Chiefs Is Alex Smith Who We Thought He Is? - Page 15

oaklandhater · 11-18-2016, 02:52 PM

http://kcpridesince99.sportsblog.com...ht-he-is-.html

Is Alex Smith Who We Thought He Is?
Jordan Foote , KC Sports Talk on November 16
0

Bob Donnan-USA TODAY Sports
Coming into the season, Chiefs fans were looking for a lot less of this:

And a LOT more of this:

Anyone that has watched Alex Smith play during his 3 and a half years in Kansas City knows that he is a mobile quarterback with playmaking ability. Those same people also know that Smith is not as good at stretching the field compared to other quarterbacks. The eye test gives pretty solid evidence for that. The GIF above shows you the playmaking ability, but also: Alex is stretching the field! With a revamped offensive line, developing receivers and a fantastic RB Core, Alex should be ready more than ever to push the ball down the field, right? Right? Right?

Sadly, statistics aren't on our side. Alex has averaged 6.7 YPA (Yards Per Attempt) this season. Compare this to last year's average (7.4) and you are saying to yourself "Wow! I had no clue he had regressed in the YPA department this season..." The famous eye test sure doesn't do it justice, but our reality is that Alex is throwing the ball shorter than he was last year, which we didn't know was truly possible.

This doesn't mean that "Captain Checkdown" is making a return. This doesn't mean that Alex Smith isn't capable of throwing the deep ball. This simply means that Alex Smith is throwing the ball a shorter distance down the field compared to last season. Now, many factors can contribute to that. Below is a table of Alex's opponent, attempts and yards per attempt.

Opponent
Attempts
YPA
San Diego Chargers
48
7.56
Houston Texans
37
5.03
New York Jets
33
7.18
Pittsburgh Steelers
50
5.74
Oakland Raiders
22
10.18
New Orleans Saints
24
8.92
Indianapolis Colts
19
6.68
Carolina Panthers
38
4.68
7.1 YPA is the NFL Median so far this season, meaning that 7.1 is the middle of the road in terms of YPA. Alex Smith has thrown for above 7.1 YPA in 4 out of 8 games this season, with 4/8 below the median as well. His average in a game OVER YPA is 2.72. When he performs under the median level, he does so at an average of 1.57 YPA. This data may seem meaningless, but there is actually a lot that can be interpreted from it.

2.72 is greater than 1.57. When Alex Smith is stretching the field, he is doing so very well. When he doesn't stretch the field, he does so at a bit better of a distance from the median. He has great moments and bad moments.

Good moment:

Bad moment:

To make a long story short, Alex Smith is what we thought he is. Coming into the season, we wanted him to stretch the field more and make more big plays. He has done so, but there has been no in between. This is just the tip of the iceberg. I am not going to go in depth about how many good defenses he's faced or how his progressions look, etc. but I am going to say this: Alex is who we thought he is, a QB that can make throws on occasion, but can not make them consistently. Stay tuned for more analysis. Until then, here's what we used to put up with:

kcpasco · 11-20-2016, 04:51 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by oaklandhater

In what way did Alex look good this offense looked like trash -that garbage time td

Except it wasn't a garbage time TD.

splatbass · 11-20-2016, 04:52 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by kcpasco

Except it wasn't a garbage time TD.

Oaklandhater knows almost nothing about football. You may need to define "garbage time" for him, and even then he probably won't understand it.

KCUnited · 11-20-2016, 04:52 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by oaklandhater

In what way did Alex look good

Punter assists.

Reerun_KC · 11-20-2016, 04:53 PM

Spin machine on full spin.

kcpasco · 11-20-2016, 05:01 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by splatbass

Oaklandhater knows almost nothing about football. You may need to define "garbage time" for him, and even then he probably won't understand it.

Alex has his share of the blame but the game was within 2 points with the defense having 3 timeouts and the 2 minute warning. This was a complete team loss.

oaklandhater · 11-20-2016, 05:03 PM

Bass the game was pretty much done by the time Alex scored that last td hence garbage time

RobBlake · 11-20-2016, 05:06 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by oaklandhater

Bass the game was pretty much done by the time Alex scored that last td hence garbage time

god you're dumb. If the defense would have stopped TB, Alex would have had a game winning drive potentially.

splatbass · 11-20-2016, 05:06 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by kcpasco

Alex has his share of the blame but the game was within 2 points with the defense having 3 timeouts and the 2 minute warning. This was a complete team loss.

I agree with this 100%.

kcpasco · 11-20-2016, 05:06 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by oaklandhater

Bass the game was pretty much done by the time Alex scored that last td hence garbage time

3 timeouts and the 2 minute warning, your full of shit.

splatbass · 11-20-2016, 05:09 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by oaklandhater

Bass the game was pretty much done by the time Alex scored that last td hence garbage time

Garbage time means when one team is so far ahead it is impossible for the other team to win. That was not the case today. If the D holds then we get the ball back with time to get in field goal range and win it. That is not garbage time by any definition of the word.

Alex Smith threw an interception that hurt us badly, but he also got us back in the game with the last TD drive.

TigeRRUppeRRcut · 11-20-2016, 05:10 PM

Oak is just a full time troll. Please disengage and place on ignore. CP is better that way

Spott · 11-20-2016, 05:11 PM

I've always thought he was a middle of the road starting QB. Always going to be about the 15-20th best QB in the league.

oaklandhater · 11-20-2016, 05:13 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by splatbass

Garbage time means when one team is so far ahead it is impossible for the other team to win. That was not the case today. If the D holds then we get the ball back with time to get in field goal range and win it. That is not garbage time by any definition of the word.

Alex Smith threw an interception that hurt us badly, but he also got us back in the game with the last TD drive.

My god there is no reasoning with you Alex could have a Fitzpatrick like meltdown and it would still be on the defense

oaklandhater · 11-20-2016, 05:13 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Spott

I've always thought he was a middle of the road starting QB. Always going to be about the 15-20th best QB in the league.

He was but he has regressed this year majorly more like 25-32 range now which is not good enough to win the big games

splatbass · 11-20-2016, 05:14 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by TigerUppercut

Oak is just a full time troll. Please disengage and place on ignore. CP is better that way

He isn't a troll, he is just a delusional and angry Alex Smith hater that dates back to long before Smith played in KC.

11-18-2016, 02:52 PM
oaklandhater future chiefs fans Join Date: Jan 2004 Location: oakland california Casino cash: $5798993	Is Alex Smith Who We Thought He Is? http://kcpridesince99.sportsblog.com...ht-he-is-.html Is Alex Smith Who We Thought He Is? Jordan Foote , KC Sports Talk on November 16 0 Bob Donnan-USA TODAY Sports Coming into the season, Chiefs fans were looking for a lot less of this: And a LOT more of this: Anyone that has watched Alex Smith play during his 3 and a half years in Kansas City knows that he is a mobile quarterback with playmaking ability. Those same people also know that Smith is not as good at stretching the field compared to other quarterbacks. The eye test gives pretty solid evidence for that. The GIF above shows you the playmaking ability, but also: Alex is stretching the field! With a revamped offensive line, developing receivers and a fantastic RB Core, Alex should be ready more than ever to push the ball down the field, right? Right? Right? Sadly, statistics aren't on our side. Alex has averaged 6.7 YPA (Yards Per Attempt) this season. Compare this to last year's average (7.4) and you are saying to yourself "Wow! I had no clue he had regressed in the YPA department this season..." The famous eye test sure doesn't do it justice, but our reality is that Alex is throwing the ball shorter than he was last year, which we didn't know was truly possible. This doesn't mean that "Captain Checkdown" is making a return. This doesn't mean that Alex Smith isn't capable of throwing the deep ball. This simply means that Alex Smith is throwing the ball a shorter distance down the field compared to last season. Now, many factors can contribute to that. Below is a table of Alex's opponent, attempts and yards per attempt. Opponent Attempts YPA San Diego Chargers 48 7.56 Houston Texans 37 5.03 New York Jets 33 7.18 Pittsburgh Steelers 50 5.74 Oakland Raiders 22 10.18 New Orleans Saints 24 8.92 Indianapolis Colts 19 6.68 Carolina Panthers 38 4.68 7.1 YPA is the NFL Median so far this season, meaning that 7.1 is the middle of the road in terms of YPA. Alex Smith has thrown for above 7.1 YPA in 4 out of 8 games this season, with 4/8 below the median as well. His average in a game OVER YPA is 2.72. When he performs under the median level, he does so at an average of 1.57 YPA. This data may seem meaningless, but there is actually a lot that can be interpreted from it. 2.72 is greater than 1.57. When Alex Smith is stretching the field, he is doing so very well. When he doesn't stretch the field, he does so at a bit better of a distance from the median. He has great moments and bad moments. Good moment: Bad moment: To make a long story short, Alex Smith is what we thought he is. Coming into the season, we wanted him to stretch the field more and make more big plays. He has done so, but there has been no in between. This is just the tip of the iceberg. I am not going to go in depth about how many good defenses he's faced or how his progressions look, etc. but I am going to say this: Alex is who we thought he is, a QB that can make throws on occasion, but can not make them consistently. Stay tuned for more analysis. Until then, here's what we used to put up with:
Posts: 24,003

11-20-2016, 04:53 PM	#214
Reerun_KC Banned Join Date: Aug 2005 Casino cash: $7231160	Spin machine on full spin.
Posts: 1,529

11-20-2016, 05:03 PM	#216
oaklandhater future chiefs fans Join Date: Jan 2004 Location: oakland california Casino cash: $5798993	Bass the game was pretty much done by the time Alex scored that last td hence garbage time
Posts: 24,003

11-20-2016, 05:10 PM	#221
TigeRRUppeRRcut Banned Join Date: Dec 2014 Location: 19th Hole Casino cash: $10004725	Oak is just a full time troll. Please disengage and place on ignore. CP is better that way
Posts: 11,680

11-20-2016, 05:11 PM	#222
Spott Court Jester Join Date: Aug 2000 Location: Orlando Casino cash: $-857600	I've always thought he was a middle of the road starting QB. Always going to be about the 15-20th best QB in the league.
Posts: 20,698