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Old 11-02-2015, 05:00 PM  
duncan_idaho duncan_idaho is offline
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*** Official 2016 Royals Offseason Repository ***



Well, folks, it has happened. The Royals stand triumphant, atop the heap of MLB.

In this thread, we'll track the action as Dayton Moore continues The Process and attempts to defend the long-awaited title.

Before we get to the meet of it, let's take a minute to reflect ... and say "I'm Sorry" to Dayton Moore.

We gave you hell. Many of us called for your head. But you were right. You got it done. Congratulations. Mea culpa.

Now, let's talk about the offseason:

LINK TO 2016-18 PAYROLL INFO COURTESY OF ROYALS REVIEW

The Royals will have a few priorities: Corner OF (x2) and 1 SP, IMO. The rest of the core is solid and will need little tweaking. Looking at the increase in ticket sales, merchandising, concessions, parking, etc., I think it's fair to assume the Royals GROSSED $100 million more this season, or close to it. That gives Glass and Dayton Moore much more flexibility on payroll for 2016 (hopefully).

First order of business will be gauging the Alex Gordon market. If he can be resigned for 4-5 years at around $75-80 million total, it would be hard for KC to pass on that. He's still an above-average corner OF bat, and the Royals will need to bring in at least one proven guy to play in a corner if Gordon walks... and the whole market looks a lot like Alex - guys in their early 30s looking for huge, final contracts.

Second order of business: Make a decision on Zobrist. It sounds like KC will pursue him aggressively. At 34, he's at risk of declining in a big way after a few years. If they could find someone to take on Omar Infante for eating 1/2 of his deal, that would be a great start to things.

If they decide not to spend on Zobrist, KC will need to cobble together some sort of plan for 2B/RF that involves some cheaper options like Orlando, Colon, Dyson, etc.

I could see them deciding his ability to provide great insurance at either 2B or in RF is worth the risk.

Third order of business: Add depth to the rotation with a FA SP. Duffy, Ventura, Volquez and Medlen are locks for 4 spots, it seems. Kyle Zimmer may finally be ready to make a MLB impact, but his innings will be limited. That means KC needs insurance. Will it kill two birds with one stone (and insure against Duffy/Ventura regression) by signing a more top-tier guy? Or does Moore look to Chris Young/someone like him for this depth?

Personally, I think Mike Leake would be a great fit with KC's defense and park, and I know Moore has long coveted him. He's still young - just 28 - and has succeeded in bandbox Cincinnati for years.

Ian Kennedy, Mat Latos, Marco Estrada, and Justin Masterson are some other names that may pique interest (a little further down the list).

Other than that, I don't think KC makes any major moves. Greg Holland will be interesting to observe, as they have one more year of control of him, and he will obviously miss all of that season. I wouldn't be surprised to see a pre-arbitration deal that pays him something like $15 million over the next two seasons, and I wouldn't be surprised to see him turned loose, period.

The bullpen will rest upon Wade Davis/Herrera/Hochevar, filling in pieces around them. Bringing Madson back wouldn't be a surprise, but he could get a big deal from another team that is willing to pay him as their top setup guy or even their closer.

I think the biggest prospects to watch in Spring Training will be:

1) Kyle Zimmer. The hype has built, died down, built again, etc. If he's healthy, he's filthy and a potential ToR arm. But what does he look like in ST, and how many innings can you reasonably expect from him if he does earn a rotation spot? It seems like 120-130 innings would be his limit unless they really stretch (or unless he has a lot of hidden innings from simulated games/extended spring training, which might push him to 150-160).

Having another cheap, home-grown pitcher would be a significant boon for this team as it tries to extend the competitive window (and potentially give KC a strong 1-2 to build its rotation around in Zimmer and Ventura)

2) Bubba Starling. I'm trying to remain skeptical, but I like what I hear about Bubba from this season, and the performance has picked up. If KC does not sign someone to fill the RF slot, I think that's a strong indication KC's front office believes Starling will be ready to contribute in 2016.

Dayton Moore has long said that when Starling's light flips on, it will happen quickly and burn brightly. Time will tell.

After his STRONG Arizona Fall League Performance, he shot up my prospect chart.

3) Miguel Almonte. His late-season stint out of the KC bullpen went poorly, but Almonte has a plus-plus changeup, a good fastball, and a decent curve ball. He may be the dark horse in the rotation competition, and unlike Zimmer, he's set up to pitch a full 180 inning season.

4) RA Mondesi. The only player to debut in the MLB World Series has incredible tools. He still needs to refine his game, but again... he may be KC's best cheap, plus alternative at a key position (2B). His defense would be a boon from Day 1, but he needs seasoning with the bat before he's asked to hold down 2B full time.

And, as always, here are the Prospects:

Duncan’s Top 20 for 2016:
Spoiler!

Spoiler!

Last edited by duncan_idaho; 11-17-2015 at 09:49 AM..
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Old 11-17-2015, 10:40 PM   #556
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Not sure I'd be down with Puig. He might be a clubhouse wrecker.
I'd be more concerned about the cost of getting him than any negative effect he'd have on the clubhouse. I think the culture of the team is pretty established. Morales could be the Puig-whisperer. He doesn't really have anyone in LA to do that right now, honestly.
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Old 11-17-2015, 10:40 PM   #557
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Old 11-17-2015, 10:43 PM   #558
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Parra's DRS number is higher than I expected, given his poor defensive numbers last year. I guess that maybe keeping him in a corner OF spot would probably pump up his value.
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Old 11-17-2015, 10:44 PM   #559
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Parra's DRS number is higher than I expected, given his poor defensive numbers last year. I guess that maybe keeping him in a corner OF spot would probably pump up his value.
It certainly would. He played more CF than he's used to. If we put him in left field or right then things would work out well, I do believe.
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Old 11-17-2015, 11:08 PM   #560
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I'd rather spend a bunch of money on a starter and Zobrist while eating some of Infante's contract and dumping him. Colon would be better at second over a full year than Infante, Dyson better in right over a full year than Rios was. Of course we'd miss Gordon, but the upgrade at 2nd and right coupled with another good starter would help off set that. I'd platoon Zo, Orlando, Eibner, Dyson, and Colon. In the very limited time that I saw Eibner in AZ last spring he had by far the most natural power of our players. His homers where no doubters, while Rios and most others home runs where nice hits they weren't the absolute bombs that Eibner hit. .
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Old 11-18-2015, 07:12 AM   #561
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Originally Posted by duncan_idaho View Post
Parra's DRS number is higher than I expected, given his poor defensive numbers last year. I guess that maybe keeping him in a corner OF spot would probably pump up his value.
What's a potential Parra Contract look like? 3/$27MM??
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Old 11-18-2015, 07:55 AM   #562
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What's a potential Parra Contract look like? 3/$27MM??

Anywhere from 2/15 to 3/24, would be my guess.
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Old 11-18-2015, 09:58 AM   #563
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Was anyone listening to sports radio in KC this morning? I heard someone on 610 I think say that there were only something like 45 players on major league rosters last year over the age of 30 who could be considered productive players.

Did anyone else hear that? I'm trying to dig into that a bit, but I'm not sure I heard it right.
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Old 11-18-2015, 10:02 AM   #564
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Was anyone listening to sports radio in KC this morning? I heard someone on 610 I think say that there were only something like 45 players on major league rosters last year over the age of 30 who could be considered productive players.

Did anyone else hear that? I'm trying to dig into that a bit, but I'm not sure I heard it right.
They were referencing a recent Tom Verducci article from SI.
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Old 11-18-2015, 10:04 AM   #565
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New York is still hurting after losing the World Series. The New York Post ranks the best GMs in baseball and Moore is tied for ninth.

http://nypost.com/2015/11/13/ranking...akes-the-list/
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Old 11-18-2015, 10:30 AM   #566
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Parra's DRS number is higher than I expected, given his poor defensive numbers last year. I guess that maybe keeping him in a corner OF spot would probably pump up his value.
His UZR has gone straight down the toilet the past 4 years, incl LF where he used to be elite. Depends how you view UZR but that is certainly scary to me.


But it's better than getting killed on a Gordon deal. Please, please do not let that happen.
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Old 11-18-2015, 10:47 AM   #567
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Who gives a shit if we get killed after 2017? The odds of us competing for a WS then are small anyway. I can live with a few down years while we struggle through a Gordon contract to keep this core together for 2 more years. It's the same concept as trading away valuable prospects for Cueto and Zobrist. Win now while we have this window.
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Old 11-18-2015, 10:48 AM   #568
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Tigers picked up K-Rod.
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Old 11-18-2015, 10:51 AM   #569
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Tigers picked up K-Rod.
Meh, we'll beat that guy too.
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Old 11-18-2015, 10:55 AM   #570
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New York is still hurting after losing the World Series. The New York Post ranks the best GMs in baseball and Moore is tied for ninth.

http://nypost.com/2015/11/13/ranking...akes-the-list/
That is hilariously laughable...
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