Chiefs Is Alex Smith Who We Thought He Is? - Page 18

oaklandhater · 11-18-2016, 02:52 PM

http://kcpridesince99.sportsblog.com...ht-he-is-.html

Is Alex Smith Who We Thought He Is?
Jordan Foote , KC Sports Talk on November 16
0

Bob Donnan-USA TODAY Sports
Coming into the season, Chiefs fans were looking for a lot less of this:

And a LOT more of this:

Anyone that has watched Alex Smith play during his 3 and a half years in Kansas City knows that he is a mobile quarterback with playmaking ability. Those same people also know that Smith is not as good at stretching the field compared to other quarterbacks. The eye test gives pretty solid evidence for that. The GIF above shows you the playmaking ability, but also: Alex is stretching the field! With a revamped offensive line, developing receivers and a fantastic RB Core, Alex should be ready more than ever to push the ball down the field, right? Right? Right?

Sadly, statistics aren't on our side. Alex has averaged 6.7 YPA (Yards Per Attempt) this season. Compare this to last year's average (7.4) and you are saying to yourself "Wow! I had no clue he had regressed in the YPA department this season..." The famous eye test sure doesn't do it justice, but our reality is that Alex is throwing the ball shorter than he was last year, which we didn't know was truly possible.

This doesn't mean that "Captain Checkdown" is making a return. This doesn't mean that Alex Smith isn't capable of throwing the deep ball. This simply means that Alex Smith is throwing the ball a shorter distance down the field compared to last season. Now, many factors can contribute to that. Below is a table of Alex's opponent, attempts and yards per attempt.

Opponent
Attempts
YPA
San Diego Chargers
48
7.56
Houston Texans
37
5.03
New York Jets
33
7.18
Pittsburgh Steelers
50
5.74
Oakland Raiders
22
10.18
New Orleans Saints
24
8.92
Indianapolis Colts
19
6.68
Carolina Panthers
38
4.68
7.1 YPA is the NFL Median so far this season, meaning that 7.1 is the middle of the road in terms of YPA. Alex Smith has thrown for above 7.1 YPA in 4 out of 8 games this season, with 4/8 below the median as well. His average in a game OVER YPA is 2.72. When he performs under the median level, he does so at an average of 1.57 YPA. This data may seem meaningless, but there is actually a lot that can be interpreted from it.

2.72 is greater than 1.57. When Alex Smith is stretching the field, he is doing so very well. When he doesn't stretch the field, he does so at a bit better of a distance from the median. He has great moments and bad moments.

Good moment:

Bad moment:

To make a long story short, Alex Smith is what we thought he is. Coming into the season, we wanted him to stretch the field more and make more big plays. He has done so, but there has been no in between. This is just the tip of the iceberg. I am not going to go in depth about how many good defenses he's faced or how his progressions look, etc. but I am going to say this: Alex is who we thought he is, a QB that can make throws on occasion, but can not make them consistently. Stay tuned for more analysis. Until then, here's what we used to put up with:

Sweet Daddy Hate · 11-20-2016, 07:53 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by splatbass

There are legitimate criticisms of Reid. He doesn't manage the clock well, he doesn't run the ball when we have 1st and goal inside the 5, etc., but lets not forget we were 2-14 and flying banners above arrowhead before he came here. He has consistently fielded competitive teams for more than 15 years. We are better off with him than we have been in a long, long time.

Let's not forget that myself and many others pegged the hire and subsequent trade for exactly what it has materialized in to:

Martimus II: Low Carbon Footprint Boog-a-loo.

At current report, you have left the outer Grbannon territories, and are headed straight-on to the Bono Pass.

Safe travels, friend!

In58men · 11-20-2016, 07:57 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by rabblerouser

To be fair, nothing looks good in SF.

He was right, the problem wasn't trading for Smith...it was in not preparing for this day, TODAY, when the entire team is stacked and ready for a playoff run...except the coaching is atrocious and there's no QB. All except that.

I can get behind your statement. I'm done with this guy, he's not capable of carrying a team. It's too much pressure for him.

GloryDayz · 11-20-2016, 07:59 PM

Alex Smith sucks! He's not welcome in KC any longer.

In58men · 11-20-2016, 08:01 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by GloryDayz

Alex Smith sucks! He's not welcome in KC any longer.

But he doesn't throw interceptions, all he does is wi......eeerrrrr......check down.

GloryDayz · 11-20-2016, 08:03 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Inmem58

But he doesn't throw interceptions, all he does is wi......eeerrrrr......check down.

I guess today's Int was a completion then?

TigeRRUppeRRcut · 11-20-2016, 08:05 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Chromatic

His lack of speed this year is glaring. He no longer has that burst that made his scrambling so effective.

Pete Carroll hasn't let RW leave the pocket much this year either especially after his injury scare. It's not that Smith can't run, it's that we paid good money for Schwartz and Smith needs to start working from the pocket more now that he has legit WR2s to throw to now. Of course, easier said than done especially when Maclin isn't around...

Sandy Vagina · 11-20-2016, 08:06 PM

Nothing has really changed. Smith, for the rest of the season, is auditioning for his job in KC.

Things keep going downhill, there's no way the decision-makers will agree to keep him on at his salary.. and I will be one to agree.

**Tribal Warfare** · 11-20-2016, 08:06 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Inmem58

But he doesn't throw interceptions, all he does is wi......eeerrrrr......check down.

Post head injury he's been very careless with the football.

Reerun_KC · 11-20-2016, 08:07 PM

Those two concussions really screwed that guy up....

kcxiv · 11-20-2016, 08:07 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by TigerUppercut

Pete Carroll hasn't let RW leave the pocket much this year either especially after his injury scare. It's not that Smith can't run, it's that we paid good money for Schwartz and Smith needs to start working from the pocket more now that he has legit WR2s to throw to now. Of course, easier said than done especially when Maclin isn't around...

and yet hes so far down on every major passing stat.

TigeRRUppeRRcut · 11-20-2016, 11:26 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by kcxiv

and yet hes so far down on every major passing stat.

Again, maclin is far off from his 70% reception rate from a year ago. And also hasn't been on the field lately.

Common. Sense.

In58men · 11-20-2016, 11:27 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by TigerUppercut

Again, maclin is far off from his 70% reception rate from a year ago. And also hasn't been on the field lately.

Common. Sense.

Because Maclin is a game changer when he's playing

This fan base hyped him up big time.

In58men · 11-20-2016, 11:28 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Reerun_KC

Those two concussions really screwed that guy up....

No telling how many he's had and didn't know it.

TigeRRUppeRRcut · 11-21-2016, 12:09 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Inmem58

Because Maclin is a game changer when he's playing

This fan base hyped him up big time.

Holy shit you really are looking to get banned.

1100 yards, 70% catch rate, 8 TD's (equal to Kelce, Wilson, and Conley combined) yet he isn't a game changer after what we experienced with Bowe?

You ****ing imbecile.

11-18-2016, 02:52 PM
oaklandhater future chiefs fans Join Date: Jan 2004 Location: oakland california Casino cash: $5828993	Is Alex Smith Who We Thought He Is? http://kcpridesince99.sportsblog.com...ht-he-is-.html Is Alex Smith Who We Thought He Is? Jordan Foote , KC Sports Talk on November 16 0 Bob Donnan-USA TODAY Sports Coming into the season, Chiefs fans were looking for a lot less of this: And a LOT more of this: Anyone that has watched Alex Smith play during his 3 and a half years in Kansas City knows that he is a mobile quarterback with playmaking ability. Those same people also know that Smith is not as good at stretching the field compared to other quarterbacks. The eye test gives pretty solid evidence for that. The GIF above shows you the playmaking ability, but also: Alex is stretching the field! With a revamped offensive line, developing receivers and a fantastic RB Core, Alex should be ready more than ever to push the ball down the field, right? Right? Right? Sadly, statistics aren't on our side. Alex has averaged 6.7 YPA (Yards Per Attempt) this season. Compare this to last year's average (7.4) and you are saying to yourself "Wow! I had no clue he had regressed in the YPA department this season..." The famous eye test sure doesn't do it justice, but our reality is that Alex is throwing the ball shorter than he was last year, which we didn't know was truly possible. This doesn't mean that "Captain Checkdown" is making a return. This doesn't mean that Alex Smith isn't capable of throwing the deep ball. This simply means that Alex Smith is throwing the ball a shorter distance down the field compared to last season. Now, many factors can contribute to that. Below is a table of Alex's opponent, attempts and yards per attempt. Opponent Attempts YPA San Diego Chargers 48 7.56 Houston Texans 37 5.03 New York Jets 33 7.18 Pittsburgh Steelers 50 5.74 Oakland Raiders 22 10.18 New Orleans Saints 24 8.92 Indianapolis Colts 19 6.68 Carolina Panthers 38 4.68 7.1 YPA is the NFL Median so far this season, meaning that 7.1 is the middle of the road in terms of YPA. Alex Smith has thrown for above 7.1 YPA in 4 out of 8 games this season, with 4/8 below the median as well. His average in a game OVER YPA is 2.72. When he performs under the median level, he does so at an average of 1.57 YPA. This data may seem meaningless, but there is actually a lot that can be interpreted from it. 2.72 is greater than 1.57. When Alex Smith is stretching the field, he is doing so very well. When he doesn't stretch the field, he does so at a bit better of a distance from the median. He has great moments and bad moments. Good moment: Bad moment: To make a long story short, Alex Smith is what we thought he is. Coming into the season, we wanted him to stretch the field more and make more big plays. He has done so, but there has been no in between. This is just the tip of the iceberg. I am not going to go in depth about how many good defenses he's faced or how his progressions look, etc. but I am going to say this: Alex is who we thought he is, a QB that can make throws on occasion, but can not make them consistently. Stay tuned for more analysis. Until then, here's what we used to put up with:
Posts: 24,003

11-20-2016, 07:59 PM	#258
GloryDayz (Sir/Yes Sir/Aye Aye Sir) Join Date: Oct 2009 Location: Diving Casino cash: $745380	Alex Smith sucks! He's not welcome in KC any longer.
Posts: 123,788

11-20-2016, 08:07 PM	#264
Reerun_KC Banned Join Date: Aug 2005 Casino cash: $7231160	Those two concussions really screwed that guy up....
Posts: 1,529