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Rabbi Goldmann
Join Date: Nov 2012
Casino cash: $5450159
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6-10 Team with Chase Daniel
Someone at the game today made a comment that we should play Chase Daniel next year and "get rid of that clown Smith". Like always, I wanted to see what the data suggests.
We have almost no sample size for Daniel as he's played 2 games. We have a large sample size for Alex though. QB rating is extremely correlated to wins in the NFL. The average rating is 84: a team can expect an additional win (or loss) moving approximately 6 points from the median. Alex had a 93 rating and Daniel had a 75 rating today. That's an implied swing of 3 full games if we assume static performance. While there is no way to know if Daniel would perform differently over the course of a season, it's doubtful any teams (or our own coaching staff) believe he could. Else, he'd be picked up as a starter. Whether Chiefs fans see any value finishing 9-7 vs 6-10 if you miss the playoffs regardless is another discussion. |
Posts: 87,025
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#316 |
In Search of a Life
Join Date: Aug 2008
Casino cash: $-1745503
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He was throwing the ball downfield. Doesn't mean he was at all accurate. But it showed that there were receivers who had a playable ball rather than the BS we keep insisting on that receivers are always smothered downfield. When the QB gives them a shot, receivers can actually make plays. Imagine that.
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Posts: 51,660
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#317 | |
Banned
Join Date: Aug 2005
Casino cash: $7231160
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Quote:
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Posts: 1,529
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#318 |
In Search of a Life
Join Date: Aug 2008
Casino cash: $-1745503
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I'm not sure what agenda you're trying to drive here. Admitting the QB is terrible is an indictment on Reid too, since I know that's the point you're trying to drive here, since he's the one who insists on sticking with Smith/Daniel (it seems, at least). Not to mention enabling these guys with an overly conservative offense.
Smith has missed open deep receivers too. The receivers don't get much separation, but good QBs know how to get the ball to receivers regardless. Daniel missed on 3 or 4 aggressive passes, including a few in the end zone where a good throw gets the team 6. |
Posts: 51,660
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#319 | |
Unsparing
Join Date: Aug 2008
Casino cash: $10004900
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Quote:
Back it up...further.....further....further.... aaaaaaand over the cliff with that horse shit.
__________________
1. Merciless, severe. 2. Given freely and generously. 100% refusal to overrate 20 year Head Coaches with ZERO ****ing rings as a Head Coach. CP's Official Professor of 'Dem Blues for 2019/2020! |
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Posts: 77,135
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#320 |
Rabbi Goldmann
Join Date: Nov 2012
Casino cash: $5450159
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Ok, to revisit this thread: we are 10-4 despite Alex being 19th in QB points added and 15th in total QBR. So the 2016 data proves we are clearly winning in spite of him. He's been total shit this month. You can negative rep me because I deserve it for sticking up for this garbage. I am on my way to turning towards the Dark Side.
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Posts: 87,025
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#321 |
Supporter
Join Date: May 2005
Location: Who knows?
Casino cash: $-954116
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There are no grounds for disagreement, PB.
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Posts: 88,586
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#322 |
Rabbi Goldmann
Join Date: Nov 2012
Casino cash: $5450159
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I had a vision when the game ended. Claynus was saying "Bitch...I..am...your father!" When I said that's impossible he just said "search your feelings. You know it to be true"
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Posts: 87,025
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