Chiefs Early Afternoon Bullshit: Who's planning to attend the playoff game? - Page 11

**OnTheWarpath15** · 12-13-2013, 12:35 PM

Granted, nothing is set in stone yet as far as positioning is concerned, but who's thinking of making a trip to see the Wild Card game?

Per cdcox, we're around 96% to end up the 5th seed, and Indy is 88% to finish as the 4th seed. I've already booked a room in both Indy and Cincinnati, just to make sure I'm covered - and to get something booked before prices rise even further.

After doing some research, you can plan on spending a pretty penny in Indy - downtown hotels are obnoxiously expensive - $150 and up for Saturday night. Only way to stay cheap is to stay 6-7 miles away out by the airport and drive in on gameday. Cincinnati is cheaper, but downtown options are pretty limited.

So - who's going?

**OnTheWarpath15** · 12-21-2013, 09:08 PM

I was playing around with the ESPN Playoff Machine and a couple of other scenario builders and came across something odd in the NFC.

Mother of all longshots, but if Chicago was to win tomorrow, and Green Bay was to tie Pittsburgh - and then Green Bay was to beat Chicago in their Week 17 matchup - Green Bay would win the NFCN with a 8-6-2 record over the Bears at 9-7.

**OnTheWarpath15** · 12-21-2013, 09:11 PM

Also...

If KC, CIN and NE were to win tomorrow, I cannot find a scenario in which we would not play the Colts on Wild Card Weekend. (Assuming Denver wins AFCW)

**BossChief** · 12-21-2013, 09:12 PM

Crazy

2 ties > 1 win

Discuss Thrower · 12-21-2013, 09:13 PM

The fact you dont get refunds for playoff tickets that you buy on the slim chance yor team gets to host a game is asininity bordering on straight up trolling

MAYHEM · 12-21-2013, 09:13 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by OnTheWarpath58

I was playing around with the ESPN Playoff Machine and a couple of other scenario builders and came across something odd in the NFC.

Mother of all longshots, but if Chicago was to win tomorrow, and Green Bay was to tie Pittsburgh - and then Green Bay was to beat Chicago in their Week 17 matchup - Green Bay would win the NFCN with a 8-6-2 record over the Bears at 9-7.

The ESPN machine is broken if 8-6-2 beats out 9-7.

rolltide2014 · 12-21-2013, 09:15 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MAYHEM

The ESPN machine is broken if 8-6-2 beats out 9-7.

Well actually ties are figured into a record as .5 a win and .5 a loss, so say they end up 9-6-1, its essentially calculated as 9.5-6.5, so 8-6-2 would basically be 9-7, which would tie them with the Bears, and the Packers would win the head-to-head tiebreaker in that scenario.

MAYHEM · 12-21-2013, 09:16 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by BossChief

Crazy

2 ties > 1 win

That's right, huh. Weird. Never seen that happen before.

MAYHEM · 12-21-2013, 09:18 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by rolltide2014

Well actually ties are figured into a record as .5 a win and .5 a loss, so say they end up 9-6-1, its essentially calculated as 9.5-6.5, so 8-6-2 would basically be 9-7, which would tie them with the Bears, and the Packers would win the head-to-head tiebreaker in that scenario.

Oh I see now, thanks for the explanation.

**OnTheWarpath15** · 12-21-2013, 09:20 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by BossChief

Crazy

2 ties > 1 win

Actually, 2 ties = 1 win.

Both would finish with a .563 winning percentage, and Green Bay would win on a tiebreaker down the list, since they would split the head-to-head meetings.

MAYHEM · 12-21-2013, 09:21 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by OnTheWarpath58

Actually, 2 ties = 1 win.

Both would finish with a .563 winning percentage, and Green Bay would win on a tiebreaker down the list, since they would split the head-to-head meetings.

I'm still confused actually. If a tie equals a .5 win and .5 loss, why not one extra loss with two ties instead of an extra win?

**OnTheWarpath15** · 12-21-2013, 09:23 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MAYHEM

I'm still confused actually. If a tie equals a .5 win and .5 loss, why not one extra loss with two ties instead of just one extra win?

8-6-2

One of those ties gets you to 8.5-6.5. Half win, half loss.

The other gets you to 9-7. Which would be "tied" with the Bears, and the Packers would win the tiebreak on division record.

GB would be 3-2-1, and Chicago would be 2-4 in division games.

rolltide2014 · 12-21-2013, 09:23 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MAYHEM

I'm still confused actually. If a tie equals a .5 win and .5 loss, why not one extra loss with two ties instead of just one extra win?

It would be an extra loss and an extra win. Each tie would be .5 a win and .5 a loss, so two ties equals a win and a loss. Add those back to their 8-6 record and you get 9-7, tying them with CHI in that scenario.

MAYHEM · 12-21-2013, 09:26 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by OnTheWarpath58

8-6-2

One of those ties gets you to 8.5-6.5. Half win, half loss.

The other gets you to 9-7.

Okay I'm an idiot.

Still can be a winner even if your not technically winning.

**OnTheWarpath15** · 12-21-2013, 09:29 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MAYHEM

Okay I'm an idiot.

Still can be a winner even if your not technically winning.

No worries, man.

It's a ridiculous longshot, I just found it interesting. Didn't mean to make y'all work this evening.

MAYHEM · 12-21-2013, 09:33 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by OnTheWarpath58

No worries, man.

It's a ridiculous longshot, I just found it interesting. Didn't mean to make y'all work this evening.

Me too.

Damn simple math stumping me.

12-13-2013, 12:35 PM
OnTheWarpath15 MVP Join Date: Sep 2005 Casino cash: $2051115	Early Afternoon Bullshit: Who's planning to attend the playoff game? Granted, nothing is set in stone yet as far as positioning is concerned, but who's thinking of making a trip to see the Wild Card game? Per cdcox, we're around 96% to end up the 5th seed, and Indy is 88% to finish as the 4th seed. I've already booked a room in both Indy and Cincinnati, just to make sure I'm covered - and to get something booked before prices rise even further. After doing some research, you can plan on spending a pretty penny in Indy - downtown hotels are obnoxiously expensive - $150 and up for Saturday night. Only way to stay cheap is to stay 6-7 miles away out by the airport and drive in on gameday. Cincinnati is cheaper, but downtown options are pretty limited. So - who's going?
Posts: 60,758

12-21-2013, 09:08 PM	#151
OnTheWarpath15 MVP Join Date: Sep 2005 Casino cash: $2051115	I was playing around with the ESPN Playoff Machine and a couple of other scenario builders and came across something odd in the NFC. Mother of all longshots, but if Chicago was to win tomorrow, and Green Bay was to tie Pittsburgh - and then Green Bay was to beat Chicago in their Week 17 matchup - Green Bay would win the NFCN with a 8-6-2 record over the Bears at 9-7.
Posts: 60,758

12-21-2013, 09:11 PM	#152
OnTheWarpath15 MVP Join Date: Sep 2005 Casino cash: $2051115	Also... If KC, CIN and NE were to win tomorrow, I cannot find a scenario in which we would not play the Colts on Wild Card Weekend. (Assuming Denver wins AFCW)
Posts: 60,758

12-21-2013, 09:12 PM	#153
BossChief SuperBowl or bust Join Date: Dec 2008 Location: BF Iowa Casino cash: $-1765912	Crazy 2 ties > 1 win __________________ Dreams do come true... http://www.chiefsplanet.com/BB/showp...postcount=1407
Posts: 47,906

12-21-2013, 09:13 PM	#154
Discuss Thrower "You like to drink?" Join Date: Jun 2006 Location: "I like to drink." Casino cash: $-400000	The fact you dont get refunds for playoff tickets that you buy on the slim chance yor team gets to host a game is asininity bordering on straight up trolling __________________ Chiefs 2016 Opponents: Home: JAX, TEN, NO, TB, NYJ. Away: HOU, IND, ATL, CAR, PIT Chiefs 2017 Opponents: Home: BUF, MIA, PHI, WSH, AFC North. Away: NE, NYJ, NYG, DAL, AFC South
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