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Originally Posted by St. Patty's Fire
The Bills just lack guys on defense. They have good players at every level and they play well to their scheme but they don’t have any true difference makers. And their DL just lacks size, and has for years, and it’s been their biggest issue come playoff time. And before someone says “what??? rousseau and epenesa are 6’7 and 6’6 how do they lack size??” well they’re also barely above 250. look at what the ravens have in the middle. Pierce is within a 100lbs of those two combined. Then you have Matubouike and Jones who are 315+. Ed oliver is tiny and Von Miller is a million years old.
I just dont like the matchup for Buffalo. They’ve been relying on their 6 man front to run the ball in chunks and against the Ravens I don’t think it’ll make a difference. The best matchup the Bills have is their passing offense vs the Ravens passing D. It’s gonna be hard to move the ball at will if they can’t get the running game going, though. Bills in 2nd and 8 and 3rd and 7 all day is gonna be tough.
My feel might change as we get closer to the game but right now I’m feeling a comfortable Ravens win, 36-23
That said, if Allen can have an all time great performance, the Bills might be able to overcome all of the bad matchups. And he’s certainly capable of that. I might change my pick by Friday but I don’t think the disadvantage for the Bills in my mind will change.
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Good news is that if the Ravens win, Harbaugh is going to ride Henry and limit Allen's possessions. The Bills rush defense is god awful. I think Henry will have something like 32 for 209 or something, and that's some late season wear and tear for the AFCCG.