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Old 09-30-2014, 01:35 AM  
Direckshun Direckshun is offline
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Late night bullshit: The path to a wild card berth.
The records of teams to get wildcards in the AFC of the last three years:

2013: Chiefs 11-5, Chargers 9-7

2012: Colts 11-5, Bengals 10-6

2011: Steelers 12-4, Bengals 9-7

In the last three years, 100% of the AFC teams that have finished 10-6 or better got into the playoffs, at least as Wild Cards.

In the last three years, three non-division winners finished 9-7, and only the 2011 Titans failed to secure a Wild Card berth. Zero teams with 8-8 or worse have received a WC berth.

That roughly means that if you're not winning your division in today's AFC, you've got a 0% chance to get in if you finish 8-8 or worse. Teams that finish 9-7 have a 2/3s chance of getting in. And teams that finish better than that get in 100% of the time.

The Chiefs have five games for the remainder of the season that they should definitely win:
  • Week 8, hosting the Rams
  • Week 9, hosting the Jets
  • Week 10, hosting the Bills
  • Week 12, hosting the Raiders
  • Week 15, visiting Oakland
With those 5 games in our pocket -- and obviously nothing is a sure thing -- that should give us a starting position of 7-2.

Which means, to get to that magical 9-7 threshold, we need two more wins. And three more wins if we want to be a sure thing.

The remaining games to get two wins from:
  • Week 5, visiting San Francisco
  • Week 7, visiting San Diego
  • Week 11, hosting the Seahawks
  • Week 13, hosting the Broncos
  • Week 14, visiting Arizona
  • Week 16, visiting Pittsburgh
  • Week 17, hosting the Chargers
I would hope the Chiefs could secure at least two more wins here, but I'll be damned if I know where it is.

Shit, this year's schedule is brutal.
Last edited by Direckshun; 09-30-2014 at 04:21 AM..
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Old 10-23-2014, 11:33 PM   #61
Easy 6 Easy 6 is offline
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Originally Posted by Count Zarth View Post
Big Ben is raping this year and Leveon Bell is an elite back.

We'll need to score 30+ to beat that team.
Ben is my prototype QB, but no, he isnt raping this year at all... he has about 300 more yards and 2 more touchdowns than Ryan Fitzpatrick.

Thats Haleys fault, and he's the idiot who'll be calling the plays against us.

Their defense isnt scary anymore, at all... our offense should be able to pretty much do what it wants against them.
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Old 10-23-2014, 11:54 PM   #62
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I don't necessarily disagree with you, but can you honestly look at our remaining schedule and say there's a team that can't beat us?

If we're being honest, this team is bipolar as ****. We have no idea on a week to week basis who is showing up.

Unless they figure out who the **** they are and start playing like it consistently, the rest of this season is going to be a roller coaster.
if ****ing Andy just runs the same game plan as we did at sandy eggo, we win all,if the d can't hold we got problems
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Old 10-23-2014, 11:57 PM   #63
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I'd love to be wrong but I just don't see a team with this much ****ed up make the playoffs...
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Old 10-23-2014, 11:59 PM   #64
Psyko Tek Psyko Tek is offline
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I thought we traded you.
he failed the physical, some PE or something
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Old 10-23-2014, 11:59 PM   #65
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I thought we traded you.
he failed the physical, some PED or something
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Old 10-24-2014, 12:04 AM   #66
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Originally Posted by Count Zarth View Post
Big Ben is raping this year and Leveon Bell is an elite back.

We'll need to score 30+ to beat that team.
Yeah. They looked awesome against my browns in that 31-10 beat down. The Steelers are garbage.
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Old 10-24-2014, 12:08 AM   #67
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The Buccaneers beat the Steelers at Heinz Field.

The Buccaneers.

Look over how the Buccaneers have played this season and let that settle in.
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Old 10-24-2014, 12:14 AM   #68
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The Buccaneers beat the Steelers at Heinz Field.

The Buccaneers.

Look over how the Buccaneers have played this season and let that settle in.
He is a troll. That's all he will ever be.
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Old 10-24-2014, 12:22 AM   #69
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Ben is my prototype QB, but no, he isnt raping this year at all... .
96 QB rating and will easily throw for over 4000 yards...

Wish he was our QB.
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Old 10-24-2014, 01:07 AM   #70
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96 QB rating and will easily throw for over 4000 yards...

Wish he was our QB.
And yet he will not make the playoffs and probably finish last in the division. Well done.
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Old 10-24-2014, 06:14 AM   #71
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Originally Posted by Count Zarth View Post
96 QB rating and will easily throw for over 4000 yards...

Wish he was our QB.
Your obsession with 4000 yards is hilarious.
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Old 10-24-2014, 09:06 AM   #72
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I was thinking the same thing yesterday

Week 13, hosting the Broncos-one of these days we get them
Week 14, visiting Arizona-possible
Week 16, visiting Pittsburgh-definitely
Week 17, hosting the Chargers-yes

taking the winnable one from above and 2 of those 4. =10 Wild card
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Old 10-24-2014, 09:09 AM   #73
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Just get to 10 and we'd be in. 11 would be nice but that's doubtful
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Old 10-24-2014, 09:17 AM   #74
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Originally Posted by Direckshun View Post
The records of teams to get wildcards in the AFC of the last three years:

2013: Chiefs 11-5, Chargers 9-7

2012: Colts 11-5, Bengals 10-6

2011: Steelers 12-4, Bengals 9-7

In the last three years, 100% of the AFC teams that have finished 10-6 or better got into the playoffs, at least as Wild Cards.

In the last three years, three non-division winners finished 9-7, and only the 2011 Titans failed to secure a Wild Card berth. Zero teams with 8-8 or worse have received a WC berth.

That roughly means that if you're not winning your division in today's AFC, you've got a 0% chance to get in if you finish 8-8 or worse. Teams that finish 9-7 have a 2/3s chance of getting in. And teams that finish better than that get in 100% of the time.

The Chiefs have five games for the remainder of the season that they should definitely win:
  • Week 8, hosting the Rams
  • Week 9, hosting the Jets
  • Week 10, hosting the Bills
  • Week 12, hosting the Raiders
  • Week 15, visiting Oakland
With those 5 games in our pocket -- and obviously nothing is a sure thing -- that should give us a starting position of 7-2.

Which means, to get to that magical 9-7 threshold, we need two more wins. And three more wins if we want to be a sure thing.

The remaining games to get two wins from:
  • Week 5, visiting San Francisco
  • Week 7, visiting San Diego
  • Week 11, hosting the Seahawks
  • Week 13, hosting the Broncos
  • Week 14, visiting Arizona
  • Week 16, visiting Pittsburgh
  • Week 17, hosting the Chargers
I would hope the Chiefs could secure at least two more wins here, but I'll be damned if I know where it is.

Shit, this year's schedule is brutal.
We beat the Bolts and I'd bet the others from this group come from the Steelers, Seahawks and Bolts again. I'm not worried about winning games from this group as much as I am losing games from the "should win" group - BECAUSE CHIEFS!
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Old 10-24-2014, 09:53 AM   #75
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Originally Posted by Count Zarth View Post
96 QB rating and will easily throw for over 4000 yards...

Wish he was our QB.
Over Geno Smith???
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