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#346 |
ROCK CHALK JAYHAWK
Join Date: Jul 2012
Casino cash: $10005135
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Also interesting is Dysert is rated at 6'4", but in the group photo him and geno look the same height, or close to it
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#347 |
'Tis my eye!
Join Date: Aug 2000
Location: Chiefsplanet
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#348 |
MVP
Join Date: Mar 2004
Location: Helena, MT
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I think he measured at 6'3" at the senior bowl.
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#349 | |
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Join Date: Dec 2009
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Quote:
I guess what you are getting at is if it's going to be a crap shoot of a pass at 10 yards why not go for broke and gain chunks at a time, but we all saw what happened when Cassel tried to bomb it away. He either threw incomplete by over-throwing, got it picked or damn near killed his WR by under-throwing it. |
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#350 | |
'Tis my eye!
Join Date: Aug 2000
Location: Chiefsplanet
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Quote:
If you're going to throw a pick, it's better that it happens deep in your opponent's territory than on your own 35. |
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#351 |
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Join Date: Dec 2009
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#352 | |
'Tis my eye!
Join Date: Aug 2000
Location: Chiefsplanet
Casino cash: $8179900
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Quote:
Here's Cassel's 2012 splits, charted by how far the ball traveled in the air. ALL of his picks (except 1 aberration) were on short or medium passes. |
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#353 | ||
Mindful Taoist German
Join Date: Aug 2000
Casino cash: $6551662
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If you never throw a pass beyond 15 yards until you're down by 20 pts odds are that's where most your INT's will be...
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#354 | |
'Tis my eye!
Join Date: Aug 2000
Location: Chiefsplanet
Casino cash: $8179900
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Quote:
Dude doesn't throw downfield much at all, ever. Which was precisely DJ's point. The guy is going to throw picks no mattter where he throws it. Might as well throw it deep. At worst, it's a punt. At best, it's a PI penalty and a 1st down. |
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#355 | |||
Mindful Taoist German
Join Date: Aug 2000
Casino cash: $6551662
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Quote:
He threw so many short passes you would have thought this was a WCO and you would have expected not average but extremely high completion percentages...
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#356 | |
'Tis my eye!
Join Date: Aug 2000
Location: Chiefsplanet
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Quote:
I'm just elaborating on DJ's point for mdchiefsfan. |
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#357 | |
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Join Date: Dec 2009
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1-10 yards make up 46% of his pass attempts at a 66% completion rate. He was picked off in this area on 4% of his attempts. Add in the passes from the LOS and you make up for 66% of his passes which were picked off 3% of the time. from 11-20 yards which make up 22% of his pass attempts with a 47.5 completion rate has him at a 4% chance of an interception/attempt. Then add in all passes past 11 yards and you get 34% of his passes at a clip of 6% chance of interception/ attempt. Obviously, you don't want to throw it out longer than 10 yards with Cassel. |
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#358 | |
'Tis my eye!
Join Date: Aug 2000
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#359 |
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#360 |
'Tis my eye!
Join Date: Aug 2000
Location: Chiefsplanet
Casino cash: $8179900
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By compressing the passing game vertically, you increase his completion percentage but you BARELY affect his overall interception percentage.
Furthermore, by compressing it SO much that he can actually complete some passes, you neuter the offense to the point they can't even get a first down. You'd be better off to chuck it deep more often and see if you could get a PI penalty. At the very least you're stretching the field and decompressing your running game and if he throws a pick, it's basically the same as punting. |
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