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View Poll Results: Before reading this, what point spread would you have guessed?
Virtuous Chiefs by 7+ 8 5.88%
Virtuous Chiefs by 5 to 6.5 2 1.47%
Virtuous Chiefs by 3 to 4.5 13 9.56%
Virtuous Chiefs by 0.5 to 2.5 1 0.74%
Push 4 2.94%
Cheating Broncos by 0.5 to 2.5 1 0.74%
Cheating Broncos by 3 to 4.5 26 19.12%
Cheating Broncos by 5 to 6.5 29 21.32%
Cheating Broncos by 7+ 49 36.03%
I don't deal with math and probabilities. I hire people for that. 3 2.21%
Voters: 136. You may not vote on this poll

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Old 11-13-2013, 01:31 PM   #1
a pp roach a pp roach is offline
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not surprising. chiefs are 3-6 afterall.
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Old 11-13-2013, 01:40 PM   #2
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Vegas looks at all sorts of stuff like how does a team do on the road compared to home. I showed the numbers in another thread, but just look at the results for yourself. Sure, KC is 9-0 and traveling to 8-1... but, that doesn't automatically mean the PS is going to be 3.

Hell, they could have started with 5.5 and many would complain.

Again, I think few doubt the awesomeness of KC's defense... it's the offense that few believe in at this point and recent road games give validity to the concerns.
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Old 11-13-2013, 01:46 PM   #3
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Originally Posted by Mile High Mania View Post
Vegas looks at all sorts of stuff like how does a team do on the road compared to home.
The Chiefs have won every road game by at least two scores.

I am seeing over 60% of the money going to the Chiefs. The line has moved accordingly to an 8 point spread.
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Old 11-13-2013, 01:48 PM   #4
Mile High Mania Mile High Mania is offline
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The Chiefs have won every road game by at least two scores.

I am seeing over 60% of the money going to the Chiefs. The line has moved accordingly to an 8 point spread.
I'm merely suggesting that while they won those games by more than 2 scores, none of those teams were comparable to what Denver's offense can do. So, in those 4 road games ... the Chiefs scored 5 offensive TDs, 11 FGs and 5 D/ST TDs.

So, yeah if the D/ST scores a few times, it's a whole new outlook... KC's offense has been rather bland on the road. Alex Smith last threw a TD in a road game at Jacksonville, week 1.
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Old 11-13-2013, 02:24 PM   #5
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Originally Posted by Mile High Mania View Post
. KC's offense has been rather bland on the road.
WHY ARE YOU BEING SO NICE?!



KC's offense has been SHIT on the road.
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Old 11-13-2013, 02:35 PM   #6
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Originally Posted by mr. tegu View Post
The Chiefs have won every road game by at least two scores.

I am seeing over 60% of the money going to the Chiefs. The line has moved accordingly to an 8 point spread.
You can't honestly think that the game in Buffalo should have ended in a win if the Bills didn't hand the game to us?
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Old 11-13-2013, 02:37 PM   #7
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You can't honestly think that the game in Buffalo should have ended in a win if the Bills didn't hand the game to us?
BUF really screwed the pooch when they threw that INT near the endzone that was run back, that could have been a huge game changer at that point with a nice double digit lead.
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Old 11-13-2013, 02:37 PM   #8
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You can't honestly think that the game in Buffalo should have ended in a win if the Bills didn't hand the game to us?
Handed the game to us? What?
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Old 11-13-2013, 02:39 PM   #9
mr. tegu mr. tegu is offline
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You can't honestly think that the game in Buffalo should have ended in a win if the Bills didn't hand the game to us?
In a game with average at best offenses, the team that makes the most mistakes loses.
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Old 11-13-2013, 01:41 PM   #10
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All I know is, if we're going to win this thing, we're going to need a lot more #14.
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Old 11-13-2013, 01:54 PM   #11
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Not surprising, 95% of the media is gay for the broncos
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Old 11-13-2013, 01:59 PM   #12
Mile High Mania Mile High Mania is offline
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Not surprising, 95% of the media is gay for the broncos
I doubt it's that high.
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Old 11-13-2013, 02:02 PM   #13
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Plus people love offense over defense. That's how it always is. The Chiefs are considered a defensively oriented team... so people assume if they even have a chance it'll be a close, hard fought game... if not things will get away from them. I think generally speaking people will always pick the offensive team over the defensive one. Even though history says that's not true.

Funny thing about that is the Chiefs and Broncos are still far and away 1/2 in the AFC in point differential. The Chiefs are +104... there is nothing flukey about that.
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Old 11-13-2013, 02:06 PM   #14
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Plus people love offense over defense. That's how it always is. The Chiefs are considered a defensively oriented team... so people assume if they even have a chance it'll be a close, hard fought game... if not things will get away from them. I think generally speaking people will always pick the offensive team over the defensive one. Even though history says that's not true.

Funny thing about that is the Chiefs and Broncos are still far and away 1/2 in the AFC in point differential. The Chiefs are +104... there is nothing flukey about that.
The only thing flukey is the D/ST scoring - yes, all production counts, but you can't always rely on D/ST to bail you out. I believe that is the perception with KC right now.

D/ST has 7 TDs through 9 games... compared to 9 passing and 7 rushing.
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Old 11-13-2013, 02:09 PM   #15
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The only thing flukey is the D/ST scoring - yes, all production counts, but you can't always rely on D/ST to bail you out. I believe that is the perception with KC right now.

D/ST has 7 TDs through 9 games... compared to 9 passing and 7 rushing.
When you win half your games that way, it's a fluke.

When you win ALL of your games that way, it's a hallmark.
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