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Old 01-20-2015, 10:38 PM  
PizzaDoughz PizzaDoughz is offline
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Pats Cheating Comfirmed

According to the report, the league sources say the NFL determined 11 of the 12 footballs used by the Patriots were under-inflated by two pounds per square inch each. Per NFL rules, footballs are required to be inflated between 12.5 and 13.5 PSI and weigh between 14 and 15 ounces.

http://www.sbnation.com/nfl/2015/1/2...bill-belichick

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Old 01-23-2015, 05:27 PM   #1216
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Ok serious question:

is the OP's title correct?

is it REALLY confirmed that the pats cheated?

I am not following this story that closely

I understand the balls pressure were low but has it been confirmed 100% this was some intentional cheating? did the refs actually 100% say they checked the balls before kickoff?

(I noticed they checked the balls AT half time....but did they check them before the game and the pressure was fine?)
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Old 01-23-2015, 05:28 PM   #1217
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Looking through that fumble data, I realized that he's doing offensive plays over total fumbles. The problem with that is that fumbles can also occur on kick-off/punt returns. This is not only a general problem, but it is concerning in this case because those plays wouldn't involve the Patriots' special ball, the players would be using a normal kicking ball.

So, I went through his data for each team over the last 5 years, and took out all of the fumbles that occurred on special teams, so we can look at just fumbles per offensive play, with each team using their quarterback's preferred ball. If you looked at at the original analysis, this was the ONLY metric (plays per fumble over the last 5 years) where the Patriots did not rank #1.



As you can see, 29 teams are grouped pretty closely, between 44.8 and 71.9 plays per fumble. The 3 teams at the end are New Orleans (80.7), Atlanta (91.5), and New England (101). Not only does New England lead the league, they are the only outdoor team in the top 3.
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Old 01-23-2015, 05:30 PM   #1218
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Quote:
Originally Posted by MagicHef View Post
Looking through that fumble data, I realized that he's doing offensive plays over total fumbles. The problem with that is that fumbles can also occur on kick-off/punt returns. This is not only a general problem, but it is concerning in this case because those plays wouldn't involve the Patriots' special ball, the players would be using a normal kicking ball.

So, I went through his data for each team over the last 5 years, and took out all of the fumbles that occurred on special teams, so we can look at just fumbles per offensive play, with each team using their quarterback's preferred ball. If you looked at at the original analysis, this was the ONLY metric (plays per fumble over the last 5 years) where the Patriots did not rank #1.



As you can see, 29 teams are grouped pretty closely, between 44.8 and 71.9 plays per fumble. The 3 teams at the end are New Orleans (80.7), Atlanta (91.5), and New England (101). Not only does New England lead the league, they are the only outdoor team in the top 3.

correct me if I am wrong but wouldnt the patriots LEAD that same graph in #of punt returns(due to more forcing punts,) per offensive play as well? so they would have more opportunities per offensive play to fumble?
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Old 01-23-2015, 05:33 PM   #1219
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Originally Posted by Pawnmower View Post
correct me if I am wrong but wouldnt the patriots LEAD that same graph in #of kickoffs (due to more kickoffs, more scoring) per offensive play as well? so they would have more opportunities per offensive play to fumble?
What?

Number of kickoffs per play?
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Old 01-23-2015, 05:35 PM   #1220
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Originally Posted by MagicHef View Post
What?

Number of kickoffs per play?

kickoffs and punt returns - total?
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Old 01-23-2015, 05:36 PM   #1221
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i am just wondering like if new england stops the opponents more, and forces more punts maybe they do more punt returns on average? i dunno..just a thought
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Old 01-23-2015, 05:37 PM   #1222
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Oh wait maybe i read that wrong...so that graph has all special teams fumbles removed???

oops my bad, i didnt read that right at all

LOL

Interesting chart though....wow

crazy how much of an outlier they are
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Old 01-23-2015, 05:42 PM   #1223
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I mean if that chart is correct the pats and saints and even atlanta are EXTREMELY deviated from the mean...


i am not going to do a standard deviation, i will leave that to others but jesus it seems like the pats are like 3 standard deviations(rough estimate) away from the mean...which has a VERY VERY low chance (less than 1%) almost to the point where they would be an outlier that would be ignored
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Old 01-23-2015, 05:43 PM   #1224
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Pawnmower View Post
Oh wait maybe i read that wrong...so that graph has all special teams fumbles removed???

oops my bad, i didnt read that right at all

LOL

Interesting chart though....wow

crazy how much of an outlier they are
Yes, I removed kicking plays because the Patriots wouldn't be able to use their own footballs for those plays.
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Old 01-23-2015, 05:46 PM   #1225
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Yes, I removed kicking plays because the Patriots wouldn't be able to use their own footballs for those plays.
nice

that is absolutely crazy

i mean it looks downright fishy, and Im certainly not a 'hater' or anything
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Old 01-23-2015, 05:46 PM   #1226
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You mean like the Broncos who had to send their entire OL to remove their Vaseline covers jerseys and then got busted for salary cap violations during their SB years?

And nobody talks about it or gives a shit now.
I was at that game. The bullshit that ensued from the league was worse than the cheating.

The Broncos were allowed to go to the sidelines and "wipe off". They should have been all tossed from the game at worst but at the least, made to shower and change jerseys and oh yea, BTW, we aren't holding up the game for you, either.
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Old 01-23-2015, 07:44 PM   #1227
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I was at that game. The bullshit that ensued from the league was worse than the cheating.

The Broncos were allowed to go to the sidelines and "wipe off". They should have been all tossed from the game at worst but at the least, made to shower and change jerseys and oh yea, BTW, we aren't holding up the game for you, either.
Not to mention they missed the TD call by TG. That entire thing was a screw job.
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Old 01-23-2015, 07:58 PM   #1228
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Not to mention they missed the TD call by TG. That entire thing was a screw job.
Actually dude was out of bounds. Now, did his toe touch down before his heel? Too close to call but he was out. I would say more that they ****ed us with a holding call on a FG attempt.
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Old 01-23-2015, 08:09 PM   #1229
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Actually dude was out of bounds. Now, did his toe touch down before his heel? Too close to call but he was out. I would say more that they ****ed us with a holding call on a FG attempt.
He was pushed out of bounds.
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Old 01-23-2015, 08:15 PM   #1230
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