Who are you betting on this weekend?

[htismaqe]

Originally Posted by Chargem

I have a sneaky suspicion the Colts have a chance.

The Bills defense really struggles against a power run game.

Josh Allen has been at his worst against cover 2 this year. Colts run a lot of cover 2.

Those two things make me think the Colts could cause an upset.

Allen struggled against zone in the first half of the season.

Go watch the Denver game. He's got it all figured out now.

[Chargem]

Originally Posted by htismaqe

Allen struggled against zone in the first half of the season.

Go watch the Denver game. He's got it all figured out now.

I'll admit I am looking at full season stats, so it includes early season issues. Also not sure if Beasley will be available? That could make a big difference against zone.

Comparing the Colts to the Broncos, I would also say the Colts pass rush should make Allen's life much harder than the Broncos did.

Not saying the Colts should be favorites or anything crazy, just saying I can see a chance of an upset.

[htismaqe]

Originally Posted by Chargem

I'll admit I am looking at full season stats, so it includes early season issues. Also not sure if Beasley will be available? That could make a big difference against zone.

Comparing the Colts to the Broncos, I would also say the Colts pass rush should make Allen's life much harder than the Broncos did.

Not saying the Colts should be favorites or anything crazy, just saying I can see a chance of an upset.

I was being sarcastic, BTW.

[PAChiefsGuy]

Originally Posted by Chargem

I'll admit I am looking at full season stats, so it includes early season issues. Also not sure if Beasley will be available? That could make a big difference against zone.

Comparing the Colts to the Broncos, I would also say the Colts pass rush should make Allen's life much harder than the Broncos did.

Not saying the Colts should be favorites or anything crazy, just saying I can see a chance of an upset.

All depends on Rivers. If he plays well they have a shot at an upset, if he doesn't might be a long day for the Colts.

[Chargem]

Originally Posted by PAChiefsGuy

All depends on Rivers. If he plays well they have a shot at an upset, if he doesn't might be a long day for the Colts.

I think it depends more on if the Colts D can stop Allen. I think the Colts will be able to score with their run game, regardless of what Rivers does.

[Megatron96]

Originally Posted by PAChiefsGuy

All depends on Rivers. If he plays well they have a shot at an upset, if he doesn't might be a long day for the Colts.

Originally Posted by Chargem

I think it depends more on if the Colts D can stop Allen. I think the Colts will be able to score with their run game, regardless of what Rivers does.

My brother has been an IND fan for nearly two decades now, and he says IND doesn't run block all that well. They happen to have a couple of pretty good RBs, so they get yards anyway, but they aren't that efficient doing it.

So what PA is saying is probably closer to the truth, at least offensively. Rivers is going to have to play a clean game, no turnovers, and he's going to have to be efficient, meaning his avg yds/att has to be at least league average (7yds/att) or better. Their run game should do a little better than their average, because BUF doesn't defend the run well, as we know.

And their defense will have to play at least to their average. In their favor, BUF doesn't run the ball very well, so they shouldn't have to commit extra resources stopping that, and they can concentrate their players and scheme to stopping Allen.

But if Rivers has a below-average game, nothing their defense does will matter that much.

[htismaqe]

Originally Posted by Megatron96

My brother has been an IND fan for nearly two decades now, and he says IND doesn't run block all that well. They happen to have a couple of pretty good RBs, so they get yards anyway, but they aren't that efficient doing it.

So what PA is saying is probably closer to the truth, at least offensively. Rivers is going to have to play a clean game, no turnovers, and he's going to have to be efficient, meaning his avg yds/att has to be at least league average (7yds/att) or better. Their run game should do a little better than their average, because BUF doesn't defend the run well, as we know.

And their defense will have to play at least to their average. In their favor, BUF doesn't run the ball very well, so they shouldn't have to commit extra resources stopping that, and they can concentrate their players and scheme to stopping Allen.

But if Rivers has a below-average game, nothing their defense does will matter that much.

He's right.

For all of their investment on the line, they're not good run blockers. One of the best pass blocking units in the game but just mediocre at run blocking. Their running game is largely volume, not quality.

[Megatron96]

Originally Posted by htismaqe

He's right.

For all of their investment on the line, they're not good run blockers. One of the best pass blocking units in the game but just mediocre at run blocking. Their running game is largely volume, not quality.

That just seems ass-backwards to me. I only played a few years in HS and 1in college, but I always figured that run-blocking was inherently easier than pass-blocking for OLs.

But whatever. Point is, they aren't that good at it. My hope is that for just a few plays they block pretty well and Taylor or that other RB get loose. If they get a little lucky and either break one off for a TD or just get inside the RZ, maybe they can steal a couple scores early. Then they have a better than even chance to steal that game.