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Old 09-30-2014, 01:35 AM  
Direckshun Direckshun is offline
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Late night bullshit: The path to a wild card berth.
The records of teams to get wildcards in the AFC of the last three years:

2013: Chiefs 11-5, Chargers 9-7

2012: Colts 11-5, Bengals 10-6

2011: Steelers 12-4, Bengals 9-7

In the last three years, 100% of the AFC teams that have finished 10-6 or better got into the playoffs, at least as Wild Cards.

In the last three years, three non-division winners finished 9-7, and only the 2011 Titans failed to secure a Wild Card berth. Zero teams with 8-8 or worse have received a WC berth.

That roughly means that if you're not winning your division in today's AFC, you've got a 0% chance to get in if you finish 8-8 or worse. Teams that finish 9-7 have a 2/3s chance of getting in. And teams that finish better than that get in 100% of the time.

The Chiefs have five games for the remainder of the season that they should definitely win:
  • Week 8, hosting the Rams
  • Week 9, hosting the Jets
  • Week 10, hosting the Bills
  • Week 12, hosting the Raiders
  • Week 15, visiting Oakland
With those 5 games in our pocket -- and obviously nothing is a sure thing -- that should give us a starting position of 7-2.

Which means, to get to that magical 9-7 threshold, we need two more wins. And three more wins if we want to be a sure thing.

The remaining games to get two wins from:
  • Week 5, visiting San Francisco
  • Week 7, visiting San Diego
  • Week 11, hosting the Seahawks
  • Week 13, hosting the Broncos
  • Week 14, visiting Arizona
  • Week 16, visiting Pittsburgh
  • Week 17, hosting the Chargers
I would hope the Chiefs could secure at least two more wins here, but I'll be damned if I know where it is.

Shit, this year's schedule is brutal.
Last edited by Direckshun; 09-30-2014 at 04:21 AM..
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Old 10-24-2014, 10:14 AM   #76
BossChief BossChief is offline
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Old 10-24-2014, 11:39 AM   #77
Hammock Parties Hammock Parties is offline
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Your obsession with 4000 yards is hilarious.
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Old 10-24-2014, 12:44 PM   #78
Hammock Parties Hammock Parties is offline
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Just looked at SD's schedule.

@Baltimore
New England
Denver
@SF
@KC

That is a brutal way to end the year.
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