|
|
![]() |
#1 | |
Prestige Worldwide
Join Date: Jan 2009
Location: Spring Hill, KS
Casino cash: $-19474
|
Quote:
__________________
Adopt-A-Chief: John Dorsey
|
|
Posts: 18,619
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
#2 |
www.nfl-forecast.com
Join Date: Sep 2000
Casino cash: $-478231
|
|
Posts: 46,032
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
#3 |
#RIPAce
Join Date: Jan 2009
Location: So Cal
Casino cash: $10665899
|
|
Posts: 17,445
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
#4 |
www.nfl-forecast.com
Join Date: Sep 2000
Casino cash: $-478231
|
If you want to do your own scenarios, yes. You can see the standard predictions without downloading anything by clicking the "latest predicitons" link. Those are updated on late Tuesday or Wednesday.
If you want to do your own scenarios, click the link "Launch Pro-Football Forecast". That will download forecaster.jnlp to your computer. Click on that downloaded item and you are good to go. It runs under Java Web Start, which is an environment that does not let me read or write to your hard drive. I know that DaFace uses my software, probably some others too. I'm not the kind of guy that is going to screw with anyone's computer. You also have to have Java runtime environment. You probably already have it on your machine, but there is a link on my web site if you don't. |
Posts: 46,032
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
#5 | |
#RIPAce
Join Date: Jan 2009
Location: So Cal
Casino cash: $10665899
|
Quote:
|
|
Posts: 17,445
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
#6 | |
www.nfl-forecast.com
Join Date: Sep 2000
Casino cash: $-478231
|
Quote:
But the problem with that approach is that the number of scenarios is huge. Ignoring ties in future games, there are 65,536 scenarios with one week remaining 4,294,967,296 scenarios with two weeks remaining 281,474,976,710,656 scenarios with three weeks remaining and approximately 18,446,744,073,709,600,000 scenarios with four weeks remaining. But even if you were to look at only a few number of scenarios that are interesting to you, Yahoo doesn't do the tiebreakers right (at least they didn't last year). If it gets to a tie it can't figure out, it just flips a coin to break the tie. |
|
Posts: 46,032
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() |
![]() ![]() |
|
|