Let's talk about the Buffalo Bills (Week 5)

[duncan_idaho]

Originally Posted by RunKC

Bills only got pressure on Patrick on 11 of 39 dropbacks in the championship game last season.

That will determine this game IMO

Yeah, I'm really interested to see that aspect.

The Bills' rush has performed well against a really bad group of QBs and OL.

Pittsburgh: Worse OL, bottom 15 QB, QB completely immobile
Miami: Worse OL, 1/3 of Tua-bottom 15 QB, some mobility; 2/3 of Brissett, 35-45 QB, some mobility
Washington: Worse OL, bottom 10 QB, QB fairly mobile
Houston: Worse OL, 45+ backup QB (3rd string rookie), QB not mobile

So the Chiefs present the combination of the most mobile QB Buffalo has faced along with the best OL the Bills have faced, especially on the inside.

It's hard to see their changes making a huge impact. Yes, Star Lotuleilei is a good run defender, but is he more of an upgrade from what was there last year than the group of Thuney-Humphrey-Smith upgrades from Allegretti-Reiter-Wylie? Doubtful.

And yeah, Epenesa has popped a little more and Rousseau and Basham are promising prospects, but none of them is setting the world on fire and none have the pure speed to really give Niang or Brown problems. They're all mostly power guys... which Brown and Niang match up well against.

I just don't think it's there yet for Buffalo.

Only question is if the Chiefs' D can get enough stops to keep it from being a last possession shootout, IMO.

Hopefully, this game looks more like the San Diego game (where the Chiefs got some early stops). Getting Ward/Fenton back healthy would help with that, I think.

Buffalo will also, I assume, be primarily in 11 sets without a lot of personnel changes. That should let the Chiefs stick to nickel/dime (whatever they like better as the matchup there - I suspect it may be the dime set unless they see Gay playing a lot of snaps) and help with communication.