Chubb (CLE) going out of bounds up 10-7?

[Bearcat]

Originally Posted by htismaqe

The point is that Cleveland would have scored a TD with 1:07 left.

At that point, they are kicking off.

The most likely scenario is they have to drive 40 or so yards, kick a FG, and then recover an onside kick. At that point, they have to drive 50 yards for a TD and PAT for the tie or 2 point conversion for the outright win. The 2-point conversion obviously adds even more difficulty.

A kick return TD to start the sequence would make it infinitely easier but that's extremely rare. Any number of other scenarios are almost statistically impossible, like recovering two onside kicks, back to back.

The Browns weren't losing that game had Chubb scored. It just wasn't going to happen.

Yeah, it's the difference between taking the 99.99% chance of winning when all you have to do is not screw up a kneel down (and if they did screw it up, they'd most likely have to drive 50+ yards to get into FG range with less than a minute left), or a 99% chance of winning by scoring the touchdown.

It's effectively arguing over that +/-0.99%.