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Old 12-28-2014, 05:15 PM  
Prison Bitch Prison Bitch is offline
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6-10 Team with Chase Daniel
Someone at the game today made a comment that we should play Chase Daniel next year and "get rid of that clown Smith". Like always, I wanted to see what the data suggests.


We have almost no sample size for Daniel as he's played 2 games. We have a large sample size for Alex though. QB rating is extremely correlated to wins in the NFL. The average rating is 84: a team can expect an additional win (or loss) moving approximately 6 points from the median. Alex had a 93 rating and Daniel had a 75 rating today. That's an implied swing of 3 full games if we assume static performance.


While there is no way to know if Daniel would perform differently over the course of a season, it's doubtful any teams (or our own coaching staff) believe he could. Else, he'd be picked up as a starter. Whether Chiefs fans see any value finishing 9-7 vs 6-10 if you miss the playoffs regardless is another discussion.
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Old 12-29-2014, 03:20 PM   #316
chiefzilla1501 chiefzilla1501 is offline
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Originally Posted by Prison Bitch View Post
Yards per attempt: Alex 7.0, Chase 5.6. Not sure what people saw that led them to believe Chase was throwing the ball downfield.
He was throwing the ball downfield. Doesn't mean he was at all accurate. But it showed that there were receivers who had a playable ball rather than the BS we keep insisting on that receivers are always smothered downfield. When the QB gives them a shot, receivers can actually make plays. Imagine that.
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Old 12-29-2014, 03:22 PM   #317
Reerun_KC Reerun_KC is offline
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He was throwing the ball downfield. Doesn't mean he was at all accurate. But it showed that there were receivers who had a playable ball rather than the BS we keep insisting on that receivers are always smothered downfield. When the QB gives them a shot, receivers can actually make plays. Imagine that.
Yeah okay.
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Old 12-29-2014, 04:01 PM   #318
chiefzilla1501 chiefzilla1501 is offline
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Yeah okay.
I'm not sure what agenda you're trying to drive here. Admitting the QB is terrible is an indictment on Reid too, since I know that's the point you're trying to drive here, since he's the one who insists on sticking with Smith/Daniel (it seems, at least). Not to mention enabling these guys with an overly conservative offense.

Smith has missed open deep receivers too. The receivers don't get much separation, but good QBs know how to get the ball to receivers regardless. Daniel missed on 3 or 4 aggressive passes, including a few in the end zone where a good throw gets the team 6.
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Old 12-29-2014, 06:37 PM   #319
Sweet Daddy Hate Sweet Daddy Hate is offline
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Alex Smith is a prototypical NFL pocket passer in size, athletic ability, and mobility.
No.

Back it up...further.....further....further....

aaaaaaand over the cliff with that horse shit.
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Old 12-19-2016, 12:27 PM   #320
Prison Bitch Prison Bitch is offline
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Ok, to revisit this thread: we are 10-4 despite Alex being 19th in QB points added and 15th in total QBR. So the 2016 data proves we are clearly winning in spite of him. He's been total shit this month. You can negative rep me because I deserve it for sticking up for this garbage. I am on my way to turning towards the Dark Side.
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Old 12-19-2016, 12:29 PM   #321
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There are no grounds for disagreement, PB.
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Old 12-19-2016, 12:31 PM   #322
Prison Bitch Prison Bitch is offline
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I had a vision when the game ended. Claynus was saying "Bitch...I..am...your father!" When I said that's impossible he just said "search your feelings. You know it to be true"
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