***NON-POLITICAL COVID-19 Discussion Thread***

[JakeF]

A couple of reminders...

Originally Posted by Bwana

Once again, don't come in this thread with some kind of political agenda, or you will be shown the door. If you want to go that route, there is a thread about this in DC.

Originally Posted by Dartgod

People, there is a lot of good information in this thread, let's try to keep the petty bickering to a minimum.

We all have varying opinions about the impact of this, the numbers, etc. We will all never agree with each other. But we can all keep it civil.

Thanks!

Click here for the original OP:

Spoiler!

Apparently the CoronaVirus can survive on a inanimate objects, such as door knobs, for 9 days.

California coronavirus case could be first spread within U.S. community, CDC says
By SOUMYA KARLAMANGLA, JACLYN COSGROVE
FEB. 26, 2020 8:04 PM

The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention is investigating what could be the first case of novel coronavirus in the United States involving a patient in California who neither recently traveled out of the country nor was in contact with someone who did.

“At this time, the patient’s exposure is unknown. It’s possible this could be an instance of community spread of COVID-19, which would be the first time this has happened in the United States,” the CDC said in a statement. “Community spread means spread of an illness for which the source of infection is unknown. It’s also possible, however, that the patient may have been exposed to a returned traveler who was infected.”

The individual is a resident of Solano County and is receiving medical care in Sacramento County, according to the state Department of Public Health.

The CDC said the “case was detected through the U.S. public health system — picked up by astute clinicians.”

Officials at UC Davis Medical Center expanded on what the federal agency might have meant by that in an email sent Wednesday, as reported by the Davis Enterprise newspaper.

The patient arrived at UC Davis Medical Center from another hospital Feb. 19 and “had already been intubated, was on a ventilator, and given droplet protection orders because of an undiagnosed and suspected viral condition,” according to an email sent by UC Davis officials that was obtained by the Davis Enterprise.

The staff at UC Davis requested COVID-19 testing by the CDC, but because the patient didn’t fit the CDC’s existing criteria for the virus, a test wasn’t immediately administered, according to the email. The CDC then ordered the test Sunday, and results were announced Wednesday. Hospital administrators reportedly said in the email that despite these issues, there has been minimal exposure at the hospital because of safety protocols they have in place.

A UC Davis Health spokesperson declined Wednesday evening to share the email with The Times.

Since Feb. 2, more than 8,400 returning travelers from China have entered California, according to the state health department. They have been advised to self-quarantine for 14 days and limit interactions with others as much as possible, officials said.

“This is a new virus, and while we are still learning about it, there is a lot we already know,” Dr. Sonia Angell, director of the California Department of Public Health, said in a statement. “We have been anticipating the potential for such a case in the U.S., and given our close familial, social and business relationships with China, it is not unexpected that the first case in the U.S. would be in California.”

It is not clear how the person became infected, but public health workers could not identify any contacts with people who had traveled to China or other areas where the virus is widespread. That raises concern that the virus is spreading in the United States, creating a challenge for public health officials, experts say.

“It’s the first signal that we could be having silent transmission in the community,” said Lawrence Gostin, director of the World Health Organization Collaborating Center on National and Global Health Law. “It probably means there are many more cases out there, and it probably means this individual has infected others, and now it’s a race to try to find out who that person has infected.”

On Tuesday, the CDC offered its most serious warning to date that the United States should expect and prepare for the coronavirus to become a more widespread health issue.

“Ultimately, we expect we will see coronavirus spread in this country,” said Nancy Messonnier, director of the CDC’s National Center for Immunization and Respiratory Diseases. “It’s not so much a question of if, but a question of when.”

According to the CDC’s latest count Wednesday morning, 59 U.S. residents have tested positive for the new strain of coronavirus — 42 of whom are repatriated citizens from a Diamond Princess cruise. That number has grown by two since Messonnier’s last count Tuesday, although the CDC was not immediately available to offer details on the additional cases.

More than 82,000 cases of coronavirus have been reported globally, and more than 2,700 people have died, with the majority in mainland China, the epicenter of the outbreak.

But public health leaders have repeatedly reminded residents that the health risk from the novel coronavirus to the general public remains low.

“While COVID-19 has a high transmission rate, it has a low mortality rate,” the state Department of Public Health said in a statement Wednesday. “From the international data we have, of those who have tested positive for COVID-19, approximately 80% do not exhibit symptoms that would require hospitalization. There have been no confirmed deaths related to COVID-19 in the United States to date.”

CDC officials have also warned that although the virus is likely to spread in U.S. communities, the flu still poses a greater risk.

Gostin said the news of potential silent transmission does not eliminate the possibility of containing the virus in the U.S. and preventing an outbreak.

“There are few enough cases that we should at least try,” he said. “Most of us are not optimistic that that will be successful, but we’re still in the position to try.”

[Monty]

Originally Posted by BWillie

Yeah, 82,000 deaths just no big deal.

To provide a more local perspective, if 8 out of 9 ppl in Lawrence died, that number would be 82K.

[jdubya]

Went for a drive today for a bit. Watched people come and go in stores, post office, etc. Freeway nice and calm. Life continues to roll along. It`s all good. Those of you staring at the "numbers" and reading "model projections" will keel over soon......but likely not from C19 lol.

[mdchiefsfan]

Originally Posted by BigRedChief

Man I leave you guys alone for a little while. Don’t know who’s fighting who here. Maybe get cliff notes?

Sorry TLO not a post about ventilators. But maybe save some TP

Smart toilet recognizes users by 'anal print' and can detect cancer... DHS excited about new biometric. https://t.co/VkoliofnK0

— NEWS MAKER (@NEWS_MAKER) April 7, 2020

Wait for one of these bad boys to be hacked.

[DJ's left nut]

Originally Posted by Monty

To provide a more local perspective, if 8 out of 9 ppl in Lawrence died, that number would be 82K.

8 of 9 people in Lawrence?

So, a good start...

[petegz28]

well this will be by far the deadliest day so far

[DJ's left nut]

Originally Posted by petegz28

well this will be by far the deadliest day so far

Until tomorrow, in all likelihood.

Peak is approaching but it isn't here yet. Deaths are a lagging indicator.

Probably another couple weeks of nasty fatality figures; maybe 6ish days of actual growth in those numbers?

[petegz28]

Originally Posted by DJ's left nut

Until tomorrow, in all likelihood.

Peak is approaching but it isn't here yet. Deaths are a lagging indicator.

Probably another couple weeks of nasty fatality figures; maybe 6ish days of actual growth in those numbers?

New cases is a bit slower but still got Mass and some others to report

[Marcellus]

Originally Posted by petegz28

New cases is a bit slower but still got Mass and some others to report

Keep in mind NY numbers probably went up 150-200 today because they started counting people dying outside of hospitals. I wonder how many days back they started counting them and if it will cause one big jump or how they are handling it.

[DJ's left nut]

Originally Posted by Marcellus

Keep in mind NY numbers probably went up 150-200 today because they started counting people dying outside of hospitals. I wonder how many days back they started counting them and if it will cause one big jump or how they are handling it.

Not sure how much stock I put in that report.

They reportedly weren't counting those figures because they weren't testing people post-mortem who died at home. It wasn't that they were culling them from the count - they flat didn't know. They simply didn't have the capacity.

Now that they're at/near peak contraction they suddenly found said capacity? Essentially overnight? Not buying it.

[Monticore]

Originally Posted by jdubya

Went for a drive today for a bit. Watched people come and go in stores, post office, etc. Freeway nice and calm. Life continues to roll along. It`s all good. Those of you staring at the "numbers" and reading "model projections" will keel over soon......but likely not from C19 lol.

Why you shouldn't go for a drive during the COVID-19 pandemic

https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/nova-...dics-1.5524697

[Dartgod]

Originally Posted by Monty

To provide a more local perspective, if 8 out of 9 ppl in Lawrence died, that number would be 82K.

Are they all Jayhawk fans?





Asking for a friend...

[stumppy]

Originally Posted by Monticore

Why you shouldn't go for a drive during the COVID-19 pandemic

https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/nova-...dics-1.5524697

Damn, and here I was about to drive up and check my cabin in Nova Scotia.

[SupDock]

Originally Posted by DJ's left nut

Not sure how much stock I put in that report.

They reportedly weren't counting those figures because they weren't testing people post-mortem who died at home. It wasn't that they were culling them from the count - they flat didn't know. They simply didn't have the capacity.

Now that they're at/near peak contraction they suddenly found said capacity? Essentially overnight? Not buying it.

Generally, at the time of a pandemic , deaths are vastly under-reported, not over-reported. See H1N1

That's also why the CDC releases estimated flu deaths, which are significantly higher than reported deaths

I don't think that over-reporting deaths is a big concern.

[Dartgod]

Originally Posted by stumppy

Damn, and here I was about to drive up and check my cabin in Nova Scotia.

Since there are fewer people on the road, wouldn't it be safer to go for a drive?

[TLO]

Nursing homes are obviously s huge concern but more and more jails/prisons are having problems too.

Yikes.