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Old 03-21-2021, 08:31 AM  
tyecopeland tyecopeland is offline
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Family can't move into house they bought

Story involves covid eviction issue and California law so might end up in dc.

https://www.foxla.com/news/couple-bu...orium-loophole

Added article in spoiler for those who don't like clicking links.

Spoiler!

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Old 04-05-2021, 06:47 PM   #166
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People always contend there's a "Housing Bubble" and that prices will eventually "Come Down". But when has that ever happened in large markets before?

We bought our home 17 years ago and all I heard was "Wow! That's a lot of money! I'm going to wait until prices come down because these prices can't last!!".

17 years later, my home is worth three times the purchase amount and no, it has never gone down in value.

The market is going crazy everywhere, from South Carolina to the panhandle of Florida to the entire West Coast. If it goes down in one market, it'll go down in every market and I just don't think that's going to happen.

Welcome to low interest rates and a housing shortage.
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Old 04-05-2021, 07:03 PM   #167
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Originally Posted by DaneMcCloud View Post
People always contend there's a "Housing Bubble" and that prices will eventually "Come Down". But when has that ever happened in large markets before?

We bought our home 17 years ago and all I heard was "Wow! That's a lot of money! I'm going to wait until prices come down because these prices can't last!!".

17 years later, my home is worth three times the purchase amount and no, it has never gone down in value.

The market is going crazy everywhere, from South Carolina to the panhandle of Florida to the entire West Coast. If it goes down in one market, it'll go down in every market and I just don't think that's going to happen.

Welcome to low interest rates and a housing shortage.
Vegas maybe after the housing bubble burst in the early to mid 2000s? I do agree that almost always houses go up in value. The biggest jumps I have been seeing are in the price range the average American can afford. Million dollar homes appreciate, just not as fast as the market of available buyers is so much smaller. Middle class priced homes are skyrocketing as people try to get in while interest rates are so low.
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Old 04-05-2021, 07:14 PM   #168
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They're working on it here as well, my valuation went up $70k this year, a 30% increase. I'm fighting it, but with the way the market is going...it might not be that far off from reality.
How are you fighting it, are you getting an appraisal done to your property?
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Old 04-05-2021, 07:14 PM   #169
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I think low interest rates have as much to do with it as those two groups.
That’s a big part, definitely. Also, the Phoenix housing market has been a prime spot for investor-buyers from Canada and other places for years, and we’re a destination market for Californians who sell big then move out of state. In both cases they are mainly cash buyers.
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Old 04-05-2021, 07:19 PM   #170
vailpass vailpass is offline
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Originally Posted by DaneMcCloud View Post
People always contend there's a "Housing Bubble" and that prices will eventually "Come Down". But when has that ever happened in large markets before?

We bought our home 17 years ago and all I heard was "Wow! That's a lot of money! I'm going to wait until prices come down because these prices can't last!!".

17 years later, my home is worth three times the purchase amount and no, it has never gone down in value.

The market is going crazy everywhere, from South Carolina to the panhandle of Florida to the entire West Coast. If it goes down in one market, it'll go down in every market and I just don't think that's going to happen.

Welcome to low interest rates and a housing shortage.
This. It might dip a little but it will never go all the way back. A relatively small investment in a piece of property in San Jose 20 years ago has turned into something bordering on ridiculous.
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Old 04-05-2021, 07:19 PM   #171
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Quote:
Originally Posted by DaneMcCloud View Post
People always contend there's a "Housing Bubble" and that prices will eventually "Come Down". But when has that ever happened in large markets before?

We bought our home 17 years ago and all I heard was "Wow! That's a lot of money! I'm going to wait until prices come down because these prices can't last!!".

17 years later, my home is worth three times the purchase amount and no, it has never gone down in value.

The market is going crazy everywhere, from South Carolina to the panhandle of Florida to the entire West Coast. If it goes down in one market, it'll go down in every market and I just don't think that's going to happen.

Welcome to low interest rates and a housing shortage.
I don't necessarily think prices are going to fall, but they have to level off at some point. This isn't Colorado or California...it's the goddamn midwest, not exactly somewhere people are clamoring to come live.
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Old 04-05-2021, 07:19 PM   #172
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That’s a big part, definitely. Also, the Phoenix housing market has been a prime spot for investor-buyers from Canada and other places for years, and we’re a destination market for Californians who sell big then move out of state. In both cases they are mainly cash buyers.
I can see why Phoenix would be a destination for people from California. Still close to there without the outrageous cost of living. What does fascinate me is with so many people leaving, who is overpaying for homes in California? Where are they coming from?
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Old 04-05-2021, 07:21 PM   #173
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How are you fighting it, are you getting an appraisal done to your property?
I told them, in no uncertain terms, that there's no goddamn way in hell my home appreciated that much in one year. And it didn't.
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Old 04-05-2021, 07:33 PM   #174
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I told them, in no uncertain terms, that there's no goddamn way in hell my home appreciated that much in one year. And it didn't.
Well good luck with that, in many cases I’ve heard you need an appraisal paid by you to get them to budge. I don’t know what they cost these days.
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Old 04-05-2021, 07:46 PM   #175
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Hoping a bubble bursts might be too much, but I've bid on 2 houses recently - 25% over asking - and lost because someone else did the same while waiving inspection and appraisal. Is it really too much to ask to not have to blindly throw a ton of cash at someone to get a house? Apparently not because in both cases there were over 10 offers within 24 hours.
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Old 04-05-2021, 07:52 PM   #176
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Hoping a bubble bursts might be too much, but I've bid on 2 houses recently - 25% over asking - and lost because someone else did the same while waiving inspection and appraisal. Is it really too much to ask to not have to blindly throw a ton of cash at someone to get a house? Apparently not because in both cases there were over 10 offers within 24 hours.
The bubble won't burst, but I do think once interest rates rise again there will be a slow down. The incentive is to buy now while rates are very low. People waiving that stuff is ridiculous and is a bad move, but also shows the desperation in trying to get a home no matter the cost.
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Old 04-05-2021, 07:56 PM   #177
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Old 04-05-2021, 07:59 PM   #178
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I can see why Phoenix would be a destination for people from California. Still close to there without the outrageous cost of living. What does fascinate me is with so many people leaving, who is overpaying for homes in California? Where are they coming from?
A lot of the homes are being purchased by investors because the interest rates are so ridiculously low right now.

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I don't necessarily think prices are going to fall, but they have to level off at some point. This isn't Colorado or California...it's the goddamn midwest, not exactly somewhere people are clamoring to come live.
Yeah but that's bound to happen when you're pricing out millions of people from affordable homes.
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Old 04-05-2021, 08:02 PM   #179
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This. It might dip a little but it will never go all the way back. A relatively small investment in a piece of property in San Jose 20 years ago has turned into something bordering on ridiculous.
Yeah, for sure. We have 17 new hotels going up down the street from us along with the new Netflix/Avengers tower, which is 22 stories tall, so I'm expecting our value to skyrocket in the next 3-5 years.

But when everything else around us is rising simultaneously, it doesn't really do us much good, unless we want to move from the area, which really isn't a consideration.
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Old 04-05-2021, 08:04 PM   #180
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The bubble won't burst, but I do think once interest rates rise again there will be a slow down. The incentive is to buy now while rates are very low. People waiving that stuff is ridiculous and is a bad move, but also shows the desperation in trying to get a home no matter the cost.
The big question is this: Will interest rates rise again?

I tend to think the answer to that question is no.
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