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Old 04-14-2023, 07:05 PM  
Realbaddog Realbaddog is offline
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Who are Chiefs' likeliest first-round draft picks per ESPN's draft day predictor?
ESPN Analytics recently put together a draft day predictor tool that’s quite unique. It scours ESPN’s mock drafts and pre-draft rankings to create charts showing the likeliest prospects to be selected by a team at a given pick.

Below you can find the top 10 players who are most likely to be selected by Kansas City in Round 1. There’s a healthy blend of positions and prospects, but five of those players play on the defensive line.

Link:
https://chiefswire.usatoday.com/list...son-likeliest/
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Old 04-14-2023, 07:35 PM   #2
Bob Dole Bob Dole is offline
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Over 7% chance is the highest. Why not just say they have no clue?
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Old 04-14-2023, 08:08 PM   #3
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The flaw here is it’s based only on ESPN mock input. All the mocks in the world wouldn’t fix it but if it went off of probability based on needs for every team off of different big boards it would be hella interesting.
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Old 04-14-2023, 08:16 PM   #4
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Bob Dole View Post
Over 7% chance is the highest. Why not just say they have no clue?
Pretty sure they’re saying they have no clue when 7% is the highest.

The Chiefs have the last pick in the first round and if you told me someone was a 10% chance of being the pick, I’d say that’s pretty high given every possible permutation leading up to it.
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Old 04-14-2023, 08:48 PM   #5
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I think there is probably a 40% chance it will be none of the ten players mentioned in the story.

Brett Veach's ability to trade opens up the possibilities to many more players.
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Old 04-14-2023, 08:54 PM   #6
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Old 04-14-2023, 09:02 PM   #7
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Old 04-14-2023, 09:59 PM   #8
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Personally knowing how the Chiefs pick, what they look for etc..

I'm assuming their top 4 is Quentin Johnston, Mazi Smith, Anton Harrison and Adebewore.

I'm about 99.9% sure it's one of those guys.
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Old 04-14-2023, 10:50 PM   #9
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I'm disturbed by the lack of any mention of Flowers
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Old 04-14-2023, 11:01 PM   #10
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Quote:
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I'm disturbed by the lack of any mention of Flowers
Most people think he has zero chance of being there.
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Old 04-14-2023, 11:13 PM   #11
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Trade up.

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Up.
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Old 04-14-2023, 11:51 PM   #12
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This mock draft aggregator site reckons Anton Harrison is the most likely.
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Old 04-15-2023, 12:01 AM   #13
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Mecca View Post
Personally knowing how the Chiefs pick, what they look for etc..

I'm assuming their top 4 is Quentin Johnston, Mazi Smith, Anton Harrison and Adebewore.

I'm about 99.9% sure it's one of those guys.
Switch out Adebewore, add Keion White and Felix Anudike-Uzomah, and I think you're right.
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Old 04-15-2023, 02:36 AM   #14
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Mecca View Post
Personally knowing how the Chiefs pick, what they look for etc..

I'm assuming their top 4 is Quentin Johnston, Mazi Smith, Anton Harrison and Adebewore.

I'm about 99.9% sure it's one of those guys.
Top 10:

Johnston
Hyatt
Harrison
Wright
Smith
Adebewore
White
Foskey
McDonald
Gibbs
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Old 04-15-2023, 05:26 AM   #15
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Vrett Beach will school the draft.
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