs19]

Headed down to a familiar location for the Florida heat and a highly formidable opponent.

The Dolphins have a great defense, a mediocre at best offense. Not all that different from Denver really, but coached better.

A win would clinch the AFCW for the 5th straight season, so there is some added importance. Of course we are on Pittsburgh’s heels, too.

I think we all aren’t totally sure what to make of the team at this point. They’ve been inconsistent in their focus, their execution. There seem to be problem areas that could be upgraded by simply plugging a backup in (hi, Wis), but it remains to be seen if any changes are going to be made.

It’s a weird league where outcomes are all over the place, winning is really damn hard, but they’re still 11-1 and largely look to be on cruise control half the time. I do think there’s something to be said for the GS Warriors comparison where sometimes they just don’t flip the switch until they have to. I guess we will see what happens as the games get bigger and bigger for this team.

This one won’t be easy, but if the offense comes out locked in from the go, it shouldn’t be a scare. I also think it’s another opportunity for the defense to perform well again, but I still feel like we need more from our pass rush along the DL moving forward.

Game is at noon on CBS...

[pugsnotdrugs19]

Originally Posted by Megatron96

Picked MIA to win?

Yep. They’re all over it.

I can see the path — Miami heat in December, Chiefs have been playing down to the wire games, Dolphins have a defense that can make stops and create turnovers.

But I think they’re going to struggle to score on Kansas City a lot more than most seem to expect. I’m standing by a 27-16 Chiefs prediction where we score toward the end to put it away.

[Megatron96]

Originally Posted by pugsnotdrugs19

Yep. They’re all over it.

I can see the path — Miami heat in December, Chiefs have been playing down to the wire games, Dolphins have a defense that can make stops and create turnovers.

But I think they’re going to struggle to score on Kansas City a lot more than most seem to expect. I’m standing by a 27-16 Chiefs prediction where we score toward the end to put it away.

The Chiefs would have to really, really play down to MIA's offensive efficiency for the Dolphins to have a real chance at winning. I think they have a good chance to cover 7 points, but that's about it.

[O.city]

If the chiefs are locked in they’ll beat the shit out of them

Same as every game this season.

The chiefs are that much better than everyone

[ptlyon]

Chiefs won Sunday night. Steelers lost Monday night. Blood is in the water, and that's not good for a dolphin.

[Red Dawg]

Rip their eyeballs out and skull **** them!

[KChiefs1]

[pugsnotdrugs19]

Mahomes is 7-0 in his career against top 5 scoring defenses, which the Dolphins currently are.

[MahomesMagic]

Originally Posted by Megatron96

MIA defense gave up 31 pts to both BUF and SEA, 28 to the Rams, 31 to ARI, and 29 pts to LAC.

None of those offenses are anywhere near the same efficiency as the Chiefs. The closest might be SEA or BUF.

And MIA hasn't played a decent QB in over a month, and haven't played a top 5 offense since SEA.

This might be a smoke and mirrors situation. Their defense has played pretty well since their bye week in week 8, but they've only played Goff and Kyler, and haven't played a good offense since.

Judging from the film, to generate consistent pressure they have to bring extra men and blitz, and we know you can't blitz Patrick. And their CBs are good, but none of them are good/fast enough to go 1v1 with Hill, and no one can go 1v1 with Kelce.

If I were Andy I'd try to attack using misdirection (Dolphins defense looked susceptible to overrunning plays), stretch the field horizontally and look for big plays on crossers. Try to blow the game open early, and lean on the run game to salt the game away.

MIA may have a good/great defense, but their offense looks kind of simple, they have maybe two or three legit weapons, and none of them are RBs. Find a way to lock down Parker and Gesicki, and make Tua throw to anyone else. Even if they can move the ball down and score, it won't be fast enough to match KC.

But honestly, i think Spags feasts on Tua and this MIA offense. If Mathieu plays, he could have a career-type day.

That Buffalo game their top corner was out and they played Igo on Diggs the whole game. That didn't go so well.

[Red Dawg]

Wilson out and Tyrann is questionable. Crap balls.

[UChieffyBugger]

Originally Posted by pugsnotdrugs19

I’ve probably saw more talking heads pick the Dolphins to win than any Chiefs opponent since Baltimore, week 3.

Like who exactly? All i've seen is folks picking them to cover...the vast majority are picking a Chiefs win.

[KChiefs1]

[RaidersOftheCellar]

Originally Posted by O.city

If the chiefs are locked in they’ll beat the shit out of them

Same as every game this season.

The chiefs are that much better than everyone

I think the Chiefs have the best A game, but I’m not sure their typical performance is on a different level than everyone else’s.

I think the combination of coaching staff, QB and skill players is easily the best in the league. But I saw some stats the other day that confirmed what I suspected. KC’s rate of “winning” at run-blocking is worst in the league. They’re near the worst at stopping the run. And their pass rush has been a little below average.

If you swapped coaching staffs and QB/receivers with the Jets, we might be as bad as they are. Obviously those people mask our problems well, but the bottom line is that it’s not a team that can just line up and overwhelm you physically. Winning at the rate they have has required them to be consistently smart, creative, efficient and mistake-free.

[chiefzilla1501]

Originally Posted by Megatron96

MIA defense gave up 31 pts to both BUF and SEA, 28 to the Rams, 31 to ARI, and 29 pts to LAC.

None of those offenses are anywhere near the same efficiency as the Chiefs. The closest might be SEA or BUF.

And MIA hasn't played a decent QB in over a month, and haven't played a top 5 offense since SEA.

This might be a smoke and mirrors situation. Their defense has played pretty well since their bye week in week 8, but they've only played Goff and Kyler, and haven't played a good offense since.

Judging from the film, to generate consistent pressure they have to bring extra men and blitz, and we know you can't blitz Patrick. And their CBs are good, but none of them are good/fast enough to go 1v1 with Hill, and no one can go 1v1 with Kelce.

If I were Andy I'd try to attack using misdirection (Dolphins defense looked susceptible to overrunning plays), stretch the field horizontally and look for big plays on crossers. Try to blow the game open early, and lean on the run game to salt the game away.

MIA may have a good/great defense, but their offense looks kind of simple, they have maybe two or three legit weapons, and none of them are RBs. Find a way to lock down Parker and Gesicki, and make Tua throw to anyone else. Even if they can move the ball down and score, it won't be fast enough to match KC.

But honestly, i think Spags feasts on Tua and this MIA offense. If Mathieu plays, he could have a career-type day.

Only issue is I can see Flores running a bellichick like defense. Xavien Howard is a good CB. They'll hit kelce every borderline legal way possible. They'll probably play bend don't break so we're not going to light them up with a ton of long td passes. Like NE we'll easily move the ball down the field but we have got to be better in the red zone. I don't want to keep trading field goals.

[pugsnotdrugs19]

Originally Posted by RaidersOftheCellar

I think the Chiefs have the best A game, but I’m not sure their typical performance is on a different level than everyone else’s.

I think the combination of coaching staff, QB and skill players is easily the best in the league. But I saw some stats the other day that confirmed what I suspected. KC’s rate of “winning” at run-blocking is worst in the league. They’re near the worst at stopping the run. And their pass rush has been a little below average.

If you swapped coaching staffs and QB/receivers with the Jets, we might be as bad as they are. Obviously those people mask our problems well, but the bottom line is that it’s not a team that can just line up and overwhelm you physically. Winning at the rate they have has required them to be consistently smart, creative, efficient and mistake-free.

Mentor of mine who knows his sports always said, tell me who the QBs and head coaches are and I can tell you who 90% of the playoff teams are going to be before a snap is ever played. My belief was the other 10% is usually teams being carried by a great defense or a super weak schedule.

Obviously not a statistical guarantee year in and year out but his point was heard. Yeah, the Chiefs are a lot worse if they don’t have Reid and Mahomes. But because they do, they’re the best.

[staylor26]

Originally Posted by RaidersOftheCellar

I think the Chiefs have the best A game, but I’m not sure their typical performance is on a different level than everyone else’s.

I think the combination of coaching staff, QB and skill players is easily the best in the league. But I saw some stats the other day that confirmed what I suspected. KC’s rate of “winning” at run-blocking is worst in the league. They’re near the worst at stopping the run. And their pass rush has been a little below average.

If you swapped coaching staffs and QB/receivers with the Jets, we might be as bad as they are. Obviously those people mask our problems well, but the bottom line is that it’s not a team that can just line up and overwhelm you physically. Winning at the rate they have has required them to be consistently smart, creative, efficient and mistake-free.

What a shit ****ing take. We’ve been getting their “typical performance” for most of the year and we’re 11-1.