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05-15-2013, 02:43 PM | Topic Starter |
Now you've pissed me off!
Join Date: Jan 2006
Casino cash: $7979572
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Fantasy Baseball Trade Help
I was just offered a 1-1 deal:
I trade Evan Longoria; I get Ryan Braun. Twelve team league. We use a 7x7 format. Hitting categories are R, HR, RBI, SB, TB, AVG, and OBP Here's the skinny for my roster C: Carlos Santana 1B: Pujols 2B: Kendrick SS: Castro 3B: Longoria OF: Trout OF: Holliday OF: Lorenzo Cain UTIL: Mark Reynolds Bench hitters are: OF Willingham OF: Brett Gardner 2B: Rickie Weeks I also have Profar stored away. Would you make this deal? I can move Reynolds to third and plug Braun in as the 3rd OF, riding the hot hand of Willingham or Cain, or hoping for steals from Gardner. The advanced metrics suggest that Longoria's BA is unsustainable, but he should be able to keep his power binge up, as his HR/FB percentage isn't aberrational. He's hitting the same % of LD, but he's hitting far more FBs than GBs than at any point in his career. Braun's current BABIP is also unsustainable, but his SB #s are way down. The other issue is health. Longoria rarely stays healthy for 162, and Braun has been a horse. Longoria's position is far more valuable, and although Reynolds has been a top 20 player so far, there's no way he can sustain this clip, and I don't want four months of .200 BA and 150 Ks from a 3B. Common sense says just pull the trigger given Braun's past, but if he's not stealing bases, he's putting up similar numbers to Longoria at a position of far less value. What would you do? |
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