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Old 11-02-2015, 05:00 PM  
duncan_idaho duncan_idaho is offline
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*** Official 2016 Royals Offseason Repository ***



Well, folks, it has happened. The Royals stand triumphant, atop the heap of MLB.

In this thread, we'll track the action as Dayton Moore continues The Process and attempts to defend the long-awaited title.

Before we get to the meet of it, let's take a minute to reflect ... and say "I'm Sorry" to Dayton Moore.

We gave you hell. Many of us called for your head. But you were right. You got it done. Congratulations. Mea culpa.

Now, let's talk about the offseason:

LINK TO 2016-18 PAYROLL INFO COURTESY OF ROYALS REVIEW

The Royals will have a few priorities: Corner OF (x2) and 1 SP, IMO. The rest of the core is solid and will need little tweaking. Looking at the increase in ticket sales, merchandising, concessions, parking, etc., I think it's fair to assume the Royals GROSSED $100 million more this season, or close to it. That gives Glass and Dayton Moore much more flexibility on payroll for 2016 (hopefully).

First order of business will be gauging the Alex Gordon market. If he can be resigned for 4-5 years at around $75-80 million total, it would be hard for KC to pass on that. He's still an above-average corner OF bat, and the Royals will need to bring in at least one proven guy to play in a corner if Gordon walks... and the whole market looks a lot like Alex - guys in their early 30s looking for huge, final contracts.

Second order of business: Make a decision on Zobrist. It sounds like KC will pursue him aggressively. At 34, he's at risk of declining in a big way after a few years. If they could find someone to take on Omar Infante for eating 1/2 of his deal, that would be a great start to things.

If they decide not to spend on Zobrist, KC will need to cobble together some sort of plan for 2B/RF that involves some cheaper options like Orlando, Colon, Dyson, etc.

I could see them deciding his ability to provide great insurance at either 2B or in RF is worth the risk.

Third order of business: Add depth to the rotation with a FA SP. Duffy, Ventura, Volquez and Medlen are locks for 4 spots, it seems. Kyle Zimmer may finally be ready to make a MLB impact, but his innings will be limited. That means KC needs insurance. Will it kill two birds with one stone (and insure against Duffy/Ventura regression) by signing a more top-tier guy? Or does Moore look to Chris Young/someone like him for this depth?

Personally, I think Mike Leake would be a great fit with KC's defense and park, and I know Moore has long coveted him. He's still young - just 28 - and has succeeded in bandbox Cincinnati for years.

Ian Kennedy, Mat Latos, Marco Estrada, and Justin Masterson are some other names that may pique interest (a little further down the list).

Other than that, I don't think KC makes any major moves. Greg Holland will be interesting to observe, as they have one more year of control of him, and he will obviously miss all of that season. I wouldn't be surprised to see a pre-arbitration deal that pays him something like $15 million over the next two seasons, and I wouldn't be surprised to see him turned loose, period.

The bullpen will rest upon Wade Davis/Herrera/Hochevar, filling in pieces around them. Bringing Madson back wouldn't be a surprise, but he could get a big deal from another team that is willing to pay him as their top setup guy or even their closer.

I think the biggest prospects to watch in Spring Training will be:

1) Kyle Zimmer. The hype has built, died down, built again, etc. If he's healthy, he's filthy and a potential ToR arm. But what does he look like in ST, and how many innings can you reasonably expect from him if he does earn a rotation spot? It seems like 120-130 innings would be his limit unless they really stretch (or unless he has a lot of hidden innings from simulated games/extended spring training, which might push him to 150-160).

Having another cheap, home-grown pitcher would be a significant boon for this team as it tries to extend the competitive window (and potentially give KC a strong 1-2 to build its rotation around in Zimmer and Ventura)

2) Bubba Starling. I'm trying to remain skeptical, but I like what I hear about Bubba from this season, and the performance has picked up. If KC does not sign someone to fill the RF slot, I think that's a strong indication KC's front office believes Starling will be ready to contribute in 2016.

Dayton Moore has long said that when Starling's light flips on, it will happen quickly and burn brightly. Time will tell.

After his STRONG Arizona Fall League Performance, he shot up my prospect chart.

3) Miguel Almonte. His late-season stint out of the KC bullpen went poorly, but Almonte has a plus-plus changeup, a good fastball, and a decent curve ball. He may be the dark horse in the rotation competition, and unlike Zimmer, he's set up to pitch a full 180 inning season.

4) RA Mondesi. The only player to debut in the MLB World Series has incredible tools. He still needs to refine his game, but again... he may be KC's best cheap, plus alternative at a key position (2B). His defense would be a boon from Day 1, but he needs seasoning with the bat before he's asked to hold down 2B full time.

And, as always, here are the Prospects:

Duncan’s Top 20 for 2016:
Spoiler!

Spoiler!

Last edited by duncan_idaho; 11-17-2015 at 09:49 AM..
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Old 12-07-2015, 08:39 PM   #1111
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Uhhh
@Ken_Rosenthal: Some agents believe that Kazmir will aim higher than Iwakuma’s three-year, $45M deal. Younger than Iwakuma, no draft pick attached.

I think that 3/$45 million would get Kazmir.
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Old 12-07-2015, 08:42 PM   #1112
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@JonHeymanCBS: Royals haven't given up hope of Alex Gordon return. Will have plenty of competition (possibly laa, det, stl, chic, bal etc)

Cardinals are our main competitor for Gordon.
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Old 12-07-2015, 08:42 PM   #1113
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That's right in general, but given the way KC is crazy about the Royals and Chiefs... I imagine the local ratings won't take too much of a hit. As long as both teams stay competitive.
It won't be about the ratings, it'll be about what they're willing to pay for the MLB platform moving forward.
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Old 12-07-2015, 08:43 PM   #1114
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@McCulloughStar: BREAKING: Ned Yost says Rusty Kuntz will be the team's first-base coach again in 2016.

Great news!
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Old 12-07-2015, 08:45 PM   #1115
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That's right in general, but given the way KC is crazy about the Royals and Chiefs... I imagine the local ratings won't take too much of a hit. As long as both teams stay competitive.

Women are crazy for the Royals. It's insane.
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Old 12-07-2015, 08:59 PM   #1116
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It won't be about the ratings, it'll be about what they're willing to pay for the MLB platform moving forward.
For ESPN? Sure. For a local sports network? They only care about what the Royals bring in for local ratings, and the ad revenue they can make off it.
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Old 12-07-2015, 09:00 PM   #1117
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So non Royals news... but after all the talk about the Dodgers trading for Chapman to create a super bullpen, the trade may be off. A domestic disturbance from October has popped up.

http://sports.yahoo.com/news/aroldis...9095.html?nf=1
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Old 12-07-2015, 09:02 PM   #1118
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Cardinals are our main competitor for Gordon.
I'll root for Gordon until he retires, unless he is playing for the cardinals.
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Old 12-07-2015, 09:03 PM   #1119
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For ESPN? Sure. For a local sports network? They only care about what the Royals bring in for local ratings, and the ad revenue they can make off it.
Right... this is going to affect the landscape... we're talking huge TV Contracts that have been getting insane... this is the bubble that may burst that trend BEFORE the Royals can cash in on one of the lucrative deals... So the landscape of TV Deals possibly changing can and will have a drastically greater impact on the amount than what the Local ratings will do. Understand now?
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Old 12-07-2015, 09:05 PM   #1120
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https://twitter.com/royalsbuzztap/st...59900951986177
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Old 12-07-2015, 09:07 PM   #1121
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Right... this is going to affect the landscape... we're talking huge TV Contracts that have been getting insane... this is the bubble that may burst that trend BEFORE the Royals can cash in on one of the lucrative deals... So the landscape of TV Deals possibly changing can and will have a MUCH greater effect on the amount than what the Local ratings will do. Understand now?
I agree, it's certainly possible. But if the Royals are still pulling the highest local TV ratings in the league, they're still going to do okay. It will certainly be much more than they're making now.
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Old 12-07-2015, 09:10 PM   #1122
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Also, I just saw a commercial for this on MLB Network. They're airing a documentary about the Royals this Thursday night at 8 PM eastern, 7 central. There's a video at the link.

http://sports.yahoo.com/blogs/mlb-bi...213002606.html

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"Royal in Kansas City, 30 Years Later" is the title of the program and it will feature interviews with Royals past, including Hall of Famer George Brett and teammates Danny Jackson, Darryl Motley, Bret Saberhagen, Frank White and Willie Wilson as they reminisce about bringing Kansas City's first World Series title home in 1985. The group will also discuss watching the 2015 team repeating their success and the joy they experienced watching another Royal celebration.
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Old 12-07-2015, 09:11 PM   #1123
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I agree, it's certainly possible. But if the Royals are still pulling the highest local TV ratings in the league, they're still going to do okay. It will certainly be much more than they're making now.
Yep, it's just frustration regarding the current deal... and the possibility of missing out on this lucrative window for our organization spilling over.
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Old 12-07-2015, 09:11 PM   #1124
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So non Royals news... but after all the talk about the Dodgers trading for Chapman to create a super bullpen, the trade may be off. A domestic disturbance from October has popped up.

http://sports.yahoo.com/news/aroldis...9095.html?nf=1

No one will want him now.
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Old 12-07-2015, 09:11 PM   #1125
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