***NON-POLITICAL COVID-19 Discussion Thread***

[JakeF]

A couple of reminders...

Originally Posted by Bwana

Once again, don't come in this thread with some kind of political agenda, or you will be shown the door. If you want to go that route, there is a thread about this in DC.

Originally Posted by Dartgod

People, there is a lot of good information in this thread, let's try to keep the petty bickering to a minimum.

We all have varying opinions about the impact of this, the numbers, etc. We will all never agree with each other. But we can all keep it civil.

Thanks!

Click here for the original OP:

Spoiler!

Apparently the CoronaVirus can survive on a inanimate objects, such as door knobs, for 9 days.

California coronavirus case could be first spread within U.S. community, CDC says
By SOUMYA KARLAMANGLA, JACLYN COSGROVE
FEB. 26, 2020 8:04 PM

The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention is investigating what could be the first case of novel coronavirus in the United States involving a patient in California who neither recently traveled out of the country nor was in contact with someone who did.

“At this time, the patient’s exposure is unknown. It’s possible this could be an instance of community spread of COVID-19, which would be the first time this has happened in the United States,” the CDC said in a statement. “Community spread means spread of an illness for which the source of infection is unknown. It’s also possible, however, that the patient may have been exposed to a returned traveler who was infected.”

The individual is a resident of Solano County and is receiving medical care in Sacramento County, according to the state Department of Public Health.

The CDC said the “case was detected through the U.S. public health system — picked up by astute clinicians.”

Officials at UC Davis Medical Center expanded on what the federal agency might have meant by that in an email sent Wednesday, as reported by the Davis Enterprise newspaper.

The patient arrived at UC Davis Medical Center from another hospital Feb. 19 and “had already been intubated, was on a ventilator, and given droplet protection orders because of an undiagnosed and suspected viral condition,” according to an email sent by UC Davis officials that was obtained by the Davis Enterprise.

The staff at UC Davis requested COVID-19 testing by the CDC, but because the patient didn’t fit the CDC’s existing criteria for the virus, a test wasn’t immediately administered, according to the email. The CDC then ordered the test Sunday, and results were announced Wednesday. Hospital administrators reportedly said in the email that despite these issues, there has been minimal exposure at the hospital because of safety protocols they have in place.

A UC Davis Health spokesperson declined Wednesday evening to share the email with The Times.

Since Feb. 2, more than 8,400 returning travelers from China have entered California, according to the state health department. They have been advised to self-quarantine for 14 days and limit interactions with others as much as possible, officials said.

“This is a new virus, and while we are still learning about it, there is a lot we already know,” Dr. Sonia Angell, director of the California Department of Public Health, said in a statement. “We have been anticipating the potential for such a case in the U.S., and given our close familial, social and business relationships with China, it is not unexpected that the first case in the U.S. would be in California.”

It is not clear how the person became infected, but public health workers could not identify any contacts with people who had traveled to China or other areas where the virus is widespread. That raises concern that the virus is spreading in the United States, creating a challenge for public health officials, experts say.

“It’s the first signal that we could be having silent transmission in the community,” said Lawrence Gostin, director of the World Health Organization Collaborating Center on National and Global Health Law. “It probably means there are many more cases out there, and it probably means this individual has infected others, and now it’s a race to try to find out who that person has infected.”

On Tuesday, the CDC offered its most serious warning to date that the United States should expect and prepare for the coronavirus to become a more widespread health issue.

“Ultimately, we expect we will see coronavirus spread in this country,” said Nancy Messonnier, director of the CDC’s National Center for Immunization and Respiratory Diseases. “It’s not so much a question of if, but a question of when.”

According to the CDC’s latest count Wednesday morning, 59 U.S. residents have tested positive for the new strain of coronavirus — 42 of whom are repatriated citizens from a Diamond Princess cruise. That number has grown by two since Messonnier’s last count Tuesday, although the CDC was not immediately available to offer details on the additional cases.

More than 82,000 cases of coronavirus have been reported globally, and more than 2,700 people have died, with the majority in mainland China, the epicenter of the outbreak.

But public health leaders have repeatedly reminded residents that the health risk from the novel coronavirus to the general public remains low.

“While COVID-19 has a high transmission rate, it has a low mortality rate,” the state Department of Public Health said in a statement Wednesday. “From the international data we have, of those who have tested positive for COVID-19, approximately 80% do not exhibit symptoms that would require hospitalization. There have been no confirmed deaths related to COVID-19 in the United States to date.”

CDC officials have also warned that although the virus is likely to spread in U.S. communities, the flu still poses a greater risk.

Gostin said the news of potential silent transmission does not eliminate the possibility of containing the virus in the U.S. and preventing an outbreak.

“There are few enough cases that we should at least try,” he said. “Most of us are not optimistic that that will be successful, but we’re still in the position to try.”

[PAChiefsGuy]

Originally Posted by Donger

That's great news. What was the onset date?

I'm not sure but my friend who gave me the info (he is a reliable source) just texted me this

Last week: Doubling every 2 days
Mid week: Doubling every 4.7 days
Today: Doubling every 6 days.

However that doesn't make much sense since it is supposed to start peaking in 2-3 weeks so who the hell knows what is going on...

[Donger]

Nevada showing highest new case % increase today so far: 43%

Illinois at 31%

[jd1020]

Originally Posted by Donger

Illinois at 31%

Illinois broke the 1k mark today with 1,105 new cases.

Also, yesterday in Illinois, an infant under 1 year old died from covid-19.

[TLO]

Missouri still hasn't updated their numbers for today. I'm guessing we're going to break 1000 today though

[Donger]

Originally Posted by PAChiefsGuy

I'm not sure but my friend who gave me the info (he is a reliable source) just texted me this

Last week: Doubling every 2 days
Mid week: Doubling every 4.7 days
Today: Doubling every 6 days.

However that doesn't make much sense since it is supposed to start peaking in 2-3 weeks so who the hell knows what is going on...

I'll take it. If the median incubation time is 5 days, that would make sense.

[TLO]

In Missouri yesterday

Cases in Missouri: 838

Total Deaths: 10

Patients tested in Missouri (by all labs): approximately 12,385

Today

Cases in Missouri: 903

Total Deaths: 12

No update on number tested as of yet.

[Mr_Tomahawk]

It’s easy to double 20 cases on day 1.

But doesn’t it make sense that it would take more than a day to double 20,000 cases on day 15?

It’s great that the cases aren’t doubling as quickly as they were originally...but I don’t know if it’s good news, but just staying the course.


I’m more interested in a reduction of new cases a day if anything...

[lewdog]

Originally Posted by Mr_Tomahawk

It’s easy to double 20 cases on day 1.

But doesn’t it make sense that it would take more than a day to double 20,000 cases on day 15?

It’s great that the cases aren’t doubling as quickly as they were originally...but I don’t know if it’s good news, but just staying the course.


I’m more interested in a reduction of new cases a day if anything...

New cases a day means nothing. Just means more testing.

Trending down in deaths during the next 2 weeks would be good news.

[Titty Meat]

Isnt the lockdown lifted in Wuhan? It's interesting we havent heard much from them since.

[Mr_Tomahawk]

Originally Posted by lewdog

New cases a day means nothing. Just means more testing.

Trending down in deaths during the next 2 weeks would be good news.

Understood. I think you could look at that in a couple of ways.

Knowing that there is more testing, I think a reduction in cases does mean something....

[petegz28]

Originally Posted by Mr_Tomahawk

Understood. I think you could look at that in a couple of ways.

Knowing that there is more testing, I think a reduction in cases does mean something....

The common reaction from a lot of people right now is to second guess and wait for triple confirmation of any good news numbers but immediately latch onto anything that appears bad, extrapolate from that then opine on it.

[TLO]

So if I'm reading correctly the clinical trials of chloroquine start in New York tomorrow?

[kgrund]

Originally Posted by PAChiefsGuy

I'm not sure but my friend who gave me the info (he is a reliable source) just texted me this

Last week: Doubling every 2 days
Mid week: Doubling every 4.7 days
Today: Doubling every 6 days.

However that doesn't make much sense since it is supposed to start peaking in 2-3 weeks so who the hell knows what is going on...

Makes sense to me. The slope of the curve is just flattening before it hits its peak. Good sign IMO.

[O.city]

Originally Posted by petegz28

If they can do it by then that would be great.

Once you know which antigen you’re gonna use and what you’re gonna bind to, they’ll figure it out. Lotta smart people on this. They’ll have it by summer for sure

Hell they’ve already had great success with convalescent plasma in a few cases so the science is there

[O.city]

Originally Posted by TLO

So if I'm reading correctly the clinical trials of chloroquine start in New York tomorrow?

I wouldn’t hold my breath on that one but there are quite a few other things that hold great promise